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Florida International vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-74
44-39 45-35
Position#232
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#178
Record9-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida International v New Mexico State
02 Jan 2026
FLOR89
NEW 74
16 Jan 2025
FLOR52
NEW 59
11 Jan 2024
FLOR77
NEW 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida International winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida InternationalUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A14/11
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#475
W
104-80
104
80
+24
H19/11
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H25/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H06/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A17/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#671
W
121-70
121
70
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
43-55
54-40
50-40
45-41
27-39
38-31
36-30
44-38
45-45
41-23
47-42
43-43
38-55
44-46
42-33
68-36
53-34
33-41
49-41
170.1Avg total
89.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.179.7167.8+8.458%
Season at home (9)92.173.8165.9+18.378%
Season away (3)76.097.3173.3-21.30%
Last 10 (10)89.081.1170.1+7.960%
Last 5 (5)94.081.8175.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.777.6143.3-11.96%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.076.6154.6+1.460%
vs Weaker (2)112.575.0187.5+37.5100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
104-33
104
33
+71
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
45-34
27-27
49-41
40-32
41-40
26-20
31-25
37-28
40-30
32-36
45-39
27-35
42-42
27-49
43-34
48-28
39-50
52-17
52-16
141.9Avg total
77.2Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.765.4143.1+12.482%
Season at home (8)81.565.2146.8+16.288%
Season away (3)67.765.7133.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)77.264.7141.9+12.580%
Last 5 (5)81.469.2150.6+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.367.7135.0-0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.364.3132.6+4.160%
vs Weaker (7)71.362.9134.1+8.471%
This opponent (Florida International) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +7.6+7.6
Florida InternationalNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida InternationalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/11
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#475
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H19/11
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A17/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#671
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/12
NCAA
83.0Avg total
44.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.072.0-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.836.276.0+3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)29.437.967.4-8.50%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.283.0+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.883.6+8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.538.167.6-8.66%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.536.373.8+1.240%-
vs Weaker (2)61.038.099.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
52-17
52
17
+35
H28/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
34.5Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.828.562.2+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.327.562.8+7.876%-
Last 30 away (13)31.829.761.5+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)34.529.664.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.070.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.330.361.7+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.127.060.1+6.167%-
vs Weaker (7)33.430.664.0+2.971%-
This opponent (Florida International) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida International wins
3
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HLiberty94-97 OT
22/12/25HTrinity Baptist121-70
20/12/25HLIU Sharks86-79
17/12/25AMiami (FL)81-98
06/12/25HJacksonville Dolphins88-65
04/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast89-83
26/11/25HNebraska O.74-61
25/11/25HJames Madison72-80
19/11/25HFort Lauderdale104-80
14/11/25ALSU81-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HSouthwest Mustangs104-33
21/12/25HSam Houston St.87-78
13/12/25HTulsa70-83
06/12/25AAbilene Christian69-77
03/12/25ASouth Alabama77-75
26/11/25HGeorgia State77-58
26/11/25AUC Irvine57-45
22/11/25HSamford81-72
16/11/25HNew Mexico76-68
12/11/25HNew Mexico Cowboys74-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida International
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %58%78%0%
Points / game88.192.176.0
Allowed / game79.773.897.3
Point differential+8.4+18.3-21.3
Avg total167.8165.9173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%11%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW82%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %82%88%67%
Points / game77.781.567.7
Allowed / game65.465.265.7
Point differential+12.4+16.2+2.0
Avg total143.1146.8133.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State119282%77.765.4+12.4
2 Liberty129375%81.667.7+13.9
3 Kennesaw State128467%93.376.1+17.2
4 Louisiana Tech128467%71.856.1+15.7
5 Sam Houston St.128467%88.174.8+13.3
6 Florida International127558%88.179.7+8.4
7 Western Kentucky127558%83.076.9+6.1
8 Middle Tenn. St.127558%76.571.2+5.3
9 Missouri State127558%73.369.7+3.7
10 Jacksonville State126650%74.963.6+11.3
11 UTEP124833%71.671.5+0.1
12 Delaware124833%66.272.6-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida International444589
New Mexico State393574
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