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Florida State vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-61
36-23 27-38
Position#167
Record8-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.5
Florida State 🏆
USA
vs
California
USA
Position#79
Record15-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida State v California
11 Mar 2026
FLOR95
CALI89
28 Jan 2026
FLOR63
CALI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H23/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
69-113
69
113
-44
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A21/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-42
38-55
54-17
42-32
43-21
44-42
34-40
32-39
42-42
45-49
31-56
38-57
40-43
46-51
34-31
34-38
38-37
27-26
34-46
46-37
157.4Avg total
77.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.380.5161.8+0.840%
Season at home (13)85.979.5165.5+6.454%
Season away (7)72.782.3155.0-9.614%
Last 10 (10)77.380.1157.4-2.830%
Last 5 (5)73.684.4158.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.686.2157.8-14.621%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.977.1155.0+0.840%
vs Weaker (6)88.363.3151.7+25.083%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#331
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
97-50
97
50
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
42-33
50-23
47-27
28-16
46-40
34-48
36-42
27-31
45-40
33-43
27-41
37-37
38-41
30-37
26-34
54-37
30-41
38-34
40-32
145.9Avg total
74.5Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.870.2149.0+8.575%
Season at home (16)79.167.4146.5+11.888%
Season away (4)77.281.8159.0-4.525%
Last 10 (10)74.571.4145.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)70.675.4146.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.781.5146.2-16.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.174.1153.3+5.057%
vs Weaker (10)84.368.8153.1+15.590%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
Florida StateCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H23/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
38.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.637.573.1-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.336.073.3+1.358%-
Last 30 away (11)32.740.072.7-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.575.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.678.0-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.643.176.7-9.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.734.569.2+0.260%-
vs Weaker (6)41.729.371.0+12.367%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#331
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.469.0+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.532.168.5+4.458%-
Last 30 away (11)31.238.569.7-7.49%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.371.1+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.676.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.241.570.7-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.732.467.1+2.343%-
vs Weaker (10)37.533.070.5+4.560%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
1
California wins
DateGameScore
23/01/25California v Florida State77-68
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ASMU Mustangs80-83
21/01/26AMiami (FL)65-63
17/01/26HWake Forest68-69
14/01/26ASyracuse86-94
10/01/26HNC State69-113
03/01/26HDuke87-91
31/12/25ANorth Carolina66-79
23/12/25HJacksonville Dolphins87-63
20/12/25HMiss. Valley St.96-49
17/12/25ADayton69-97
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26AStanford78-66
17/01/26HNorth Carolina84-78
15/01/26HDuke56-71
10/01/26AVirginia Tech75-78
08/01/26AVirginia60-84
03/01/26HNotre Dame72-71
31/12/25HLouisville70-90
21/12/25HColumbia74-56
20/12/25HMorgan State97-50
13/12/25HNorthwestern St.79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %40%54%14%
Points / game81.385.972.7
Allowed / game80.579.582.3
Point differential+0.8+6.4-9.6
Avg total161.8165.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%54%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW75%
HomeWLWLW88%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20164
Win %75%88%25%
Points / game78.879.177.2
Allowed / game70.267.481.8
Point differential+8.5+11.8-4.5
Avg total149.0146.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2019195%85.664.6+21.0
2 Clemson2117481%77.165.1+12.0
3 Virginia2117481%83.171.2+12.0
4 Miami (FL)2016480%85.069.3+15.7
5 North Carolina2016480%82.570.0+12.5
6 SMU Mustangs2015575%87.277.0+10.2
7 California2015575%78.870.2+8.5
8 Virginia Tech2216673%81.074.1+6.9
9 NC State2115671%85.471.7+13.8
10 Louisville2014670%86.070.3+15.7
11 Stanford2014670%76.072.5+3.5
12 Syracuse2112957%75.369.9+5.4
13 Wake Forest21111052%80.176.7+3.4
14 Notre Dame21111052%74.071.5+2.5
15 Georgia Tech21111052%74.573.1+1.3
16 Boston College2091145%68.268.2+0.1
17 Pittsburgh2191243%73.071.5+1.5
18 Florida State2081240%81.380.5+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State362763
California233861
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