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Florida State vs Virginia Tech Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#232
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#45
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Florida State v Virginia Tech
20 Jan 2027
FLOR v VIRG
upcoming
29 Jan 2025
FLOR66
VIRG76
06 Jan 2024
FLOR77
VIRG74
29 Jan 2022
FLOR72
VIRG85
20 Feb 2021
FLOR v VIRG
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
California
#79
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
L
69-112
69
112
-43
H03/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
41-45
41-36
39-35
46-30
29-44
45-27
46-51
46-32
49-57
44-43
35-37
27-54
42-58
37-26
54-42
29-31
43-50
40-28
44-32
160.5Avg total
80.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.080.2159.2-1.250%
Season at home (4)79.080.2159.2-1.250%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.979.6160.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.080.2159.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.980.4152.3-8.525%
vs Similar (14)81.482.2163.6-0.857%
vs Weaker (4)86.865.0151.8+21.8100%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
H10/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
32-36
43-33
39-30
44-44
38-45
35-24
37-39
25-41
47-35
34-38
41-37
45-27
43-27
47-24
49-43
41-40
38-39
42-30
40-32
154.6Avg total
82.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.867.8157.5+22.0100%
Season at home (3)88.761.0149.7+27.7100%
Season away (1)93.088.0181.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.272.4154.6+9.860%
Last 5 (5)89.673.2162.8+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.279.6151.9-7.412%
vs Similar (14)79.277.1156.3+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.265.4148.6+17.9100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
Florida StateVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H07/03
NCAA
California
#79
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A12/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
L
27-54
27
54
-27
H03/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/11
NCAA
73.2Avg total
38.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.474.2+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.734.772.4+2.956%-
Last 30 away (12)37.839.076.8-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)38.734.573.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.471.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.839.474.2-4.625%-
vs Similar (14)39.335.674.9+3.664%-
vs Weaker (4)41.030.271.2+10.875%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H04/11
NCAA
Mercer
#259
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Iowa
#151
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.170.2+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.831.870.6+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)32.537.269.7-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.272.2+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.831.873.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.236.665.9-7.412%-
vs Similar (14)37.435.673.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.629.069.6+11.6100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Florida State wins
4
Virginia Tech wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HTexas A&M-CC84-60
10/11/26HFlorida72-81
07/11/26HTroy91-68
03/11/26HFlorida A&M69-112
12/03/26ADuke79-80
11/03/26HCalifornia95-89
07/03/26HSMU Mustangs91-78
05/03/26APittsburgh75-74
28/02/26AGeorgia Tech80-71
25/02/26HMiami (FL)73-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMount St. Mary's82-62
11/11/26AIowa93-88 OT
06/11/26HMercer96-67
04/11/26HCoppin State88-54
10/03/26HWake Forest89-95 OT
07/03/26AVirginia72-76
04/03/26HBoston College72-63
01/03/26ANorth Carolina82-89
21/02/26HWake Forest82-63
18/02/26AMiami (FL)66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game80.280.2-
Point differential-1.2-1.2-
Avg total159.2159.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.888.793.0
Allowed / game67.861.088.0
Point differential+22.0+27.7+5.0
Avg total157.5149.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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