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Flamengo vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 91-67
22-16 24-14 18-14 27-23
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#18
Record3-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game74.7
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Botafogo
20 Oct 2026
FLAM81
BOTA71
29 Dec 2025
FLAM104
BOTA71
13 Nov 2024
FLAM91
BOTA67
26 Apr 2024
FLAM78
BOTA56
07 Nov 2023
FLAM92
BOTA69
25 Nov 2019
FLAM81
BOTA72
11 May 2019
FLAM77
BOTA81
09 May 2019
FLAM81
BOTA69
07 Dec 2018
FLAM102
BOTA73
19 Jan 2018
FLAM107
BOTA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
47avg 79
A12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 79
A17/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
114-66
114
66
+48
120avg 79
A19/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-83
70
83
-13
79avg 79
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
55avg 79
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
78-56
78
56
+22
72avg 79
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 79
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-55
84
55
+29
86avg 79
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 79
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-77
95
77
+18
101avg 79
H11/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
14-8
20-12
14-16
18-20
18-8
26-14
9-21
25-20
30-14
29-5
30-27
25-26
18-19
13-18
14-20
16-22
16-15
12-15
22-9
21-23
25-11
14-9
18-13
18-20
20-16
25-25
24-16
22-14
27-16
21-15
14-10
18-25
18-13
17-20
22-19
30-18
29-21
13-14
23-24
146.4Avg total
79.9Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.966.5146.4+13.480%
Season at home (4)78.869.0147.8+9.875%
Season away (6)80.764.8145.5+15.883%
Last 10 (10)79.966.5146.4+13.480%
Last 5 (5)83.868.4152.2+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)72.377.7150.0-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.267.9152.0+16.392%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
46avg 67
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 67
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
60avg 67
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
46avg 67
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 67
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-52
77
52
+25
74avg 67
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 67
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 67
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 67
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 67
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-23
13-24
17-15
18-16
32-18
21-17
17-16
11-19
17-12
12-17
18-21
18-15
15-15
15-26
11-25
17-7
13-14
8-21
31-28
15-17
17-10
20-17
22-11
18-14
12-27
26-16
14-29
22-18
23-23
12-19
19-19
16-27
20-23
20-20
16-18
15-19
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
143.9Avg total
68.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.374.7145.0-4.333%
Season at home (4)64.875.5140.2-10.80%
Season away (5)74.874.0148.8+0.860%
Last 10 (10)68.975.0143.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)71.075.8146.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.288.3164.5-12.222%
vs Similar (6)74.873.0147.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
FlamengoBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A17/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A19/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H11/11
NBB
76.2Avg total
41.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.534.077.5+9.677%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.634.975.6+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)46.133.179.2+12.988%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.376.2+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.635.481.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.035.770.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.733.579.2+12.188%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H24/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A27/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
72.0Avg total
34.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.943.281.2-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.443.281.6-4.836%-
Last 30 away (16)37.543.280.8-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)34.437.672.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.545.082.6-7.530%-
vs Similar (6)37.835.773.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.5
54.3%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.8
32.9%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
72.7%14.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.0
45.5%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.19.2
60.9%
72.7%9.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWWLWWW
Botafogo
LLLLWLLWWL
#3
League position
#18
+18.0
Net rating
-9.1
107.9
Offensive rating
91.8
89.8
Defensive rating
100.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
45.0%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.9%
3-point %
29.5%
71.1%
Assist %
64.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 91.8Defence89.8 · 100.9Shooting51.9% · 45.0%3-point %32.9% · 29.5%Ball care17.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Flamengo   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Flamengo wins
1
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24Flamengo v Botafogo78-56
20/04/24Botafogo v Flamengo87-92
06/02/24Botafogo v Flamengo78-102
07/11/23Flamengo v Botafogo92-69
25/11/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-72
15/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo75-90
11/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo77-81
09/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-69
04/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo77-79
02/03/19Botafogo v Flamengo67-73
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/24HUniao Corinthians95-77
07/11/24ASao Paulo75-77
04/11/24HCaxias do Sul84-55
01/11/24AUnifacisa87-77
29/10/24ACearense78-56
26/10/24HPinheiros66-61
24/10/24HCorinthians Paulista70-83
19/10/24AMogi114-66
17/10/24ASao Jose71-63
12/10/24AVasco59-50
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69
06/11/24HUniao Corinthians71-80
02/11/24APaulistano70-88
30/10/24AUnifacisa74-90
27/10/24ACearense77-52
24/10/24HPinheiros67-80
22/10/24HCorinthians Paulista58-73
14/10/24AMogi72-70 OT
12/10/24ASao Jose81-70
27/04/24AFlamengo56-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%75%83%
Points / game79.978.880.7
Allowed / game66.569.064.8
Point differential+13.4+9.8+15.8
Avg total146.4147.8145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%0%60%
Points / game70.364.874.8
Allowed / game74.775.574.0
Point differential-4.3-10.8+0.8
Avg total145.0140.2148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas98189%82.369.0+13.3
2 Flamengo108280%79.966.5+13.4
3 Uniao Corinthians75271%79.777.9+1.9
4 Brasilia96367%82.480.0+2.4
5 Sao Paulo96367%78.276.3+1.9
6 Bauru85362%78.679.5-0.9
7 Franca106460%80.378.4+1.9
8 Vasco95456%71.068.6+2.4
9 Pinheiros95456%71.272.6-1.3
10 Corinthians Paulista94544%81.681.0+0.6
11 Caxias do Sul73443%71.776.4-4.7
12 Paulistano93633%75.775.1+0.6
13 Pato93633%78.679.8-1.2
14 Botafogo93633%70.374.7-4.3
15 Mogi93633%69.779.3-9.7
16 Unifacisa82625%76.279.2-3.0
17 Sao Jose92722%69.676.1-6.6
18 Cearense92722%64.974.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2224182791
Botafogo1614142367
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