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Fortitudo Bologna vs Forli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.6
ItalySerie A2Round 31· PalaDozza
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Forli
21 Mar 2027
FBO v FORL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
FBO81
FORL72
14 Dec 2024
FBO76
FORL71
11 Oct 2023
FBO73
FORL63
26 Mar 2023
FBO72
FORL70
23 Dec 2018
FBO97
FORL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Forli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
73avg 70
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
103avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
76avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
91-69
91
69
+22
52avg 70
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
50avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
83-66
83
66
+17
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
13-20
28-24
10-15
16-25
24-14
22-12
30-19
26-24
16-14
26-21
15-22
28-16
4-19
22-21
24-10
20-20
27-20
25-10
19-19
16-17
17-27
11-25
15-16
20-17
17-20
26-28
22-28
16-21
25-17
13-13
12-13
25-20
21-21
25-14
12-11
24-25
14-16
16-20
24-14
154.3Avg total
78.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.474.3153.8+5.178%
Season at home (5)85.872.8158.6+13.080%
Season away (4)71.576.2147.8-4.875%
Last 10 (10)78.875.5154.3+3.370%
Last 5 (5)74.276.6150.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.085.0144.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.170.8143.9+2.259%
vs Weaker (12)83.671.9155.5+11.792%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 70
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 70
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 70
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 70
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
20-20
20-23
21-17
13-19
19-31
22-26
23-23
23-12
28-24
15-14
19-14
24-19
20-23
9-15
23-29
22-13
21-24
15-21
21-12
24-13
160.0Avg total
80.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.377.6159.9+4.856%
Season at home (5)85.475.4160.8+10.080%
Season away (4)78.580.2158.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)80.679.4160.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.478.4158.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.984.7159.6-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.980.3163.2+2.650%
vs Weaker (4)81.272.8154.0+8.575%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
Fortitudo BolognaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
79.1Avg total
39.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.274.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.034.472.4+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.477.4+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.079.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.835.572.3+1.459%-
vs Weaker (12)41.336.778.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/11
Serie A2
83.9Avg total
41.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.285.1-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.4-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.583.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.282.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.344.082.3-5.712%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.144.086.1-1.930%-
vs Weaker (4)44.535.279.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.312.9
53.1%
51.4%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.2
37.6%
34.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
70.8%12.1
They take 54.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.9
65.1%
70.8%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWLLWWWWL
Forli
WLWLLWLWWL
#3
League position
#9
+6.9
Net rating
-1.3
100.2
Offensive rating
98.1
93.3
Defensive rating
99.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.6%
3-point %
35.0%
83.4%
Assist %
51.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 98.1Defence93.3 · 99.4Shooting54.9% · 53.0%3-point %37.6% · 35.0%Ball care15.7% · 13.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fortitudo Bologna wins
4
Forli wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABasket Torino78-75
07/11/26HUrania Milano83-66
01/11/26APistoia66-64
25/10/26HVigevano85-93
21/10/26ALibertas Livorno59-85
17/10/26HMontecatini91-69
11/10/26HRimini78-66
04/10/26ACaserta83-81
27/09/26HRuvo Di Puglia92-70
25/05/26AVerona73-86
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRimini81-70
07/11/26ABrindisi74-80
01/11/26HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
25/10/26HLibertas Livorno87-92
21/10/26AVigevano74-79
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW78%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game79.485.871.5
Allowed / game74.372.876.2
Point differential+5.1+13.0-4.8
Avg total153.8158.6147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game82.385.478.5
Allowed / game77.675.480.2
Point differential+4.8+10.0-1.8
Avg total159.9160.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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