Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 May 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 72-80

19-25 22-17 17-25 14-13

Position#2

Record31-5

FormLWWLW

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game69.9

Flamengo

Sao Paulo 🏆

Position#3

Record25-11

FormWWLWW

Points / game86.1

Allowed / game79.8

NBBNBB - Semi-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Flamengo v Sao Paulo

SAO 102

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Paulo

79-70

H01/04

NBB

Paulistano

83-70

+13

H05/04

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

100-53

100

+47

A08/04

NBB

Franca

70-83

-13

A10/04

NBB

Minas

80-75

A14/04

Champions League Americas

Franca

79-88

-9

H15/04

Champions League Americas

Bauru

90-58

+32

H27/04

NBB

Bauru

85-76

A01/05

NBB

Bauru

80-91

-11

A03/05

NBB

Bauru

86-84

H06/05

NBB

17-20

20-14

23-12

19-24

26-20

21-16

25-19

11-15

22-19

18-11

27-10

33-13

14-30

20-16

21-20

15-17

15-22

26-18

22-20

17-15

17-29

21-20

22-15

19-24

25-15

20-17

20-16

25-10

18-23

26-18

21-13

20-22

25-27

18-18

23-20

14-26

31-19

18-18

26-22

11-25

158.0Avg total

83.2Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	84.7	69.9	154.6	+14.8	86%
Season at home (18)	82.8	66.6	149.4	+16.2	94%
Season away (18)	86.6	73.2	159.7	+13.4	78%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	74.8	158.0	+8.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	79.4	163.4	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.5	73.0	142.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (2)	74.5	85.5	160.0	-11.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	87.1	69.2	156.4	+17.9	92%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#15

88-72

+16

H10/03

NBB

Minas

76-87

-11

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

84-97

-13

A30/03

NBB

Flamengo

70-79

-9

A01/04

NBB

Paulistano

57-99

-42

A11/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

95-64

+31

H15/04

NBB

Pinheiros

92-77

+15

H28/04

NBB

Pinheiros

107-115

107

115

-8

A01/05

NBB

Pinheiros

77-60

+17

A04/05

NBB

Pinheiros

85-73

+12

H06/05

NBB

24-29

31-11

14-21

19-11

19-21

14-22

25-17

18-27

22-23

22-25

21-21

19-28

20-17

14-20

12-23

24-19

7-33

19-23

13-19

18-24

27-12

28-9

25-26

15-17

27-21

24-19

19-21

22-16

29-20

22-30

21-34

35-31

25-12

13-10

21-15

18-23

27-22

17-15

17-21

24-15

165.4Avg total

83.1Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	86.1	79.8	165.9	+6.3	69%
Season at home (18)	86.7	77.9	164.7	+8.8	78%
Season away (18)	85.5	81.7	167.2	+3.8	61%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	82.3	165.4	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	77.8	169.0	+13.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	76.5	91.0	167.5	-14.5	0%
vs Similar (11)	84.7	81.4	166.1	+3.4	64%
vs Weaker (14)	86.9	78.0	164.9	+8.9	71%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.9	39.8	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	29.5	45.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.6	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	22.9	45.3	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	17.4	44.4	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.3	20.4	42.6	+1.9	73%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.1	21.4	43.6	+0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	16.5	30.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.8	38.8	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	16.2	37.5	+5.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.9	40.5	+0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	18.8	35.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.6	18.7	38.4	+0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.6	16.9	39.4	+5.7	64%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Paulo

37-34

H01/04

NBB

Paulistano

47-36

+11

H05/04

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

40-30

+10

A08/04

NBB

Franca

34-46

-12

A10/04

NBB

Minas

41-40

A14/04

Champions League Americas

Franca

38-49

-11

H15/04

Champions League Americas

Bauru

45-32

+13

H27/04

NBB

Bauru

44-41

A01/05

NBB

Bauru

43-45

-2

A03/05

NBB

Bauru

49-37

+12

H06/05

NBB

80.8Avg total

41.8Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	35.8	77.2	+5.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	35.3	77.0	+6.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	36.3	77.4	+4.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	32.5	63.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.0	47.5	83.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.0	35.4	78.4	+7.7	84%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#15

