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Fordham vs LIU Sharks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 77-66
Projected total 143.2
Final 80-58
36-25 44-33
Position#137
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.7
Fordham 🏆
USA
Vs
84%
16%
■ FORD 84%■ LIU 16%
Pythia win probability
LIU Sharks
USA
Position#363
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fordham v LIU Sharks
13 Nov 2026
FORD80
LIU 58
20 Nov 2025
FORD69
LIU 53
09 Dec 2021
FORD73
LIU 57
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Fordham hosts LIU Sharks on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Fordham the clear favourite with an 84% chance of victory, reflecting their 2-1 record, 75.3 points per game and 76.7 allowed, and a 2-0 home record with 80.5 points scored and 67.5 allowed. LIU Sharks are 0-4, averaging 61.5 points and conceding 73.8, with no wins in their last five games. Fordham's recent wins over Iona 78-72 and Stonehill 83-63 at home contrast sharply with a 65-95 loss to Kansas away, while LIU's three recent defeats to Towson 46-66, La Salle 80-88 and Seton Hall 60-67 show a struggling offense. Historically Fordham has won both meetings, the last being a 69-53 victory on 20 November 2025. The model projects a 77-66 score for Fordham, a total of 143.2 points, and a 44% probability that Fordham will cover the -13.0 spread; the over on the 143.5 line has a 49% chance, and there is a 3% chance of overtime. Fordham's dominant home performance and LIU's winless slate make the game a one-sided affair.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fordham winWon
84.4%fair 1.19
Best odds1.12
Implied84.9%
Edge-0.5pp
LIU Sharks winLost
15.6%fair 6.40
Best odds7.00
Implied15.1%
Edge+0.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FordhamUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#209
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H21/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A28/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
65-95
65
95
-30
A03/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#327
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H06/11
NCAA
Iona
#263
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-31
39-32
33-21
29-38
29-22
34-37
22-37
41-45
37-46
47-41
25-28
36-21
17-38
45-28
31-43
34-52
30-30
53-33
43-37
35-35
138.9Avg total
69.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.376.7152.0-1.367%
Season at home (2)80.567.5148.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)65.095.0160.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)69.169.8138.9-0.760%
Last 5 (5)69.869.0138.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.879.5140.2-18.80%
vs Similar (15)66.566.4132.9+0.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)75.063.1138.1+11.980%
This opponent (LIU Sharks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LIU SharksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
58-92
58
92
-34
A20/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A05/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Towson
#175
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
41-25
31-30
43-30
40-33
39-42
23-23
41-33
42-40
37-30
29-53
29-39
29-37
31-37
26-30
34-37
37-39
43-49
28-38
18-28
137.7Avg total
67.3Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.573.8135.2-12.20%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)61.573.8135.2-12.20%
Last 10 (10)67.370.4137.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)60.877.4138.2-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)59.677.6137.2-18.00%
vs Similar (16)72.467.4139.8+4.969%
vs Weaker (9)75.267.1142.3+8.189%
This opponent (Fordham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 138.5Actual: Under 138.5
Over 138.5
60.9%
@ 1.47-1.7pp
Under 138.5
39.1%
@ 2.47+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 143.5 · main lineActual: Under 143.5
Over 143.5
48.8%
@ 1.90-1.2pp
Under 143.5
51.2%
@ 1.91+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 148.5Actual: Under 148.5
Over 148.5
36.8%
@ 2.40-1.6pp
Under 148.5
63.2%
@ 1.50+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Fordham total 73Actual: Fordham over 73
Over 73
67.6%
Under 73
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fordham total 77 · main lineActual: Fordham over 77
Over 77
51.5%
@ 1.85+1.5pp
Under 77
48.5%
@ 1.85-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Fordham total 81Actual: Fordham under 81
Over 81
35.1%
Under 81
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LIU Sharks total 60.5Actual: LIU Sharks under 60.5
Over 60.5
69.7%
@ 1.34+2.1pp
Under 60.5
30.3%
@ 2.80-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
2.80
LIU Sharks total 64.5 · main lineActual: LIU Sharks under 64.5
Over 64.5
54.7%
@ 1.85+4.7pp
Under 64.5
45.3%
@ 1.98-4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
LIU Sharks total 68.5Actual: LIU Sharks under 68.5
Over 68.5
39.2%
@ 2.37+0.9pp
Under 68.5
60.8%
@ 1.47-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Fordham -16Actual: Fordham -16
FORD -16
33.7%
@ 2.40-5.1pp
LIU +16
66.3%
@ 1.52+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
FORD
Bet365
2.40
LIU
Bet365
1.52
Spread Fordham -13 · main lineActual: Fordham -13
FORD -13
44.3%
@ 1.90-5.7pp
LIU +13
55.7%
@ 1.86+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
FORD
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
LIU
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Spread Fordham -10Actual: Fordham -10
FORD -10
55.5%
@ 1.54-4.9pp
LIU +10
44.5%
@ 2.35+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
FORD
Bet365
1.54
LIU
Bet365
2.35

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
FordhamLIU Sharks
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FordhamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#209
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H21/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A28/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
17-38
17
38
-21
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#327
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H06/11
NCAA
Iona
#263
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
29.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68
Last 30 (30)30.831.662.4-0.850%27%
Last 30 at home (18)31.229.060.2+2.261%11%
Last 30 away (12)30.235.665.8-5.433%50%
Last 10 (10)29.133.362.4-4.230%30%
Last 5 (5)29.235.264.4-6.020%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.239.866.0-13.50%50%
