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Florida State vs Boston College Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-72
0-0 32-42 0-0 48-30
Position#167
Record12-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#308
Record9-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida State v Boston College
17 Feb 2026
FLOR80
BOST72
20 Feb 2024
FLOR84
BOST76
18 Feb 2023
FLOR69
BOST75
03 Mar 2021
FLOR93
BOST64
07 Mar 2020
FLOR80
BOST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
L
69-113
69
113
-44
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A21/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A24/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
92-69
92
69
+23
A14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-56
0-0
38-57
0-0
40-43
0-0
46-51
0-0
34-31
0-0
34-38
0-0
38-37
0-0
27-26
0-0
34-46
0-0
46-37
0-0
36-23
0-0
27-38
0-0
41-33
0-0
47-47
0-0
41-32
0-0
41-47
0-0
32-32
0-0
26-29
0-0
39-42
0-0
53-27
152.3Avg total
75.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.478.4158.8+2.048%
Season at home (16)82.977.2160.1+5.656%
Season away (9)75.980.4156.3-4.633%
Last 10 (10)75.177.2152.3-2.150%
Last 5 (5)76.670.0146.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.885.2156.9-13.423%
vs Similar (12)80.477.5157.9+2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.262.8154.0+28.480%
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
50-74
50
74
-24
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
81-73 OT
81
73
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H12/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-30
0-0
28-45
0-0
27-37
0-0
23-37
0-0
28-33
0-0
36-31
0-0
28-22
0-0
37-40
0-0
35-24
0-0
29-44
0-0
32-27
0-0
34-46
0-0
27-42
0-0
22-25
0-0
33-34
0-0
35-40
0-0
34-34
0-0
30-36
0-0
28-43
0-0
47-43
136.6Avg total
64.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)67.469.3136.8-1.936%
Season at home (18)69.768.3138.0+1.344%
Season away (7)61.771.9133.6-10.114%
Last 10 (10)64.472.2136.6-7.820%
Last 5 (5)64.474.0138.4-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.773.5140.1-6.819%
vs Similar (9)69.163.9133.0+5.267%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -6.6-6.6
Florida StateBoston College
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/02
NCAA
74.1Avg total
36.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.074.6+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.835.674.5+3.263%-
Last 30 away (11)35.339.574.7-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.574.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.470.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.842.677.5-7.831%-
vs Similar (12)37.834.372.2+3.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.829.072.8+14.880%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H14/02
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.733.664.2-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (20)31.932.764.6-0.945%-
Last 30 away (10)28.335.363.6-7.030%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.663.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.836.066.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.535.766.2-5.229%-
vs Similar (9)31.128.659.7+2.667%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Florida State wins
3
Boston College wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AVirginia Tech92-69
11/02/26HVirginia58-61
07/02/26ANotre Dame82-79
31/01/26HStanford88-80
29/01/26HCalifornia63-61
24/01/26ASMU Mustangs80-83
21/01/26AMiami (FL)65-63
17/01/26HWake Forest68-69
14/01/26ASyracuse86-94
10/01/26HNC State69-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HCalifornia75-86
12/02/26HStanford64-70
07/02/26HMiami (FL)68-74
04/02/26ADuke49-67
31/01/26HVirginia66-73
24/01/26ANotre Dame64-68
22/01/26HPittsburgh65-62
17/01/26HSyracuse81-73 OT
14/01/26AClemson50-74
10/01/26ALouisville62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW48%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %48%56%33%
Points / game80.482.975.9
Allowed / game78.477.280.4
Point differential+2.0+5.6-4.6
Avg total158.8160.1156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston College
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25187
Win %36%44%14%
Points / game67.469.761.7
Allowed / game69.368.371.9
Point differential-1.9+1.3-10.1
Avg total136.8138.0133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %16%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2624292%83.063.2+19.8
2 Virginia2622485%80.368.9+11.5
3 Miami (FL)2520580%83.670.1+13.5
4 North Carolina2520580%81.870.4+11.4
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2519676%86.970.9+16.0
7 NC State2618869%85.074.4+10.6
8 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
9 SMU Mustangs2517868%86.277.6+8.6
10 Virginia Tech2617965%79.274.7+4.4
11 Stanford26161062%75.472.5+2.9
12 Syracuse27151256%76.073.2+2.8
13 Wake Forest25131252%79.777.0+2.7
14 Florida State25121348%80.478.4+2.0
15 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
18 Pittsburgh2691735%69.971.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Florida State03204880
Boston College04203072
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