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New Mexico State vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-58
37-28 40-30
Position#178
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#332
Record1-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
38-44
34-20
31-27
33-19
34-36
38-45
31-31
34-34
43-46
43-36
40-36
29-24
45-34
27-27
49-41
40-32
41-40
26-20
31-25
135.9Avg total
71.5Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.263.0137.2+11.2100%
Season at home (4)78.567.5146.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)57.045.0102.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.564.4135.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)74.263.0137.2+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.265.6132.8+1.660%
vs Similar (16)67.866.1133.9+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)73.160.6133.7+12.686%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#497
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H14/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A18/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
58-105
58
105
-47
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
38-42
36-28
44-43
39-34
37-45
23-32
26-39
30-39
34-35
35-25
26-38
50-26
40-30
39-34
23-41
19-53
39-52
32-37
31-41
142.6Avg total
67.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)63.974.6138.4-10.714%
Season at home (3)71.365.7137.0+5.733%
Season away (4)58.281.2139.5-23.00%
Last 10 (10)67.874.8142.6-7.020%
Last 5 (5)66.875.4142.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.983.7151.7-15.813%
vs Similar (12)75.072.3147.3+2.750%
vs Weaker (2)87.072.5159.5+14.5100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -6.8-6.8
New Mexico StateGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A26/11
NCAA
61.6Avg total
33.2Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.828.362.1+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.426.160.5+8.376%-
Last 30 away (13)32.931.264.1+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)33.228.461.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.027.860.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.028.660.6+3.460%-
vs Similar (16)32.628.060.6+4.669%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.028.963.9+6.171%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#497
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H14/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
19-53
19
53
-34
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.572.4-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.334.473.7+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)33.138.271.3-5.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.268.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.070.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.940.373.2-7.327%-
vs Similar (12)37.233.470.6+3.858%-
vs Weaker (2)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
0
Georgia State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25AUC Irvine57-45
22/11/25HSamford81-72
16/11/25HNew Mexico76-68
12/11/25HNew Mexico Cowboys74-58
05/11/25HAdams State83-72
13/03/25AKennesaw State77-80
08/03/25ASam Houston St.69-76
07/03/25ALouisiana Tech67-55
01/03/25HWestern Kentucky65-47
28/02/25HMiddle Tenn. St.66-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HSamford63-78
22/11/25ASouth Dakota St.58-105
18/11/25AArizona State62-75
14/11/25HFort Valley State Wildcats90-56
11/11/25HPresbyterian61-63
08/11/25ACincinnati64-74
03/11/25AEastern Michigan49-71
07/03/25AMarshall76-79
06/03/25HGeorgia Southern80-71
01/03/25AGeorgia Southern75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.278.557.0
Allowed / game63.067.545.0
Point differential+11.2+11.0+12.0
Avg total137.2146.0102.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game63.971.358.2
Allowed / game74.665.781.2
Point differential-10.7+5.7-23.0
Avg total138.4137.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State550100%74.263.0+11.2
2 Western Kentucky54180%87.876.2+11.6
3 Liberty75271%83.766.4+17.3
4 Kennesaw State64267%94.874.2+20.7
5 Jacksonville State53260%86.662.8+23.8
6 Sam Houston St.53260%86.873.2+13.6
7 Middle Tenn. St.74357%82.673.7+8.9
8 Louisiana Tech42250%65.555.8+9.8
9 Missouri State63350%77.270.3+6.8
10 Florida International63350%83.077.3+5.7
11 UTEP73443%74.372.0+2.3
12 Delaware62433%68.873.8-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall65183%84.078.0+6.0
2 Texas State86275%76.462.4+14.0
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 James Madison85362%78.175.6+2.5
5 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
6 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
7 Arkansas State74357%78.682.1-3.6
8 Troy95456%88.081.7+6.3
9 Appalachian State84450%69.670.0-0.4
10 Old Dominion83538%75.176.5-1.4
11 Georgia Southern83538%79.883.1-3.4
12 Georgia State71614%63.974.6-10.7
13 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%58.775.9-17.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State374077
Georgia State283058
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