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Florida State vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 54-50
31-24 23-26
Position#12
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#43
Record7-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game54.6
Allowed / game51.4
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Florida State v Virginia
10 Feb 2026
FLOR58
VIRG61
10 Feb 2024
FLOR76
VIRG80
14 Jan 2023
FLOR58
VIRG67
15 Feb 2021
FLOR81
VIRG60
15 Jan 2020
FLOR54
VIRG50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#213
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
63-60 OT
63
60
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H08/12
NCAA
North Florida
#112
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#220
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A21/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#237
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
31-33
27-24
31-34
30-41
34-39
27-33
45-20
48-39
50-42
28-31
38-29
47-26
41-45
31-29
39-29
39-32
39-33
41-34
37-34
139.0Avg total
73.7Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.564.5142.0+13.092%
Season at home (8)80.562.6143.1+17.9100%
Season away (4)71.568.2139.8+3.275%
Last 10 (10)73.765.3139.0+8.490%
Last 5 (5)76.064.4140.4+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.081.0150.0-12.00%
vs Similar (4)80.274.2154.5+6.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.564.5141.9+13.091%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#92
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H27/11
NCAA
Purdue
#181
L
40-69
40
69
-29
A05/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H18/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#146
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H22/12
NCAA
Navy
#226
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H29/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
65-39
65
39
+26
H04/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
55-63 OT
55
63
-8
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-21
22-24
24-14
22-12
17-32
23-37
24-18
32-29
28-21
28-23
24-33
35-37
37-29
28-27
30-17
35-22
26-30
27-30
20-24
23-19
106.2Avg total
54.3Scored
51.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)54.651.4106.0+3.364%
Season at home (8)56.248.8105.0+7.575%
Season away (3)50.358.3108.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)54.351.9106.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)59.457.6117.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)55.360.3115.6-5.043%
vs Weaker (6)57.744.7102.3+13.083%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.5+1.5
Florida StateVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#213
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Purdue
#181
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Indiana
#149
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H08/12
NCAA
North Florida
#112
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#220
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A21/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#237
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.7Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)35.630.766.3+4.874%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.629.066.6+8.692%-
Last 30 away (6)31.234.565.7-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.366.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.230.467.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.039.068.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (4)36.032.568.5+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.331.569.7+6.873%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#92
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
24-14
24
14
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Purdue
#181
L
17-32
17
32
-15
A05/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
24-18
24
18
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H18/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#146
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Navy
#226
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H29/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H11/01
NCAA
49.5Avg total
25.6Scored
23.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)26.523.650.1+2.964%-
Last 30 at home (11)27.222.349.5+4.973%-
Last 30 away (3)24.028.752.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)25.623.949.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)27.426.654.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)25.727.353.0-1.643%-
vs Weaker (6)27.520.748.2+6.883%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/20AWake Forest78-68
04/01/20ALouisville78-65
31/12/19HGeorgia Tech70-58
28/12/19HNorth Alabama88-71
21/12/19ASouth Florida66-60
18/12/19HNorth Florida98-81
08/12/19HClemson72-53
04/12/19AIndiana64-80
01/12/19HPurdue63-60 OT
30/11/19HTennessee60-57
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/20HSyracuse55-63 OT
08/01/20ABoston College53-60
04/01/20HVirginia Tech65-39
29/12/19HNavy65-56
22/12/19HSouth Carolina59-70
18/12/19HStony Brook56-44
08/12/19HNorth Carolina56-47
05/12/19APurdue40-69
27/11/19HMaine Black Bears46-26
24/11/19HArizona State48-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %92%100%75%
Points / game77.580.571.5
Allowed / game64.562.668.2
Point differential+13.0+17.9+3.2
Avg total142.0143.1139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %64%75%33%
Points / game54.656.250.3
Allowed / game51.448.858.3
Point differential+3.3+7.5-8.0
Avg total106.0105.0108.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1211192%77.564.5+13.0
2 Duke1311285%82.864.5+18.4
3 Stanford119282%70.058.2+11.8
4 Louisville129375%70.862.3+8.5
5 SMU Mustangs118373%79.670.2+9.5
6 Pittsburgh128467%67.261.5+5.8
7 Virginia Tech128467%68.664.5+4.1
8 NC State117464%74.670.6+4.0
9 Virginia117464%54.651.4+3.3
10 Miami (FL)106460%71.074.3-3.3
11 Notre Dame116555%75.068.2+6.8
12 Syracuse137654%75.368.2+7.2
13 Clemson126650%66.965.2+1.7
14 Wake Forest126650%71.674.7-3.1
15 Georgia Tech136746%65.967.2-1.2
16 Boston College125742%60.267.3-7.1
17 North Carolina124833%68.973.8-4.8
18 California124833%61.770.1-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State312354
Virginia242650
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