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Florida vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-63
37-28 34-35
Position#28
Record25-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game71.7
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Kentucky
USA
Position#107
Record21-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida v Kentucky
13 Mar 2026
FLOR71
KENT63
14 Feb 2026
FLOR92
KENT83
06 Jan 2024
FLOR85
KENT87
22 Feb 2023
FLOR74
KENT82
05 Mar 2022
FLOR63
KENT71
09 Jan 2021
FLOR58
KENT76
07 Mar 2020
FLOR70
KENT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H18/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A26/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
111-77
111
77
+34
H01/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
46-36
54-41
30-19
56-48
43-27
43-39
43-34
49-49
39-29
37-33
43-32
51-43
36-39
48-32
53-34
58-43
47-35
61-39
49-32
35-45
165.0Avg total
92.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.771.7159.4+16.081%
Season at home (19)89.370.1159.4+19.289%
Season away (12)85.274.2159.4+11.167%
Last 10 (10)92.172.9165.0+19.2100%
Last 5 (5)96.274.8171.0+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)66.067.0133.0-1.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)88.571.1159.6+17.486%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-47
41-24
34-43
49-49
34-39
44-47
39-35
35-40
28-21
44-42
46-31
45-46
33-45
52-51
32-49
45-35
46-43
41-39
38-29
40-43
159.7Avg total
79.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.373.9155.2+7.464%
Season at home (22)83.470.3153.7+13.073%
Season away (11)77.281.1158.3-3.945%
Last 10 (10)79.979.8159.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)83.682.2165.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.885.0156.8-13.217%
vs Similar (16)78.276.5154.7+1.762%
vs Weaker (8)91.162.4153.5+28.8100%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +2.0+2.0
FloridaKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A21/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H01/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/03
NCAA
74.6Avg total
42.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.531.973.4+9.677%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.631.874.5+10.889%-
Last 30 away (11)39.532.071.5+7.555%-
Last 10 (10)42.931.774.6+11.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.480.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)24.036.060.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)42.131.873.8+10.379%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/03
NCAA
74.5Avg total
36.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.171.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.635.072.7+2.650%-
Last 30 away (10)32.438.170.5-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.274.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.342.272.5-11.817%-
vs Similar (16)34.738.172.8-3.431%-
vs Weaker (8)42.427.469.8+15.0100%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Florida wins
6
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Kentucky v Florida77-84
14/02/26Florida v Kentucky92-83
04/01/25Kentucky v Florida106-100
01/02/24Kentucky v Florida91-94 OT
06/01/24Florida v Kentucky85-87
23/02/23Florida v Kentucky74-82
05/02/23Kentucky v Florida72-67
05/03/22Florida v Kentucky63-71
12/02/22Kentucky v Florida78-57
27/02/21Kentucky v Florida67-71
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AKentucky84-77
04/03/26HMississippi St.108-74
01/03/26HArkansas111-77
26/02/26ATexas84-71
21/02/26AOle Miss94-75
18/02/26HSouth Carolina76-62
14/02/26HKentucky92-83
12/02/26AGeorgia86-66
08/02/26ATexas A&M86-67
01/02/26HAlabama100-77
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AMissouri78-72
11/03/26HLSU87-82
07/03/26HFlorida77-84
04/03/26ATexas A&M85-96
28/02/26HVanderbilt91-77
25/02/26ASouth Carolina72-63
22/02/26AAuburn74-75
18/02/26HGeorgia78-86
14/02/26AFlorida83-92
08/02/26HTennessee74-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %81%89%67%
Points / game87.789.385.2
Allowed / game71.770.174.2
Point differential+16.0+19.2+11.1
Avg total159.4159.4159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%79%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWLWLW73%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332211
Win %64%73%45%
Points / game81.383.477.2
Allowed / game73.970.381.1
Point differential+7.4+13.0-3.9
Avg total155.2153.7158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3125681%87.771.7+16.0
2 Vanderbilt3124777%86.975.1+11.8
3 Arkansas3123874%90.280.0+10.3
4 Alabama3123874%92.183.6+8.5
5 Georgia32221069%89.879.2+10.7
6 Tennessee32221069%79.869.2+10.6
7 Texas A&M32211166%87.779.6+8.2
8 Kentucky33211264%81.373.9+7.4
9 Missouri32201262%79.775.3+4.3
10 Oklahoma33191458%82.876.9+5.9
11 Texas32181456%83.876.8+7.0
12 Auburn33171652%82.779.4+3.3
13 LSU32151747%81.478.5+2.9
14 Mississippi St.32141844%78.181.3-3.2
15 Ole Miss33141942%75.375.5-0.2
16 South Carolina32131941%74.976.5-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida373471
Kentucky283563
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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