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Flamengo vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-56
23-8 24-13 15-17 16-18
Position#2
Record32-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#15
Record10-27
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game88.3
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Botafogo
20 Oct 2026
FLAM81
BOTA71
29 Dec 2025
FLAM104
BOTA71
13 Nov 2024
FLAM91
BOTA67
26 Apr 2024
FLAM78
BOTA56
07 Nov 2023
FLAM92
BOTA69
25 Nov 2019
FLAM81
BOTA72
11 May 2019
FLAM77
BOTA81
09 May 2019
FLAM81
BOTA69
07 Dec 2018
FLAM102
BOTA73
19 Jan 2018
FLAM107
BOTA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 81
A21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
81avg 81
H26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 81
H29/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
84avg 81
A31/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-73
93
73
+20
88avg 81
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
88-58
88
58
+30
90avg 81
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 81
H08/04
NBB
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
84avg 81
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
62avg 81
H15/04
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 81
A20/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-19
16-20
16-12
20-22
18-18
22-18
23-14
18-18
30-23
22-21
22-14
14-20
23-19
21-19
23-20
23-24
29-11
22-15
21-21
21-26
23-19
25-10
19-8
21-21
17-12
15-18
26-12
15-17
21-11
26-19
12-29
31-28
12-28
21-22
26-20
21-22
27-15
29-20
23-24
13-28
162.0Avg total
86.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)85.273.4158.6+11.886%
Season at home (18)85.668.4154.0+17.294%
Season away (19)84.878.2163.1+6.679%
Last 10 (10)86.375.7162.0+10.690%
Last 5 (5)84.676.6161.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.884.0167.8-0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.872.7159.5+14.192%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 66
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 66
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 66
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 66
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 66
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
90avg 66
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 66
H20/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
23-24
17-22
18-14
17-22
21-18
21-22
15-12
19-23
20-11
23-20
20-25
27-23
21-24
21-18
27-31
17-24
20-33
13-16
24-24
24-28
19-24
26-33
26-28
20-21
25-21
12-15
26-22
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
27-20
22-19
18-13
26-17
15-27
20-29
24-23
28-13
179.9Avg total
86.8Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)79.588.3167.8-8.727%
Season at home (19)79.986.5166.5-6.632%
Season away (18)79.190.1169.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)86.893.1179.9-6.340%
Last 5 (5)86.093.8179.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.290.0170.3-9.833%
vs Similar (4)79.583.2162.8-3.80%
vs Weaker (2)98.592.0190.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
FlamengoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H29/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A31/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/04
NBB
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H15/04
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#15
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A20/04
NBB
81.2Avg total
45.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.835.380.0+9.583%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.133.277.3+10.993%-
Last 30 away (15)45.537.382.8+8.173%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.781.2+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.839.681.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.034.579.5+10.488%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H20/04
NBB
87.9Avg total
41.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.084.7-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.644.886.4-3.240%-
Last 30 away (15)37.945.183.1-7.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.787.9-5.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.691.2-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.946.185.0-7.233%-
vs Similar (4)39.839.579.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.9
55.4%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.6
39.6%
33.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws14.910.7
71.8%
72.6%10.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.9
47.5%
51.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.7
36.0%
33.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
72.6%14.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWWWWWW
Botafogo
LWLWLLWWLL
#2
League position
#15
+14.0
Net rating
-14.8
115.2
Offensive rating
104.2
101.2
Defensive rating
119.0
57.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.6%
3-point %
36.0%
56.5%
Assist %
59.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 104.2Defence101.2 · 119.0Shooting57.2% · 50.5%3-point %39.6% · 36.0%Ball care16.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Flamengo   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Flamengo wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Botafogo v Flamengo87-92
06/02/24Botafogo v Flamengo78-102
07/11/23Flamengo v Botafogo92-69
25/11/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-72
15/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo75-90
11/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo77-81
09/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-69
04/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo77-79
02/03/19Botafogo v Flamengo67-73
07/12/18Flamengo v Botafogo102-73
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ABotafogo92-87
15/04/24HQuimsa80-92
13/04/24AHalcones de Xalapa90-87
08/04/24HPinheiros73-59
06/04/24HCorinthians Paulista88-58
02/04/24ACearense93-73
31/03/24AUnifacisa90-82
29/03/24HSao Paulo88-78
26/03/24HPaulistano81-68
21/03/24AFranca88-73
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HFlamengo87-92
10/04/24HPinheiros93-69
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116
25/03/24HSao Paulo83-79
21/03/24ABauru95-113
19/03/24AFranca74-97
10/03/24ABrasilia108-106 OT
08/03/24ACerrado82-79
05/03/24HMogi84-87 OT
29/02/24HSao Jose90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %86%94%79%
Points / game85.285.684.8
Allowed / game73.468.478.2
Point differential+11.8+17.2+6.6
Avg total158.6154.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%78%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)100% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %8%0%16%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeLWLWL32%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %27%32%22%
Points / game79.579.979.1
Allowed / game88.386.590.1
Point differential-8.7-6.6-11.0
Avg total167.8166.5169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %8%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3833587%88.475.9+12.5
2 Flamengo3732586%85.273.4+11.8
3 Minas3830879%85.973.8+12.1
4 Vasco38261268%75.672.6+3.1
5 Bauru37251268%82.278.8+3.5
6 Paulistano38241463%75.970.2+5.7
7 Unifacisa39241562%85.280.8+4.3
8 Cearense37211657%78.877.1+1.7
9 Sao Jose37191851%79.077.9+1.1
10 Sao Paulo39201951%79.980.3-0.4
11 Corinthians Paulista38191950%80.980.0+0.9
12 Pato37172046%78.179.7-1.6
13 Pinheiros38152339%73.777.4-3.7
14 Botafogo37102727%79.588.3-8.7
15 Mogi38102826%72.979.8-6.8
16 Uniao Corinthians38102826%74.783.8-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2324151678
Botafogo813171856
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