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Osasco vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 90-89 (OT)
18-16 17-16 19-23 22-21 14-13
Position#18
Record4-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game87.6
Osasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#19
Record6-25
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game87.4
BrazilNBB· Ginásio Galegão
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
64-96
64
96
-32
no box
H16/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 68
H20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
57avg 68
H04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 68
A07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 68
A20/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 68
A22/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 68
A05/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
84-92
84
92
-8
68avg 68
H07/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 68
A12/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 68
A14/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
14-22
12-21
15-28
13-23
25-16
14-19
23-19
19-30
14-23
16-22
24-20
19-18
18-20
20-25
16-23
20-20
27-18
18-29
14-16
20-17
18-15
19-26
9-25
23-27
17-23
24-25
17-23
17-17
17-23
26-24
24-28
21-27
28-17
19-21
11-20
18-23
25-28
24-12
19-25
164.3Avg total
76.0Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.887.6163.4-11.813%
Season at home (15)73.185.3158.4-12.320%
Season away (16)78.389.8168.1-11.46%
Last 10 (10)76.088.3164.3-12.30%
Last 5 (5)79.289.2168.4-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)76.189.0165.2-12.98%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.079.0156.0-2.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 65
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 65
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 65
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
W
64-59
64
59
+5
52avg 65
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-107
70
107
-37
56avg 65
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 65
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
49-81
49
81
-32
33avg 65
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
54avg 65
H13/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
24-21
15-20
21-19
15-23
18-14
22-19
11-15
28-25
13-25
22-25
19-22
19-26
18-16
18-28
21-26
20-27
12-19
20-22
24-20
21-16
14-24
10-8
19-11
14-32
21-25
20-25
15-25
20-21
28-12
11-27
18-23
14-24
4-15
23-21
8-21
20-27
11-20
26-21
15-25
157.5Avg total
71.8Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.787.4163.1-11.619%
Season at home (17)74.985.0159.9-10.124%
Season away (14)76.890.3167.1-13.514%
Last 10 (10)71.885.7157.5-13.920%
Last 5 (5)66.484.6151.0-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)74.490.3164.7-16.04%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.277.2156.3+2.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
OsascoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H16/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A20/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A22/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A14/03
NBB
82.8Avg total
39.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.783.4-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.842.480.2-4.621%-
Last 30 away (16)41.444.886.2-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.282.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.844.784.5-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.339.779.0-0.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
NBB
79.4Avg total
36.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.644.882.5-7.223%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.843.680.4-6.924%-
Last 30 away (13)38.846.485.2-7.623%-
Last 10 (10)36.043.479.4-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.443.276.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.145.782.8-8.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.741.581.2-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.6
48.6%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.0
31.5%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.0
68.2%
72.8%12.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.5
46.9%
52.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.3
26.1%
32.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.715.2
70.0%
72.8%15.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osasco
LLLLLLLLLL
Cearense
LLLLWLLLLW
#18
League position
#19
-10.9
Net rating
-17.3
85.8
Offensive rating
79.5
96.7
Defensive rating
96.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
43.9%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
26.1%
65.0%
Assist %
61.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 79.5Defence96.7 · 96.8Shooting48.0% · 43.9%3-point %31.5% · 26.1%Ball care16.0% · 19.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Osasco   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osasco wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
09/12/25Cearense v Osasco89-82
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AVasco86-88
12/03/26ABotafogo79-85
07/03/26HCruzeiro84-92
05/03/26ASao Jose81-98
22/02/26ACaxias do Sul66-83
20/02/26AUniao Corinthians79-83
07/02/26APaulistano73-86
04/02/26HPinheiros73-95
20/01/26HRio Claro75-77
16/01/26HBrasilia64-96
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HRio Claro72-93
11/03/26HBrasilia49-81
07/03/26APinheiros77-83
05/03/26ABauru70-107
18/02/26HPato64-59
09/02/26AMogi76-88
07/02/26ACorinthians Paulista76-96
04/02/26ASao Jose82-97
20/01/26HUnifacisa66-71
16/01/26HBotafogo86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %13%20%6%
Points / game75.873.178.3
Allowed / game87.685.389.8
Point differential-11.8-12.3-11.4
Avg total163.4158.4168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)25% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL19%
HomeWLWLL24%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %19%24%14%
Points / game75.774.976.8
Allowed / game87.485.090.3
Point differential-11.6-10.1-13.5
Avg total163.1159.9167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3126584%86.474.2+12.2
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Corinthians Paulista3022873%84.778.1+6.5
6 Brasilia3122971%81.471.6+9.7
7 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
8 Bauru32191359%81.078.5+2.5
9 Sao Jose31181358%82.480.4+2.0
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi31171455%75.870.1+5.7
12 Unifacisa30161453%80.479.4+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul30131743%72.676.8-4.3
14 Cruzeiro30111937%80.085.8-5.8
15 Rio Claro31102132%78.086.2-8.1
16 Pato3072323%73.579.8-6.3
17 Botafogo3172423%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense3162519%75.787.4-11.6
19 Vasco3252716%70.279.3-9.1
20 Osasco3142713%75.887.6-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Osasco181719221490
Cearense161623211389
← all games of the day
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