Forli will host Rimini on 11 November 2026 in the Serie A2, with the two sides arriving on markedly different runs: Forli sits at 4-4 while Rimini is 6-2. Forli has scored 82.5 points per game and allowed 78.5, with a 3-1 home record and 86.5 points per game at home, yet their last five games include two losses and a 74-80 defeat to Brindisi. Rimini averages 81.8 points and concedes 70.6, with a 3-1 road record and 79.8 points per game on the road, and they have won every one of their last five outings, including a 96-73 victory over Sebastiani Rieti. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Rimini winning six; the most recent encounter on 15 February 2026 saw Rimini win 78-63. Pythia rates Rimini as the favourite with a 61% chance of winning against Forli's 39%, projecting a 79-82 score and 160.7 total points. The home line is 3.0 with a 48% chance of covering, while the total line of 158.5 has a 55% over probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. Rimini's recent 5-0 run suggests they will likely keep the edge.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 82.5 | 78.5 | 161.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 86.5 | 76.8 | 163.2 | +9.8 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 78.5 | 80.2 | 158.8 | -1.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.8 | 80.9 | 160.7 | -1.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 78.6 | 161.4 | +4.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 74.9 | 84.7 | 159.6 | -9.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 83.3 | 80.5 | 163.8 | +2.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 81.2 | 72.8 | 154.0 | +8.5 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 81.8 | 70.6 | 152.4 | +11.1 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 83.8 | 72.5 | 156.2 | +11.2 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 79.8 | 68.8 | 148.5 | +11.0 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.1 | 71.8 | 152.9 | +9.3 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.4 | 71.0 | 157.4 | +15.4 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar ◀ (20) | 81.0 | 81.2 | 162.2 | -0.1 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 87.6 | 74.6 | 162.2 | +13.0 | 90% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 42.8 | 83.6 | -2.0 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.7 | 43.2 | 85.9 | -0.5 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.9 | 42.5 | 81.4 | -3.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.9 | 42.7 | 84.6 | -0.8 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.6 | 44.0 | 85.6 | -2.4 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 38.3 | 44.0 | 82.3 | -5.7 | 12% | 62% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 43.3 | 44.0 | 87.3 | -0.7 | 40% | 80% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 44.5 | 35.2 | 79.8 | +9.2 | 75% | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.6 | 41.1 | 84.7 | +2.4 | 50% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.1 | 42.3 | 87.4 | +2.9 | 47% | 87% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.0 | 40.0 | 82.0 | +2.0 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.1 | 37.6 | 81.7 | +6.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.4 | 36.8 | 85.2 | +11.6 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar ◀ (20) | 42.5 | 41.4 | 83.8 | +1.1 | 45% | 65% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 45.8 | 40.7 | 86.5 | +5.1 | 60% | 70% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rimini over 75.5 | 73.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Rimini over 76.5 | 70.2% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Rimini +5.5 | 76.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Rimini +4.5 | 73.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Over 151.5 | 70.6% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Forli +10.5 | 73.9% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Forli over 72.5 | 72.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.8% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +3.7pp | - |
| Forli +9.5 | 70.9% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Rimini +3.5 | 70.7% | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Lost |
| Forli under 84.5 | 71.3% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 18.7 | 51.2% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.7 | 7.6 | 34.5% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.9 | 14.9 | 71.0% | 14.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.1 | 18.1 | 51.2% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.8 | 8.8 | 34.5% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.3 | 12.5 | 71.0% | 12.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 | Rimini v Forli | 78-63 |
| 21/12/25 | Forli v Rimini | 77-86 |
| 01/06/25 | Forli v Rimini | 64-76 |
| 30/05/25 | Forli v Rimini | 87-78 |
| 27/05/25 | Rimini v Forli | 83-78 |
| 25/05/25 | Rimini v Forli | 75-69 |
| 19/01/25 | Forli v Rimini | 78-73 |
| 27/10/24 | Rimini v Forli | 81-73 |
| 23/12/23 | Rimini v Forli | 68-80 |
| 22/10/23 | Forli v Rimini | 76-68 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Brindisi | 74-80 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Ruvo Di Puglia | 86-71 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Libertas Livorno | 87-92 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Vigevano | 74-79 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Sebastiani Rieti | 93-71 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Avellino Basket | 81-94 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Cento | 80-73 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Cividale | 85-68 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Fortitudo Bologna | 65-96 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Pesaro | 73-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Vigevano | 76-68 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Urania Milano | 85-71 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Sebastiani Rieti | 96-73 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Sassari | 84-67 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Mestre | 91-76 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Fortitudo Bologna | 66-78 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Avellino Basket | 72-73 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Montecatini | 84-59 |
| 14/06/26 | H | Verona | 75-83 |
| 12/06/26 | H | Verona | 82-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 50% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | WLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Points / game | 82.5 | 86.5 | 78.5 |
| Allowed / game | 78.5 | 76.8 | 80.2 |
| Point differential | +4.0 | +9.8 | -1.8 |
| Avg total | 161.0 | 163.2 | 158.8 |
| Over 159 | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 75% |
| Home | LWWW | 75% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Points / game | 81.8 | 83.8 | 79.8 |
| Allowed / game | 70.6 | 72.5 | 68.8 |
| Point differential | +11.1 | +11.2 | +11.0 |
| Avg total | 152.4 | 156.2 | 148.5 |
| Over 159 | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 62% | 50% | 75% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 81.6 | 68.2 | +13.4 |
| 2 | Avellino Basket | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Rimini | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.8 | 70.6 | +11.1 |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 79.6 | 74.2 | +5.4 | |
| 5 | Sebastiani Rieti | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 74.1 | 73.4 | +0.8 |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 72.4 | 71.4 | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 77.0 | 73.4 | +3.6 | |
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 80.2 | 77.9 | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 77.4 | 69.5 | +7.9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 82.5 | 78.5 | +4.0 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 74.9 | 75.1 | -0.2 | |
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 74.5 | 75.9 | -1.4 | |
| 13 | Cividale | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 70.6 | 73.5 | -2.9 |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.3 | 83.3 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | Ruvo Di Puglia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.1 | 82.5 | -6.4 |
| 16 | Vigevano | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.5 | 84.4 | -7.9 |
| 17 | Cento | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 72.2 | 82.6 | -10.4 |
| 18 | JuVi Cremona | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 74.9 | 78.0 | -3.1 |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 74.5 | 81.9 | -7.4 | |
| 20 | Montecatini | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 68.9 | 82.6 | -13.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 15 | 21 | 24 | 81 | |
| Rimini | 24 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 |
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