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Florida State vs Boston College Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-76
43-43 41-33
Position#196
Record13-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#169
Record15-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida State v Boston College
17 Feb 2026
FLOR80
BOST72
20 Feb 2024
FLOR84
BOST76
18 Feb 2023
FLOR69
BOST75
03 Mar 2021
FLOR93
BOST64
07 Mar 2020
FLOR80
BOST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
34-29
45-35
39-40
30-30
37-48
35-36
50-33
41-36
27-39
35-47
57-54
37-31
26-31
30-34
46-46
39-39
36-44
34-44
33-32
150.1Avg total
74.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.274.8150.9+1.452%
Season at home (15)76.372.7149.1+3.653%
Season away (10)75.977.8153.7-1.950%
Last 10 (10)74.475.7150.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)74.680.4155.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.676.4147.0-5.931%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.471.1149.5+7.367%
vs Weaker (2)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A13/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H16/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A10/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
43-45
29-36
34-23
31-34
35-42
33-44
38-32
23-23
38-35
37-30
43-45
31-37
31-26
32-36
33-44
39-47
50-30
41-41
44-36
145.0Avg total
72.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.272.8149.0+3.460%
Season at home (16)77.971.4149.3+6.669%
Season away (9)73.175.3148.4-2.244%
Last 10 (10)72.073.0145.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)76.274.4150.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.576.0146.5-5.538%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.572.0146.5+2.553%
vs Weaker (7)80.467.0147.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
Florida StateBoston College
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
35.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.868.0-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.832.264.9+0.650%-
Last 30 away (12)34.038.772.7-4.742%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.172.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.536.767.2-6.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.932.569.4+4.458%-
vs Weaker (2)33.533.066.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H16/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A27/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
33.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.369.5-1.030%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.433.969.4+1.542%-
Last 30 away (11)32.337.569.8-5.39%-
Last 10 (10)33.137.270.3-4.110%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.835.668.4-2.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.335.270.5+0.127%-
vs Weaker (7)33.935.068.9-1.129%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
2
Boston College wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HDuke67-76
14/02/24AVirginia Tech75-83
11/02/24HVirginia76-80
07/02/24ABoston College63-62
04/02/24ALouisville92-101
27/01/24HNorth Carolina68-75
24/01/24ASyracuse85-69
20/01/24HClemson67-78
18/01/24AMiami (FL)84-75
13/01/24ANotre Dame67-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HMiami (FL)85-77
14/02/24HLouisville89-77
10/02/24ADuke65-80
07/02/24HFlorida State62-63
31/01/24HSyracuse80-75
27/01/24ANotre Dame61-58
24/01/24AVirginia Tech71-76
20/01/24HNorth Carolina66-76
16/01/24HNotre Dame63-59
13/01/24AClemson78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWLLLL53%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game76.276.375.9
Allowed / game74.872.777.8
Point differential+1.4+3.6-1.9
Avg total150.9149.1153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Boston College
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %60%69%44%
Points / game76.277.973.1
Allowed / game72.871.475.3
Point differential+3.4+6.6-2.2
Avg total149.0149.3148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2520580%80.367.6+12.7
2 North Carolina2620677%82.871.4+11.4
3 Virginia2720774%64.158.6+5.6
4 SMU Mustangs2619773%77.865.7+12.1
5 Pittsburgh2517868%75.666.2+9.4
6 Clemson2517868%78.872.0+6.8
7 Wake Forest2516964%79.069.8+9.2
8 NC State2516964%75.570.8+4.6
9 Syracuse26161062%75.474.3+1.1
10 Boston College25151060%76.272.8+3.4
11 Virginia Tech26151158%74.669.6+5.0
12 Miami (FL)27151256%77.472.5+4.9
13 Florida State25131252%76.274.8+1.4
14 Stanford25121348%77.576.0+1.5
15 California26111542%74.876.3-1.5
16 Georgia Tech26111542%70.975.0-4.1
17 Notre Dame2591636%61.965.3-3.4
18 Louisville2681831%73.478.9-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State434184
Boston College433376
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