Castello vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 85-80

18-30 15-21 27-14 25-15

Position#9

Record10-13

FormWWLWW

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game76.1

Castello 🏆

Palencia

Position#2

Record20-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game71.2

Primera FEBRound 24

Other2022-23

Meetings · Castello v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

80-77

H27/12

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

77-82

-5

A07/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

75-71

H13/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

70-74

-4

A21/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

72-84

-12

A28/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

96-90 OT

H01/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

76-64

+12

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

64-84

-20

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

77-68

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

61-58

A10/03

Primera FEB

21-18

25-18

17-20

17-21

16-22

18-19

20-21

23-20

13-10

18-21

20-16

24-24

15-18

26-13

14-17

15-26

18-31

19-12

15-20

20-21

17-25

15-19

22-18

31-23

17-25

21-18

16-11

22-10

14-29

14-21

14-20

22-14

17-21

14-17

29-13

17-17

22-17

9-15

20-14

10-12

150.0Avg total

74.8Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	74.6	76.1	150.7	-1.5	43%
Season at home (11)	78.3	75.8	154.1	+2.5	64%
Season away (12)	71.2	76.3	147.6	-5.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	75.2	150.0	-0.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	72.8	147.6	+2.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	73.9	76.3	150.2	-2.4	36%
vs Similar (12)	79.5	79.2	158.7	+0.3	42%
vs Weaker (7)	78.4	76.4	154.9	+2.0	57%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

85-71

+14

H30/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

83-73

+10

A08/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

89-82

H13/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

89-78

+11

A20/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

70-76

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

84-60

+24

H01/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

67-56

+11

A04/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

87-79

H17/02

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

89-97

-8

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

85-74

+11

H10/03

Primera FEB

24-13

14-17

18-20

29-21

18-24

16-13

28-13

21-23

16-19

23-29

24-15

26-19

26-25

22-13

21-10

20-30

14-10

21-22

19-14

16-30

23-17

20-16

21-13

20-14

18-22

13-10

15-13

21-11

18-21

21-21

25-26

23-11

23-22

20-17

21-26

25-32

19-17

23-20

23-22

20-15

157.4Avg total

82.8Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	82.0	71.2	153.2	+10.8	87%
Season at home (11)	84.3	70.0	154.3	+14.3	100%
Season away (12)	79.9	72.2	152.2	+7.7	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	74.6	157.4	+8.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	73.2	155.6	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	67.5	80.0	147.5	-12.5	50%
vs Similar (7)	80.3	75.1	155.4	+5.1	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	82.2	71.2	153.4	+11.0	86%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.8	38.3	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.4	41.1	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.4	36.6	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.0	32.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.5	18.7	39.3	+1.8	55%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.6	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	16.3	34.7	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	18.5	33.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	15.7	36.4	+5.0	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	48%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

46-36

+10

H27/12

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

34-41

-7

A07/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

31-31

H13/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

41-31

+10

A21/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

37-43

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-44

-12

H01/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

38-43

-5

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

28-50

-22

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-38

-7

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

31-32

-1

A10/03

Primera FEB

73.8Avg total

34.9Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	40.4	78.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	41.4	80.8	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	39.1	75.7	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	38.9	73.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	41.4	73.4	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.5	39.3	77.8	-0.7	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.5	41.9	79.4	-4.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.3	39.4	77.7	-1.1	43%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

