Estudiantes vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 94-75

22-18 20-15 28-25 24-17

Position#7

Record13-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game72.6

Estudiantes 🏆

Forca Lleida

Position#6

Record12-5

FormWLWLW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game77.6

Primera FEBRound 18

Other2022-23

Meetings · Estudiantes v Forca Lleida

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Forca Lleida winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

85-89

-4

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

72-79

-7

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

68-64

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

77-52

+25

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

82-76

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

68-63

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

70-62

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

73-83

-10

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

86-78

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

75-55

+20

H20/01

Primera FEB

31-18

12-28

21-18

21-25

21-16

10-25

21-17

20-21

19-15

17-19

18-12

14-18

25-15

22-15

16-13

14-9

23-16

18-22

22-17

19-21

13-19

18-17

16-12

21-15

17-17

20-8

9-17

24-20

24-18

13-16

13-28

23-21

26-20

21-18

17-25

22-15

15-5

14-16

25-20

21-14

145.7Avg total

75.6Scored

70.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.4	72.6	152.1	+6.8	76%
Season at home (9)	80.1	69.0	149.1	+11.1	78%
Season away (8)	78.6	76.8	155.4	+1.9	75%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	70.1	145.7	+5.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	68.2	142.6	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	81.0	153.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	72.9	73.9	146.7	-1.0	57%
vs Weaker (21)	79.5	67.0	146.5	+12.6	81%

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

75-90

-15

A25/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

78-75 OT

H02/12

Primera FEB

Castello

79-87

-8

A07/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

91-79

+12

H11/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

81-75

A16/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

94-78

+16

H20/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

71-85

-14

A30/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

85-79

H08/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

74-80

-6

A13/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

84-63

+21

H20/01

Primera FEB

9-22

20-29

31-18

15-21

19-16

13-18

17-13

20-22

19-25

20-23

25-18

15-21

20-13

22-26

27-13

22-27

17-24

16-20

18-18

30-13

29-19

26-19

19-16

20-24

13-24

17-14

20-18

21-29

27-15

14-32

20-18

24-14

16-20

15-19

27-21

16-20

20-21

20-12

25-12

19-18

160.3Avg total

81.2Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.4	77.6	159.1	+3.8	71%
Season at home (9)	88.0	75.0	163.0	+13.0	100%
Season away (8)	74.0	80.6	154.6	-6.6	38%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	79.1	160.3	+2.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	77.0	158.6	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.8	85.6	161.4	-9.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	80.7	79.3	160.0	+1.4	71%
vs Weaker (18)	82.9	77.6	160.4	+5.3	67%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesForca Lleida

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	16.4	36.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	16.2	36.1	+3.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	15.9	37.3	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.3	17.9	36.1	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.7	15.9	36.6	+4.8	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	18.8	40.4	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	21.7	39.4	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.0	22.6	37.6	-7.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.9	86%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	18.4	34.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.0	32.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	20.5	32.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.1	16.2	35.4	+2.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.9	43.1	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	25.8	44.2	-7.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	14%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	39%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

43-46

-3

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

31-41

-10

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-34

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

47-30

+17

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

41-38

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-36

-5

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

37-25

+12

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

37-34

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

47-38

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

29-21

H20/01

Primera FEB

72.2Avg total

37.9Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	33.8	72.7	+5.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.9	32.5	71.4	+6.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.0	35.4	74.4	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	34.3	72.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	30.8	67.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.7	37.6	75.3	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.8	32.1	72.0	+7.7	71%	-

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

29-51

-22

A25/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-34

-2

H02/12

Primera FEB

Castello

39-48

-9

A07/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

42-39

H11/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

33-44

-11

A16/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

55-38

+17

H20/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

30-38

-8

A30/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

41-47

-6

H08/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

31-39

-8

A13/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

40-33

H20/01

Primera FEB

78.3Avg total

37.2Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.4	81.4	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	40.7	83.5	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	42.3	78.9	-5.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.1	78.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.4	48.4	81.8	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.9	40.6	81.4	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.4	39.8	81.2	+1.6	56%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.9	+1.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	18.2	36.8	+0.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.7	38.3	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	15.2	36.1	+5.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	16.5	39.4	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	15.7	33.8	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	19.2	37.5	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.3	16.1	33.4	+1.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.3	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	35.7	74.3	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	34.5	74.3	+5.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.9	37.4	74.3	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.8	73.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.4	75.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	35.1	36.3	71.4	-1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.7	34.8	74.5	+4.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	37.7	78.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	35.4	78.9	+8.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	40.3	78.3	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	37.4	80.5	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.0	80.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.4	37.2	79.6	+5.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.6	37.9	76.4	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.5	37.7	79.2	+3.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Forca Lleida wins

Date	Game	Score
07/10/22	Forca Lleida v Estudiantes	96-66
28/01/22	Forca Lleida v Estudiantes	81-75
10/10/21	Estudiantes v Forca Lleida	98-73

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/23	H	Iraurgi SB	75-55
14/01/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	86-78
08/01/23	H	Palencia	73-83
27/12/22	A	Caceres	70-62
20/12/22	H	Albacete	68-63
17/12/22	A	Estela	82-76
11/12/22	H	Castello	77-52
07/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	68-64
04/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	72-79
25/11/22	A	Alicante	85-89

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/23	H	Ourense	84-63
13/01/23	A	Iraurgi SB	74-80
08/01/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	85-79
30/12/22	A	Palencia	71-85
20/12/22	H	Caceres	94-78
16/12/22	A	Albacete	81-75
11/12/22	H	Estela	91-79
07/12/22	A	Castello	79-87
02/12/22	H	Gipuzkoa	78-75 OT
25/11/22	A	MoraBanc Andorra	75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	76%
Home	LWWLW	78%
Away	LWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	76%	78%	75%
Points / game	79.4	80.1	78.6
Allowed / game	72.6	69.0	76.8
Point differential	+6.8	+11.1	+1.9
Avg total	152.1	149.1	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	56%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Forca Lleida

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	71%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	71%	100%	38%
Points / game	81.4	88.0	74.0
Allowed / game	77.6	75.0	80.6
Point differential	+3.8	+13.0	-6.6
Avg total	159.1	163.0	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	56%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	18	16	2	89%	82.0	68.9	+13.1
2	Palencia	18	16	2	89%	81.9	70.6	+11.3
3	Estudiantes	17	13	4	76%	79.4	72.6	+6.8
4	Real Valladolid	18	13	5	72%	76.2	70.4	+5.8
5	Forca Lleida	17	12	5	71%	81.4	77.6	+3.8
6	Alicante	18	12	6	67%	76.4	74.7	+1.7
7	Leyma Coruna	18	11	7	61%	83.2	76.7	+6.5
8	Gipuzkoa	18	10	8	56%	75.1	71.0	+4.1
9	San Pablo Burgos	18	10	8	56%	80.3	76.8	+3.5
10	Estela	18	9	9	50%	73.1	75.3	-2.3
11	Castello	18	6	12	33%	74.6	77.0	-2.4
12	Ourense	18	6	12	33%	73.7	80.7	-6.9
13	Almansa	18	6	12	33%	73.5	80.7	-7.2
14	Caceres	18	5	13	28%	72.2	78.7	-6.5
15	Oviedo	18	5	13	28%	69.1	77.9	-8.9
16	Melilla	18	4	14	22%	76.2	81.0	-4.8
17	Albacete	18	4	14	22%	71.1	76.8	-5.7
18	Iraurgi SB	18	3	15	17%	71.3	82.3	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	22	20	28	24	94
Forca Lleida	18	15	25	17	75

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Estudiantes vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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