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Florida vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-87
44-35 61-52
Position#73
Record20-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game77.2
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Position#67
Record20-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game79.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida v Alabama
01 Feb 2026
FLOR100
ALAB77
15 Mar 2025
FLOR104
ALAB82
05 Mar 2024
FLOR105
ALAB87
05 Jan 2022
FLOR70
ALAB83
04 Jan 2020
FLOR104
ALAB98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A03/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H28/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
38-51
36-41
48-43
40-34
26-33
42-26
39-39
48-34
34-46
40-46
48-36
41-37
44-48
35-20
42-44
37-28
46-46
37-31
39-51
164.3Avg total
84.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.477.2161.6+7.269%
Season at home (17)86.472.8159.1+13.688%
Season away (12)81.783.5165.2-1.842%
Last 10 (10)84.280.1164.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)83.480.0163.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.575.0148.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.578.5161.0+3.946%
vs Weaker (14)87.876.3164.1+11.593%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H04/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
81-99
81
99
-18
A08/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
109-92
109
92
+17
A10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
95-117
95
117
-22
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-44
59-44
27-41
58-35
47-24
52-43
41-55
40-44
49-46
60-46
49-35
51-40
37-41
48-44
42-58
53-59
39-42
64-46
41-39
33-42
182.9Avg total
95.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.979.3170.2+11.769%
Season at home (15)94.072.3166.3+21.787%
Season away (14)87.686.8174.4+0.950%
Last 10 (10)95.387.6182.9+7.770%
Last 5 (5)94.090.8184.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.088.2168.2-8.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.982.8171.8+6.150%
vs Weaker (14)93.973.1166.9+20.893%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +7.5+7.5
FloridaAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H10/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A02/03
NCAA
73.4Avg total
40.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.933.473.3+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.430.571.9+10.983%-
Last 30 away (12)37.637.875.3-0.258%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.173.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.470.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.035.072.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.634.674.2+5.069%-
vs Weaker (14)41.531.973.4+9.686%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H04/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A08/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/03
NCAA
84.7Avg total
42.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.480.1+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.132.676.6+11.581%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.084.1-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.584.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.084.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.543.286.8+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.038.780.7+3.350%-
vs Weaker (14)43.134.777.8+8.479%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida wins
4
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Alabama v Florida98-93 OT
09/02/23Alabama v Florida97-69
06/01/22Florida v Alabama70-83
06/01/21Alabama v Florida86-71
04/01/20Florida v Alabama104-98 OT
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ASouth Carolina76-82
28/02/24HMissouri83-74
24/02/24HVanderbilt77-64
22/02/24AAlabama93-98 OT
17/02/24AGeorgia88-82
14/02/24HLSU82-80
10/02/24HAuburn81-65
03/02/24ATexas A&M66-67
01/02/24AKentucky94-91 OT
27/01/24HGeorgia102-98 OT
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HTennessee74-81
29/02/24AOle Miss103-88
24/02/24AKentucky95-117
22/02/24HFlorida98-93 OT
17/02/24HTexas A&M100-75
10/02/24ALSU109-92
08/02/24AAuburn81-99
04/02/24HMississippi St.99-67
31/01/24AGeorgia85-76
28/01/24HLSU109-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %69%88%42%
Points / game84.486.481.7
Allowed / game77.272.883.5
Point differential+7.2+13.6-1.8
Avg total161.6159.1165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%59%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %14%6%25%
Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%87%50%
Points / game90.994.087.6
Allowed / game79.372.386.8
Point differential+11.7+21.7+0.9
Avg total170.2166.3174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%73%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2924583%72.165.6+6.4
2 Tennessee2923679%80.767.4+13.3
3 Auburn2922776%82.668.0+14.6
4 Kentucky2921872%89.679.1+10.4
5 Alabama2920969%90.979.3+11.7
6 Florida2920969%84.477.2+7.2
7 Ole Miss2920969%75.973.4+2.4
8 Oklahoma29191066%75.467.6+7.9
9 Mississippi St.29191066%75.068.7+6.3
10 Texas30191163%76.069.3+6.8
11 Texas A&M29161355%72.969.9+3.1
12 LSU29161355%76.474.0+2.4
13 Georgia29151452%75.174.4+0.6
14 Arkansas29141548%76.879.1-2.2
15 Missouri2982128%72.375.5-3.2
16 Vanderbilt2982128%66.674.7-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida4461105
Alabama355287
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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