38-30

H30/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

34-37

-3

A08/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-48

-9

H13/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

48-38

+10

A20/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

35-32

A28/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

43-33

+10

H01/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

31-32

-1

A04/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

39-42

-3

H17/02

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

43-39

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

42-37

H10/03

Primera FEB

76.0Avg total

39.2Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	35.5	75.1	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	36.1	77.6	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	35.1	73.0	+2.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	36.8	76.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.6	76.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	36.0	69.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.4	33.6	75.0	+7.9	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	39.6	36.1	75.8	+3.5	57%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	19.9	36.6	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.2	35.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	14.2	19.5	33.7	-5.4	9%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.4	38.2	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	26.5	42.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.3	16.9	38.2	+4.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.2	35.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	64%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	18.3	38.1	+1.6	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.9	36.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.4	74.7	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	35.3	76.2	+5.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	37.7	73.0	-2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	35.8	74.6	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	30.4	71.0	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.4	36.5	70.9	-2.2	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	37.2	78.4	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	35.4	77.4	+6.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	37.8	81.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.6	79.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	44.0	78.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.9	41.6	80.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.6	35.1	77.7	+7.5	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/22	Palencia v Castello	77-63
01/02/22	Castello v Palencia	84-82
13/10/21	Palencia v Castello	80-79
23/04/21	Castello v Palencia	87-76
19/03/21	Palencia v Castello	76-75
06/03/20	Castello v Palencia	82-87
03/11/19	Palencia v Castello	108-87
01/02/19	Castello v Palencia	66-72
19/10/18	Palencia v Castello	84-59
19/01/18	Palencia v Castello	70-73

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/23	A	Caceres	61-58
05/03/23	H	Albacete	77-68
18/02/23	A	Estela	64-84
05/02/23	H	Ourense	76-64
01/02/23	H	Gipuzkoa	96-90 OT
28/01/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	72-84
21/01/23	A	Alicante	70-74
13/01/23	H	Oviedo	75-71
07/01/23	A	Almansa	77-82
27/12/22	H	Real Valladolid	80-77

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/23	H	Gipuzkoa	85-74
04/03/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	89-97
17/02/23	H	Alicante	87-79
04/02/23	A	Oviedo	67-56
01/02/23	H	Almansa	84-60
28/01/23	A	Real Valladolid	70-76
20/01/23	A	Melilla	89-78
13/01/23	H	Leyma Coruna	89-82
08/01/23	A	Estudiantes	83-73
30/12/22	H	Forca Lleida	85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	43%
Home	WWWWW	64%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	43%	64%	25%
Points / game	74.6	78.3	71.2
Allowed / game	76.1	75.8	76.3
Point differential	-1.5	+2.5	-5.1
Avg total	150.7	154.1	147.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	9%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	50% (6)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	87%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	87%	100%	75%
Points / game	82.0	84.3	79.9
Allowed / game	71.2	70.0	72.2
Point differential	+10.8	+14.3	+7.7
Avg total	153.2	154.3	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	73%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	23	21	2	91%	83.2	69.7	+13.4
2	Palencia	23	20	3	87%	82.0	71.2	+10.8
3	Leyma Coruna	23	16	7	70%	84.0	76.0	+7.9
4	Estudiantes	23	16	7	70%	79.2	73.2	+6.0
5	Forca Lleida	24	16	8	67%	80.1	77.3	+2.8
6	Real Valladolid	23	15	8	65%	75.6	72.5	+3.1
7	Alicante	24	15	9	62%	75.7	75.2	+0.5
8	San Pablo Burgos	23	14	9	61%	80.4	75.4	+5.0
9	Gipuzkoa	23	13	10	57%	77.6	72.7	+4.8
10	Estela	23	12	11	52%	73.3	75.6	-2.3
11	Castello	23	10	13	43%	74.6	76.1	-1.5
12	Ourense	23	7	16	30%	73.0	79.3	-6.2
13	Almansa	23	7	16	30%	71.7	79.5	-7.8
14	Caceres	23	6	17	26%	71.9	78.3	-6.4
15	Oviedo	23	6	17	26%	68.7	77.5	-8.8
16	Albacete	23	5	18	22%	70.4	76.8	-6.4
17	Iraurgi SB	23	5	18	22%	72.1	80.7	-8.6
18	Melilla	23	4	19	17%	74.6	81.0	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	18	15	27	25	85
Palencia	30	21	14	15	80

← all games of the day

Castello vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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