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Florida vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-69 (OT)
26-36 31-21 11-12
Position#205
Record16-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game68.6
Florida
USA
vs
Mississippi St. 🏆
USA
Position#125
Record19-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Florida v Mississippi St.
03 Mar 2026
FLOR108
MISS74
24 Jan 2024
FLOR79
MISS70
09 Mar 2023
FLOR68
MISS69
19 Jan 2022
FLOR80
MISS72
28 Jan 2020
FLOR71
MISS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A09/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A01/03
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-21
40-33
22-33
45-39
23-52
46-45
41-42
39-46
39-29
40-35
31-37
34-47
37-36
37-46
36-46
36-42
43-33
34-34
29-33
50-34
149.2Avg total
72.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.168.6140.7+3.452%
Season at home (17)78.266.1144.2+12.171%
Season away (14)64.671.8136.4-7.129%
Last 10 (10)72.976.3149.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)73.477.6151.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.075.5141.5-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (17)68.570.3138.8-1.829%
vs Weaker (9)80.465.1145.6+15.3100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H04/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
69-61 OT
69
61
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
64-66 OT
64
66
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H25/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-26
34-25
33-27
30-25
25-22
39-31
34-25
36-39
35-36
33-35
32-33
24-23
34-31
23-26
30-28
39-34
42-34
32-34
27-37
45-40
130.4Avg total
67.9Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)65.761.0126.8+4.761%
Season at home (18)67.859.4127.2+8.372%
Season away (13)62.963.2126.2-0.346%
Last 10 (10)67.962.5130.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)69.666.8136.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.069.6127.6-11.614%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.364.6130.9+1.655%
vs Weaker (12)70.054.2124.2+15.892%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.3+2.3
FloridaMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A09/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/03
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
32.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.664.7-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.430.565.9+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)28.235.163.3-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.269.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.072.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.036.063.0-9.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.932.363.2-1.441%-
vs Weaker (9)36.331.868.1+4.667%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H04/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H25/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A05/03
NCAA
62.3Avg total
32.4Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.127.357.4+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.126.557.6+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)28.828.257.1+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)32.429.962.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.665.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.429.657.0-2.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.329.458.6-0.155%-
vs Weaker (12)32.524.056.5+8.583%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Florida wins
2
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
22/01/23Mississippi St. v Florida59-61
19/01/22Florida v Mississippi St.80-72
16/01/21Mississippi St. v Florida72-69
29/01/20Florida v Mississippi St.71-78
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HLSU79-67
01/03/23AGeorgia77-67
25/02/23AVanderbilt72-88
23/02/23HKentucky74-82
18/02/23AArkansas65-84
15/02/23HOle Miss79-64
11/02/23HVanderbilt80-88
09/02/23AAlabama69-97
05/02/23AKentucky67-72
02/02/23HTennessee67-54
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23AVanderbilt72-77
01/03/23HSouth Carolina74-68
25/02/23HTexas A&M69-62
22/02/23AMissouri64-66 OT
18/02/23AOle Miss69-61 OT
16/02/23HKentucky68-71
11/02/23AArkansas70-64
09/02/23HLSU64-53
04/02/23HMissouri63-52
31/01/23ASouth Carolina66-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %52%71%29%
Points / game72.178.264.6
Allowed / game68.666.171.8
Point differential+3.4+12.1-7.1
Avg total140.7144.2136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%59%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeWWLWW72%
AwayWWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %61%72%46%
Points / game65.767.862.9
Allowed / game61.059.463.2
Point differential+4.7+8.3-0.3
Avg total126.8127.2126.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %10%6%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3126584%82.869.5+13.3
2 Texas3123874%78.868.7+10.2
3 Texas A&M3123874%73.365.6+7.7
4 Missouri3123874%80.174.8+5.3
5 Tennessee3122971%71.957.5+14.4
6 Kentucky31211068%75.167.6+7.5
7 Auburn31201165%72.766.8+5.9
8 Arkansas31191261%74.867.2+7.6
9 Mississippi St.31191261%65.761.0+4.7
10 Vanderbilt31181358%72.071.7+0.3
11 Florida31161552%72.168.6+3.4
12 Georgia32161650%68.571.5-3.0
13 Oklahoma32151747%67.767.5+0.1
14 LSU32141844%67.670.5-2.9
15 Ole Miss32122038%67.969.0-1.2
16 South Carolina32112134%64.372.6-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Florida26311168
Mississippi St.36211269
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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