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Florida State vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 58-67
25-33 33-34
Position#342
Record5-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#36
Record12-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game59.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Florida State v Virginia
10 Feb 2026
FLOR58
VIRG61
10 Feb 2024
FLOR76
VIRG80
14 Jan 2023
FLOR58
VIRG67
15 Feb 2021
FLOR81
VIRG60
15 Jan 2020
FLOR54
VIRG50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H10/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
32-42
32-34
37-45
22-21
35-41
36-24
39-29
38-31
42-32
37-48
42-45
38-39
35-33
25-42
42-44
39-36
36-28
35-44
40-46
144.5Avg total
70.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.474.4143.8-5.129%
Season at home (10)74.573.4147.9+1.150%
Season away (7)62.075.9137.9-13.90%
Last 10 (10)70.873.7144.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)73.881.0154.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)69.777.0146.8-7.326%
vs Similar (5)65.276.2141.4-11.040%
vs Weaker (2)63.054.5117.5+8.550%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H03/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-45
36-23
21-22
41-35
27-20
28-30
26-30
35-39
26-36
38-30
33-24
33-22
36-25
38-31
33-23
32-45
35-26
38-40
27-29
38-29
125.9Avg total
65.5Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.759.5129.1+10.280%
Season at home (10)68.655.5124.1+13.190%
Season away (5)71.867.4139.2+4.460%
Last 10 (10)65.560.4125.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)68.658.8127.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.062.8119.8-5.833%
vs Similar (15)68.562.9131.4+5.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)68.653.9122.5+14.8100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
Florida StateVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H10/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H22/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
32.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.137.169.2-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.535.469.8-0.935%-
Last 30 away (13)29.039.468.4-10.415%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.268.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.876.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.638.070.6-5.426%-
vs Similar (5)31.638.870.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker (2)28.022.550.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H03/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H11/01
NCAA
57.8Avg total
29.8Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.727.056.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)29.924.954.8+5.061%-
Last 30 away (12)29.530.259.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)29.828.057.8+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.825.458.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.727.853.5-2.250%-
vs Similar (15)30.429.760.1+0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)31.922.254.1+9.675%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
2
Virginia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23AWake Forest75-90
07/01/23HGeorgia Tech75-64
31/12/22ADuke67-86
22/12/22HNotre Dame73-72
17/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-93
14/12/22HUSC Upstate80-63
10/12/22HLouisville75-53
03/12/22AVirginia57-62
01/12/22HPurdue69-79
28/11/22ANebraska58-75
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HNorth Carolina65-58
07/01/23HSyracuse73-66
04/01/23APittsburgh65-68
31/12/22AGeorgia Tech74-56
28/12/22HAlbany66-46
21/12/22AMiami (FL)64-66
17/12/22HHouston61-69
07/12/22HJames Madison55-50
03/12/22HFlorida State62-57
30/11/22AMichigan70-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game69.474.562.0
Allowed / game74.473.475.9
Point differential-5.1+1.1-13.9
Avg total143.8147.9137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %80%90%60%
Points / game69.768.671.8
Allowed / game59.555.567.4
Point differential+10.2+13.1+4.4
Avg total129.1124.1139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1714382%75.866.9+8.9
2 Virginia1512380%69.759.5+10.2
3 NC State1814478%79.668.6+11.1
4 Duke1713476%72.762.9+9.8
5 Wake Forest1712571%76.972.4+4.6
6 North Carolina1812667%80.072.9+7.1
7 Pittsburgh1812667%74.668.2+6.4
8 Virginia Tech1711665%74.265.8+8.4
9 Syracuse1711665%75.169.5+5.6
10 Miami (FL)34211362%76.471.9+4.5
11 Notre Dame179853%69.569.5+0.1
12 Georgia Tech178947%70.569.5+1.0
13 Boston College178947%65.168.5-3.4
14 SMU Mustangs1761135%69.073.5-4.5
15 Stanford1651131%68.367.9+0.4
16 Florida State1751229%69.474.4-5.1
17 California1731418%60.966.6-5.7
18 Louisville1821611%62.875.2-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State253358
Virginia333467
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