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Flamengo vs Osasco Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#16
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.8
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Flamengo v Osasco
21 Dec 2026
FLAM v OSAS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FLAM101
OSAS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 78
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 78
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 78
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 78
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
35avg 78
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
19-19
20-13
18-21
26-12
33-25
26-21
14-27
18-14
24-18
16-19
24-13
16-16
17-19
21-28
12-17
23-20
159.3Avg total
82.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.973.4154.3+7.471%
Season at home (5)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
Season away (2)85.576.5162.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.177.2159.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.872.2153.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (9)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.877.1165.8+11.776%
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
57avg 65
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
87avg 65
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
56avg 65
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 65
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
70-96
70
96
-26
41avg 65
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
93-69
93
69
+24
72avg 65
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
45avg 65
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
14-19
21-20
23-14
19-15
12-23
26-23
17-17
21-10
20-21
21-20
17-26
12-29
32-17
22-23
18-13
21-16
21-25
18-24
19-26
16-14
16-31
17-19
13-28
35-12
25-27
12-20
16-27
22-19
16-21
25-26
12-17
21-20
165.5Avg total
78.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.886.8164.7-9.017%
Season at home (3)76.790.7167.3-14.00%
Season away (3)79.083.0162.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)78.187.4165.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.090.7165.7-15.74%
vs Similar (6)80.283.5163.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
FlamengoOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/11
NBB
82.6Avg total
42.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.539.484.9+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.183.9-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.782.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (9)42.142.684.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.038.584.5+7.582%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
NBB
85.4Avg total
38.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.482.8-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.145.181.2-9.015%-
Last 30 away (17)40.143.984.0-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.885.4-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.687.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.445.482.8-8.013%-
vs Similar (6)39.341.380.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
49.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.6
32.6%
31.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.3%
49.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.9
28.3%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
71.3%12.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
LWWWWWLLWL
Osasco
LLLLWLWWLL
#4
League position
#16
+8.7
Net rating
-15.4
95.1
Offensive rating
83.1
86.5
Defensive rating
98.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
46.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
28.3%
63.9%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 83.1Defence86.5 · 98.5Shooting52.7% · 46.0%3-point %32.6% · 28.3%Ball care14.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Flamengo   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Flamengo wins
0
Osasco wins
DateGameScore
20/03/26Flamengo v Osasco101-71
05/11/25Osasco v Flamengo67-88
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HFranca73-84
07/11/26APato80-66
04/11/26ABrasilia91-87
01/11/26HUniao Corinthians83-65
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACorinthians Paulista74-84
12/11/26HMogi75-93
05/11/26HSao Jose81-90
29/10/26HPinheiros74-89
20/10/26ACearense93-69
17/10/26AUnifacisa70-96
17/04/26AMogi76-73
11/04/26HPato77-68
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%60%100%
Points / game80.979.085.5
Allowed / game73.472.276.5
Point differential+7.4+6.8+9.0
Avg total154.3151.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osasco
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game77.876.779.0
Allowed / game86.890.783.0
Point differential-9.0-14.0-4.0
Avg total164.7167.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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