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Florida State vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-80
30-34 46-46
Position#196
Record13-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#66
Record18-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game56.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida State v Virginia
10 Feb 2026
FLOR58
VIRG61
10 Feb 2024
FLOR76
VIRG80
14 Jan 2023
FLOR58
VIRG67
15 Feb 2021
FLOR81
VIRG60
15 Jan 2020
FLOR54
VIRG50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-19
50-52
27-30
50-44
42-41
45-41
33-29
34-29
45-35
39-40
30-30
37-48
35-36
50-33
41-36
27-39
35-47
57-54
37-31
26-31
151.7Avg total
77.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.674.1150.7+2.559%
Season at home (13)77.171.9149.0+5.262%
Season away (9)76.077.2153.2-1.256%
Last 10 (10)77.274.5151.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)75.077.0152.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)69.977.8147.7-7.928%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.069.0148.0+10.080%
vs Weaker (2)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
59-53 OT
59
53
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-22
40-31
28-35
32-41
21-27
26-39
25-18
40-39
33-29
42-37
27-15
20-32
41-13
28-39
38-23
27-30
34-26
32-39
29-17
31-21
122.2Avg total
64.3Scored
57.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)65.156.9122.0+8.278%
Season at home (15)68.851.1119.9+17.7100%
Season away (8)58.267.9126.1-9.638%
Last 10 (10)64.357.9122.2+6.480%
Last 5 (5)63.852.2116.0+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.056.5118.5+5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)63.959.1122.9+4.867%
vs Weaker (10)68.656.3124.9+12.390%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -3.0-3.0
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -3.0-3.0
Florida StateVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.667.6-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.031.564.5+1.556%-
Last 30 away (12)32.939.372.2-6.442%-
Last 10 (10)35.733.469.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.071.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.436.466.9-6.039%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.431.769.1+5.770%-
vs Weaker (2)33.533.066.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
27-15
27
15
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-13
41
13
+28
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H06/02
NCAA
53.8Avg total
31.3Scored
22.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.424.756.1+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.722.054.6+10.790%-
Last 30 away (9)28.631.059.6-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)31.322.553.8+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)33.818.852.6+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.022.053.0+9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)29.425.655.0+3.972%-
vs Weaker (10)35.123.658.7+11.580%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
3
Virginia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ABoston College63-62
04/02/24ALouisville92-101
27/01/24HNorth Carolina68-75
24/01/24ASyracuse85-69
20/01/24HClemson67-78
18/01/24AMiami (FL)84-75
13/01/24ANotre Dame67-58
10/01/24HWake Forest87-82
06/01/24HVirginia Tech77-74
04/01/24HGeorgia Tech82-71
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HMiami (FL)60-38
03/02/24AClemson66-65
01/02/24HNotre Dame65-53
27/01/24ALouisville69-52
25/01/24HNC State59-53 OT
20/01/24AGeorgia Tech75-66
18/01/24HVirginia Tech65-57
13/01/24AWake Forest47-66
06/01/24ANC State60-76
04/01/24HLouisville77-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW59%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game76.677.176.0
Allowed / game74.171.977.2
Point differential+2.5+5.2-1.2
Avg total150.7149.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %78%100%38%
Points / game65.168.858.2
Allowed / game56.951.167.9
Point differential+8.2+17.7-9.6
Avg total122.0119.9126.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2419579%82.570.4+12.0
2 Duke2318578%80.767.6+13.0
3 Virginia2318578%65.156.9+8.2
4 SMU Mustangs2316770%76.464.4+12.0
5 Wake Forest2316770%80.870.4+10.4
6 Clemson2316770%79.072.2+6.7
7 Pittsburgh2315865%75.366.7+8.6
8 NC State2415962%75.470.6+4.8
9 Syracuse2415962%75.674.5+1.1
10 Miami (FL)25151060%78.171.8+6.2
11 Florida State2213959%76.674.1+2.5
12 Virginia Tech23131057%74.069.4+4.5
13 Boston College23131057%75.372.4+2.8
14 Stanford22111150%77.976.1+1.8
15 California24101442%75.075.9-0.9
16 Georgia Tech24101442%71.876.3-4.5
17 Notre Dame2481633%62.065.8-3.7
18 Louisville2481633%73.978.2-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State304676
Virginia344680
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