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Pesaro vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-73
20-17 27-24 23-19 15-13
Position#3
Record26-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record13-22
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game81.5
ItalySerie A2Round 37· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Forli
14 Apr 2027
PES v FORL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
PES85
FORL73
15 Mar 2025
PES84
FORL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 78
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 78
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
84avg 78
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 78
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 78
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 78
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
91-89
91
89
+2
93avg 78
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
70avg 78
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 78
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
90-112
90
112
-22
83avg 78
A12/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
24-16
21-23
21-17
13-20
14-23
29-19
23-22
22-17
24-17
19-23
20-21
18-21
18-14
14-17
26-12
17-26
29-18
32-23
15-8
19-26
21-17
20-21
24-22
18-18
25-18
22-23
26-30
24-21
18-22
21-16
21-24
21-18
24-12
23-25
13-22
27-30
24-30
20-22
19-30
167.6Avg total
84.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)82.779.2162.0+3.572%
Season at home (18)80.875.7156.6+5.178%
Season away (18)84.682.8167.4+1.867%
Last 10 (10)84.683.0167.6+1.670%
Last 5 (5)86.089.4175.4-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)80.081.7161.7-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.876.1161.8+9.7100%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 68
A08/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
63-78
63
78
-15
43avg 68
A15/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 68
H25/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 68
A07/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 68
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
73-71
73
71
+2
67avg 68
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 68
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 68
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
56-89
56
89
-33
43avg 68
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 68
H12/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-20
12-15
23-19
17-22
17-16
8-24
21-16
29-23
16-22
11-21
18-13
25-31
12-13
21-13
26-23
28-15
18-28
19-25
19-19
18-19
15-15
26-16
14-21
18-25
20-21
28-28
6-22
22-25
23-24
23-15
21-17
8-22
21-27
13-26
14-14
29-21
19-30
23-22
20-13
158.4Avg total
75.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.881.5158.3-4.837%
Season at home (17)79.880.1159.9-0.353%
Season away (18)73.982.9156.8-9.022%
Last 10 (10)75.982.5158.4-6.640%
Last 5 (5)76.284.6160.8-8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.282.7157.9-7.430%
vs Similar (10)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
PesaroForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A12/04
Serie A2
82.7Avg total
41.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.779.4+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.277.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.381.6+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.082.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.486.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)39.439.478.8+0.139%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.437.880.2+4.775%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A08/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A15/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A07/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
83.6Avg total
39.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.781.7-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.683.7+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.879.7-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.383.6-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.884.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.941.078.9-3.125%-
vs Similar (10)44.243.187.3+1.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.6
56.0%
50.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.4
40.2%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.515.1
77.4%
74.4%15.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.5%
50.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.3
31.9%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
74.4%13.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWWLWWWLW
Forli
WLWLWLWLLL
#3
League position
#17
+0.6
Net rating
-8.0
101.8
Offensive rating
91.5
101.2
Defensive rating
99.5
57.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.2%
3-point %
31.9%
62.4%
Assist %
54.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 91.5Defence101.2 · 99.5Shooting57.9% · 50.0%3-point %40.2% · 31.9%Ball care14.4% · 13.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
26/11/25Forli v Pesaro88-91
15/03/25Pesaro v Forli84-71
16/10/24Forli v Pesaro71-50
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26ASebastiani Rieti90-112
08/04/26ABasket Torino81-77
03/04/26HVerona84-83
29/03/26APistoia91-89
25/03/26HFortitudo Bologna84-86
21/03/26AMestre93-75
08/03/26HJuVi Cremona76-64
22/02/26HRimini85-78
15/02/26AScafati79-84
11/02/26ACividale83-82
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HLibertas Livorno91-86
08/04/26AVerona56-89
04/04/26HRoseto89-81
29/03/26AScafati72-96
25/03/26HAvellino Basket73-71
22/03/26ARuvo Di Puglia84-87
07/03/26ACividale84-80
25/02/26HBrindisi74-79
15/02/26ARimini63-78
08/02/26APistoia73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %72%78%67%
Points / game82.780.884.6
Allowed / game79.275.782.8
Point differential+3.5+5.1+1.8
Avg total162.0156.6167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW37%
HomeWLWWW53%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %37%53%22%
Points / game76.879.873.9
Allowed / game81.580.182.9
Point differential-4.8-0.3-9.0
Avg total158.3159.9156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)56% (9)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro36261072%82.779.2+3.5
2 Scafati36251169%83.377.7+5.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna36241267%76.372.8+3.6
4 Cividale37241365%78.874.4+4.5
5 Verona36231364%78.873.5+5.3
6 Brindisi35221363%78.074.0+4.0
7 Avellino Basket35211460%81.678.7+2.9
8 Rimini36211558%82.178.8+3.2
9 Libertas Livorno37211657%79.373.9+5.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti37211657%79.877.7+2.1
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona36171947%75.677.3-1.7
13 Basket Torino35161946%73.174.1-1.0
14 Urania Milano36162044%79.581.7-2.2
15 Mestre36142239%78.181.4-3.3
16 Forli35132237%76.881.5-4.8
17 Ruvo Di Puglia36112531%77.187.1-9.9
18 Cento36102628%77.481.3-3.8
19 Pistoia3582723%76.583.3-6.7
20 Roseto3572820%78.085.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2027231585
Forli1724191373
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