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Flamengo vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-71
16-21 32-13 27-20 29-17
Position#4
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game74.6
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Botafogo
Brazil
Position#16
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game82.6
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2025-26
Meetings · Flamengo v Botafogo
20 Oct 2026
FLAM81
BOTA71
29 Dec 2025
FLAM104
BOTA71
13 Nov 2024
FLAM91
BOTA67
26 Apr 2024
FLAM78
BOTA56
07 Nov 2023
FLAM92
BOTA69
25 Nov 2019
FLAM81
BOTA72
11 May 2019
FLAM77
BOTA81
09 May 2019
FLAM81
BOTA69
07 Dec 2018
FLAM102
BOTA73
19 Jan 2018
FLAM107
BOTA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
76avg 81
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 81
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
91-66
91
66
+25
90avg 81
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
46avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 81
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 81
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 81
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
15-23
24-19
17-25
25-17
20-22
18-19
21-14
22-22
16-22
15-21
14-18
24-9
23-18
20-19
24-20
16-14
13-16
11-23
23-22
17-19
20-20
26-20
21-21
20-17
23-20
13-20
26-8
22-21
21-19
18-26
32-14
24-24
26-21
15-24
22-16
22-19
29-19
27-19
24-23
160.7Avg total
83.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.374.6162.9+13.789%
Season at home (7)89.070.6159.6+18.486%
Season away (11)87.977.2165.1+10.791%
Last 10 (10)83.677.1160.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)89.678.0167.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.382.7159.0-6.333%
vs Similar (12)87.885.7173.4+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.673.4162.0+15.2100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 63
A13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
65avg 63
H18/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
74-61
74
61
+13
71avg 63
H20/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 63
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 63
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 63
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-84
61
84
-23
50avg 63
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
65-89
65
89
-24
45avg 63
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 63
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 63
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
15-18
17-14
14-22
22-25
19-15
12-19
17-23
19-23
13-7
24-17
18-14
15-23
20-21
22-16
13-19
19-28
20-28
21-22
17-23
17-20
20-20
22-19
16-21
15-21
18-20
16-26
12-17
19-18
18-22
14-19
14-30
23-28
17-24
22-14
26-29
25-21
16-25
13-20
10-11
153.6Avg total
71.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.182.6153.6-11.517%
Season at home (8)74.978.4153.2-3.538%
Season away (10)68.085.9153.9-17.90%
Last 10 (10)71.582.1153.6-10.610%
Last 5 (5)70.685.0155.6-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.085.1156.1-14.017%
vs Similar (6)76.375.5151.8+0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
FlamengoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/12
NBB
80.5Avg total
42.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.780.6+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.937.679.5+4.367%-
Last 30 away (18)43.537.881.3+5.772%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.080.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (12)43.440.483.8+3.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.336.480.7+7.987%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H18/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H20/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
80.1Avg total
37.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.142.779.8-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.340.781.0-0.446%-
Last 30 away (17)34.644.378.9-9.718%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.680.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.881.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.643.880.4-7.225%-
vs Similar (6)38.838.577.3+0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.2
50.2%
52.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.7
34.5%
32.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
72.8%15.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.4
46.5%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.9
27.6%
32.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.512.8
69.2%
72.8%12.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWWWLWLWL
Botafogo
LLLLLLLWLL
#4
League position
#16
+8.7
Net rating
-15.0
110.3
Offensive rating
94.4
101.6
Defensive rating
109.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
44.5%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
27.6%
69.2%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 94.4Defence101.6 · 109.4Shooting51.0% · 44.5%3-point %34.5% · 27.6%Ball care14.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Flamengo   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Flamengo wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Botafogo v Flamengo85-92
13/11/24Flamengo v Botafogo91-67
27/04/24Flamengo v Botafogo78-56
20/04/24Botafogo v Flamengo87-92
06/02/24Botafogo v Flamengo78-102
07/11/23Flamengo v Botafogo92-69
25/11/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-72
15/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo75-90
11/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo77-81
09/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-69
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AVasco102-80
23/12/25AMinas87-85
21/12/25ACruzeiro93-80
18/12/25HUniao Corinthians82-65
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias84-80
14/12/25ANacional63-75
06/12/25HCaxias do Sul91-66
03/12/25APinheiros67-83
22/11/25HRio Claro84-72
20/11/25HBrasilia83-85
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25APinheiros64-77
18/12/25AMinas88-95
16/12/25ACruzeiro65-89
13/12/25HUniao Corinthians61-84
08/12/25HCaxias do Sul75-80
04/12/25APaulistano77-101
02/12/25AOsasco70-79
20/11/25HRio Claro74-61
18/11/25HBrasilia70-82
13/11/25ABauru71-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %89%86%91%
Points / game88.389.087.9
Allowed / game74.670.677.2
Point differential+13.7+18.4+10.7
Avg total162.9159.6165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%86%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %17%38%0%
Points / game71.174.968.0
Allowed / game82.678.485.9
Point differential-11.5-3.5-17.9
Avg total153.6153.2153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros1917289%87.873.9+13.9
2 Flamengo1816289%88.374.6+13.7
3 Franca1916384%87.173.2+13.9
4 Minas1916384%86.978.2+8.7
5 Brasilia1914574%81.673.1+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista1812667%82.876.6+6.3
7 Sao Jose1912763%80.977.3+3.6
8 Paulistano1911858%80.075.3+4.7
9 Mogi189950%76.469.7+6.7
10 Uniao Corinthians189950%78.780.6-1.9
11 Caxias do Sul189950%72.877.1-4.3
12 Unifacisa1991047%81.781.0+0.7
13 Bauru1991047%73.775.1-1.4
14 Cruzeiro1961332%77.984.7-6.8
15 Pato1951426%72.181.0-8.9
16 Osasco1941521%75.286.1-10.8
17 Cearense1941521%77.788.7-11.1
18 Rio Claro1941521%76.888.6-11.8
19 Botafogo1831517%71.182.6-11.5
20 Vasco1921711%68.680.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo16322729104
Botafogo2113201771
← all games of the day
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