PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Flamengo vs Osasco Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game70.7
Flamengo
Brazil
vs
Osasco
Brazil
Position#13
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.7
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Flamengo v Osasco
21 Dec 2026
FLAM v OSAS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FLAM101
OSAS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Flamengo
3.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.5
80.8▼ 4.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.9
74.4▼ 7.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
52%▼ 6%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.4
20.0▲ 1.6
🔥 Form · Osasco
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.0
78.0▲ 1.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.0
79.0▼ 10.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
57%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.8
15.0▼ 1.8
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
104-77
104
77
+27
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
30-16
20-29
17-17
22-18
21-28
33-10
28-21
18-21
14-18
18-19
30-27
19-15
28-18
23-19
13-14
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
162.6Avg total
85.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.770.7150.3+9.067%
Season at home (3)79.770.7150.3+9.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.177.5162.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (9)84.783.9168.6+0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.279.2167.5+9.065%
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A20/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H22/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#18
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-16
19-23
22-21
13-18
20-26
19-30
19-27
20-31
19-12
18-18
9-17
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
14-19
21-20
23-14
19-15
12-23
26-23
17-17
21-10
20-21
21-20
17-26
12-29
32-17
22-23
18-13
21-16
21-25
18-24
19-26
16-14
165.3Avg total
77.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.084.7163.7-5.733%
Season at home (1)74.089.0163.0-15.00%
Season away (2)81.582.5164.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.887.5165.3-9.740%
Last 5 (5)78.079.0157.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.790.4165.0-15.79%
vs Similar (7)80.081.6161.6-1.643%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
FlamengoOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
81.2Avg total
42.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.185.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.439.886.2+6.571%-
Last 30 away (13)40.842.883.7-2.054%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (9)43.841.885.6+2.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.539.785.2+5.871%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H22/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#18
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H29/10
NBB
82.5Avg total
38.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.482.1-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.143.180.2-5.929%-
Last 30 away (16)40.043.883.8-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.382.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.544.582.1-7.018%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.480.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.6
55.5%
49.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.6
34.1%
31.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.7
68.0%
71.2%11.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.3%
49.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.9
28.3%
31.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
71.2%12.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLLWLWLWW
Osasco
LWLWWLLLLW
#7
League position
#13
+7.6
Net rating
-15.4
95.8
Offensive rating
83.1
88.2
Defensive rating
98.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
46.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
28.3%
66.0%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 83.1Defence88.2 · 98.5Shooting53.4% · 46.0%3-point %34.1% · 28.3%Ball care14.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Flamengo   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Flamengo wins
0
Osasco wins
DateGameScore
20/03/26Flamengo v Osasco101-71
05/11/25Osasco v Flamengo67-88
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98
08/05/26HBrasilia83-66
05/05/26ABrasilia80-85
30/04/26HUniao Corinthians104-77
27/04/26AUniao Corinthians90-77
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HPinheiros74-89
20/10/26ACearense93-69
17/10/26AUnifacisa70-96
17/04/26AMogi76-73
11/04/26HPato77-68
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101
22/03/26HMinas66-78
20/03/26AFlamengo71-101
17/03/26HCearense90-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game79.779.7-
Allowed / game70.770.7-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total150.3150.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Osasco
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game79.074.081.5
Allowed / game84.789.082.5
Point differential-5.7-15.0-1.0
Avg total163.7163.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.