PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Flamengo vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-71
21-16 16-13 20-23 32-19
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game73.8
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho (Rio de Janeiro)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Cerrado
13 Nov 2023
FLAM89
CERR71
29 Nov 2022
FLAM91
CERR80
02 Mar 2022
FLAM69
CERR63
07 Apr 2021
FLAM88
CERR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A01/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
H06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A15/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
no box
A17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
56avg 77
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 77
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
93avg 77
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
no box
A10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
26-18
21-13
20-22
25-27
18-18
23-20
14-26
31-19
18-18
26-22
11-25
19-25
22-17
17-25
14-13
20-19
14-20
15-26
30-31
27-19
11-20
11-15
20-18
27-26
14-27
18-21
11-13
23-17
15-22
26-12
20-20
18-9
22-24
28-12
24-24
15-16
16-15
13-18
12-7
157.6Avg total
78.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.573.0151.5+5.575%
Season at home (3)82.075.7157.7+6.367%
Season away (1)68.065.0133.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.579.1157.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)76.672.8149.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.772.6157.4+12.181%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#16
W
109-84
109
84
+25
no box
H28/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 56
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 56
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 56
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 56
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-20
20-17
30-21
22-26
20-25
19-20
15-31
14-30
26-28
21-19
23-23
21-28
15-14
11-23
17-19
23-22
12-27
9-28
26-25
17-15
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
19-19
17-10
14-15
15-21
158.4Avg total
75.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.273.8145.0-2.620%
Season at home (4)72.871.5144.2+1.225%
Season away (1)65.083.0148.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)75.483.0158.4-7.620%
Last 5 (5)71.273.8145.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.293.6171.8-15.310%
vs Similar (7)81.082.7163.7-1.729%
vs Weaker (2)85.575.0160.5+10.550%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
FlamengoCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A01/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A10/11
NBB
79.8Avg total
39.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.678.7+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.038.779.7+2.362%-
Last 30 away (17)41.236.877.9+4.459%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.979.8+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.749.387.0-11.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.536.377.8+5.267%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#16
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H28/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
76.3Avg total
36.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.584.1-4.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.142.484.5-0.353%-
Last 30 away (13)36.347.383.6-11.015%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.676.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.070.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.946.285.1-7.333%-
vs Similar (7)39.943.683.4-3.729%-
vs Weaker (2)46.030.076.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.722.3
62.6%
51.8%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.37.7
27.1%
33.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.6%
72.6%14.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.0
46.8%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.55.5
21.6%
33.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws20.512.8
62.2%
72.6%12.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWLLLLWLW
Cerrado
LWLLLLLLLW
#2
League position
#17
+11.3
Net rating
-1.7
111.2
Offensive rating
93.2
99.9
Defensive rating
94.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
41.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.1%
3-point %
21.6%
63.3%
Assist %
52.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 93.2Defence99.9 · 94.9Shooting52.9% · 41.4%3-point %27.1% · 21.6%Ball care17.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 35.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Flamengo   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Flamengo wins
0
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
21/03/23Cerrado v Flamengo70-102
29/11/22Flamengo v Cerrado91-80
02/03/22Flamengo v Cerrado69-63
30/12/21Cerrado v Flamengo75-91
07/04/21Flamengo v Cerrado88-57
20/12/20Cerrado v Flamengo67-87
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23AVasco68-65 OT
07/11/23HBotafogo92-69
15/10/23HPato84-71
13/10/23HMinas70-87
17/05/23ASao Paulo69-72
15/05/23ASao Paulo79-96
12/05/23HSao Paulo72-80
06/05/23HBauru86-84
03/05/23ABauru80-91
01/05/23ABauru85-76
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HCaxias do Sul77-83 OT
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
15/04/23ASao Paulo64-95
13/04/23ACorinthians Paulista66-78
10/04/23APato91-98
06/04/23HFranca68-106
28/03/23HRio Claro109-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game78.582.068.0
Allowed / game73.075.765.0
Point differential+5.5+6.3+3.0
Avg total151.5157.7133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%25%0%
Points / game71.272.865.0
Allowed / game73.871.583.0
Point differential-2.6+1.2-18.0
Avg total145.0144.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca440100%92.077.2+14.8
2 Minas550100%82.268.6+13.6
3 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
4 Flamengo43175%78.573.0+5.5
5 Vasco64267%69.565.3+4.2
6 Uniao Corinthians64267%77.076.7+0.3
7 Bauru64267%75.275.0+0.2
8 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
9 Caxias do Sul53260%72.672.6+0.0
10 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
11 Corinthians Paulista42250%78.275.8+2.5
12 Pato73443%75.677.3-1.7
13 Brasilia52340%79.481.4-2.0
14 Sao Jose41325%76.874.0+2.8
15 Pinheiros41325%70.875.5-4.8
16 Cerrado51420%71.273.8-2.6
17 Sao Paulo51420%74.886.0-11.2
18 Mogi5050%67.477.4-10.0
19 Botafogo7070%71.784.0-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2116203289
Cerrado1613231971
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.