55-40

+15

H10/03

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

44-48

-4

A30/03

NBB

Flamengo

34-37

-3

A01/04

NBB

Paulistano

26-56

-30

A11/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

55-21

+34

H15/04

NBB

Pinheiros

51-40

+11

H28/04

NBB

Pinheiros

51-50

A01/05

NBB

Pinheiros

38-22

+16

A04/05

NBB

Pinheiros

44-37

H06/05

NBB

82.5Avg total

43.1Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	39.2	82.8	+4.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.4	82.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	34.0	81.8	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.8	42.5	80.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.9	39.1	81.0	+2.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	44.7	38.3	83.0	+6.4	64%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	17.5	40.1	+5.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	16.5	39.1	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	16.7	39.7	+6.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.3	17.4	40.7	+5.9	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.8	42.2	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	14.5	23.0	37.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.3	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	15.6	34.9	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.8	16.5	37.3	+4.3	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.8	41.7	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.6	20.4	39.9	-0.8	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	34.6	77.8	+8.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	32.1	74.1	+9.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.2	36.8	81.0	+7.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	35.8	77.2	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.6	78.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	38.0	76.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.1	33.9	78.0	+10.2	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	41.3	83.2	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	38.5	80.3	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.1	44.8	86.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.9	82.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.8	87.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	35.5	44.5	80.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.8	42.3	85.1	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.2	39.7	81.9	+2.5	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
01/04/23	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	79-70
26/01/23	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	70-74
20/12/22	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	66-91
02/04/22	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	88-78
23/10/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	61-86
27/05/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	85-93
24/05/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	81-82
22/05/21	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	96-93
11/04/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	66-75
27/02/21	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	93-74

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/23	H	Bauru	86-84
03/05/23	A	Bauru	80-91
01/05/23	A	Bauru	85-76
27/04/23	H	Bauru	90-58
15/04/23	H	Franca	79-88
14/04/23	A	Minas	80-75
10/04/23	A	Franca	70-83
08/04/23	A	Rio Claro	100-53
05/04/23	H	Paulistano	83-70
01/04/23	H	Sao Paulo	79-70

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/23	H	Pinheiros	85-73
04/05/23	A	Pinheiros	77-60
01/05/23	A	Pinheiros	107-115
28/04/23	H	Pinheiros	92-77
15/04/23	H	Cerrado	95-64
11/04/23	A	Paulistano	57-99
01/04/23	A	Flamengo	70-79
30/03/23	A	Sao Jose	84-97
14/03/23	A	Minas	76-87
10/03/23	H	Brasilia	88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	86%
Home	WWWWW	94%
Away	WWLWL	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	86%	94%	78%
Points / game	84.7	82.8	86.6
Allowed / game	69.9	66.6	73.2
Point differential	+14.8	+16.2	+13.4
Avg total	154.6	149.4	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	67%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	LLLLW	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	69%	78%	61%
Points / game	86.1	86.7	85.5
Allowed / game	79.8	77.9	81.7
Point differential	+6.3	+8.8	+3.8
Avg total	165.9	164.7	167.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	50%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	37	35	2	95%	90.4	77.9	+12.6
2	Flamengo	36	31	5	86%	84.7	69.9	+14.8
3	Sao Paulo	36	25	11	69%	86.1	79.8	+6.3
4	Minas	37	25	12	68%	85.0	78.5	+6.5
5	Paulistano	40	25	15	62%	78.5	73.5	+5.0
6	Pinheiros	38	23	15	61%	80.9	78.2	+2.8
7	Bauru	39	22	17	56%	78.3	72.9	+5.4
8	Unifacisa	39	20	19	51%	78.9	80.5	-1.5
9	Corinthians Paulista	34	17	17	50%	80.7	79.5	+1.2
10	Sao Jose	35	16	19	46%	80.7	82.5	-1.8
11	Caxias do Sul	34	12	22	35%	72.5	76.4	-3.9
12	Pato	35	11	24	31%	77.4	84.3	-7.0
13	Uniao Corinthians	32	10	22	31%	78.6	82.4	-3.9
14	Cearense	32	9	23	28%	73.8	83.8	-10.0
15	Brasilia	32	7	25	22%	77.7	87.8	-10.2
16	Rio Claro	32	7	25	22%	75.9	88.4	-12.5
17	Cerrado	32	5	27	16%	81.3	92.4	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	19	22	17	14	72
Sao Paulo	25	17	25	13	80

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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