vs Similar (15)28.430.759.1-2.347%13%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.129.965.0+5.270%30%
This opponent (LIU Sharks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LIU SharksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Wagner
#249
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A20/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A05/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Towson
#175
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A10/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
31.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68
Last 30 (30)34.434.368.7+0.253%50%
Last 30 at home (13)34.330.264.5+4.277%38%
Last 30 away (17)34.537.471.9-2.935%59%
Last 10 (10)31.735.467.1-3.740%40%
Last 5 (5)29.839.469.2-9.60%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.239.871.0-8.620%40%
vs Similar (16)35.033.868.8+1.250%56%
vs Weaker (9)35.232.167.3+3.178%44%
This opponent (Fordham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Fordham win
FORD win
no forecast
@ 1.21
LIU win
no forecast
@ 4.45
1st half Spread Fordham -5.5 · main lineActual: Fordham -5.5
FORD -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
LIU +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 68 · main lineActual: Under 68
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Fordham 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Fordham under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
LIU Sharks 1st half total 30.5 · main lineActual: LIU Sharks under 30.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Fordham -6.5Actual: Fordham -6.5
FORD -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
LIU +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Fordham -4.5Actual: Fordham -4.5
FORD -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
LIU +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
1st half Spread Fordham -7.5Actual: Fordham -7.5
FORD -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
LIU +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Fordham -3.5Actual: Fordham -3.5
FORD -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
LIU +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Under 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Fordham -8.5Actual: Fordham -8.5
FORD -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
LIU +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Fordham -2.5Actual: Fordham -2.5
FORD -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
LIU +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Fordham (regulation)
FORD
no forecast
@ 1.25
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
LIU
no forecast
@ 4.81

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FORD win + total 143.5
🔒 Pro
LIU win + total 143.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FORD leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
LIU Sharks +17.570.5%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41		---+5.7ppLost
LIU Sharks +19.576.2%1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30		---+5.6ppLost
LIU Sharks +18.573.5%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35		---+5.6ppLost
LIU Sharks +20.578.8%1.27
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25		---+5.5ppLost
LIU Sharks +1872.6%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+5.1ppLost
Fordham under 83.573.2%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+5.1ppWon
LIU Sharks +1975.5%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+4.6ppLost
LIU Sharks +2078.2%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+4.2ppLost
Overtime: no96.9%1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01		---+3.8ppWon
Fordham (regulation)82.5%1.12
Betano
1.13
Marathon Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11		--+1.0ppWon
Fordham win84.4%1.11
Betano
1.12
Marathon Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
WilliamHill
1.10		-0.5ppWon
Fordham -5.571.0%1.28
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.26		----1.5ppWon
Fordham -4.574.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----2.0ppWon
Fordham -573.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----2.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fordham wins
0
LIU Sharks wins
DateGameScore
21/11/25Fordham v LIU Sharks69-53
10/12/21Fordham v LIU Sharks73-57
Fordhamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HIona78-72
06/11/26HStonehill83-63
03/11/26AKansas65-95
12/03/26HGeorge Washington62-66
07/03/26HRhode Island61-49
04/03/26ALa Salle84-87
28/02/26AVCU Rams63-82
21/02/26HDavidson63-59
19/02/26HLoyola Chicago62-59
14/02/26ARhode Island70-66 OT
LIU Sharkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ATowson46-66
07/11/26ALa Salle80-88
05/11/26ASeton Hall60-67
03/11/26AFlorida Atlantic60-74
20/03/26AArizona58-92
10/03/26HMercyhurst Lakers79-70
07/03/26HWagner64-56
05/03/26HChicago State79-75
28/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson74-60
27/02/26HChicago State73-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fordham
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game75.380.565.0
Allowed / game76.767.595.0
Point differential-1.3+13.0-30.0
Avg total152.0148.0160.0
Over 143.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
LIU Sharks
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %0%-0%
Points / game61.5-61.5
Allowed / game73.8-73.8
Point differential-12.2--12.2
Avg total135.2-135.2
Over 143.525%-25%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington330100%78.350.0+28.3
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason330100%75.357.7+17.7
5 Davidson330100%75.360.7+14.7
6 Saint Josephs Hawks330100%77.370.0+7.3
7 Duquesne330100%72.766.7+6.0
8 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
9 St. Bonaventure32167%82.364.0+18.3
10 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
11 Loyola Chicago32167%82.070.7+11.3
12 Fordham32167%75.376.7-1.3
13 Dayton31233%84.779.3+5.3
14 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago State42250%68.276.8-8.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Fairleigh Dickinson42250%70.887.8-17.0
4 Le Moyne31233%76.076.0+0.0
5 Stonehill31233%67.371.3-4.0
6 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
7 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
8 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
9 LIU Sharks4040%61.573.8-12.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fordham364480
LIU Sharks253358
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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