PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fortitudo Bologna vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-71 (OT)
17-18 17-21 18-15 15-13 9-4
Position#7
Record7-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.9
Fortitudo Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Forli
Italy
Position#6
Record9-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game74.2
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaDozza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Forli
21 Mar 2027
FBO v FORL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
FBO81
FORL72
14 Dec 2024
FBO76
FORL71
11 Oct 2023
FBO73
FORL63
26 Mar 2023
FBO72
FORL70
23 Dec 2018
FBO97
FORL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 70
A20/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 70
H03/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
60-61
60
61
-1
55avg 70
A06/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
70avg 70
H10/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
50avg 70
A13/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 70
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-61
82
61
+21
80avg 70
H24/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
92-64
92
64
+28
99avg 70
H28/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-71
78
71
+7
80avg 70
A01/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
70-80
70
80
-10
60avg 70
A07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
19-27
21-12
14-27
22-13
13-22
17-16
18-16
14-9
19-19
14-15
13-18
22-13
15-18
21-15
18-30
16-22
13-31
20-18
11-18
10-23
20-19
23-21
22-23
25-16
17-17
22-17
18-11
30-18
21-6
23-18
18-22
25-16
19-20
14-21
20-14
24-25
13-20
16-18
17-17
148.6Avg total
74.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.574.9150.4+0.747%
Season at home (6)81.769.3151.0+12.383%
Season away (9)71.478.6150.0-7.122%
Last 10 (10)74.374.3148.6+0.040%
Last 5 (5)79.472.4151.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.775.0140.7-9.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.469.1143.5+5.264%
vs Weaker (10)77.771.0148.7+6.760%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 69
A20/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
57avg 69
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
67-69
67
69
-2
55avg 69
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-67
92
67
+25
93avg 69
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
76avg 69
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 69
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 69
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
82-80
82
80
+2
79avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 69
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 69
A07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
20-18
17-17
22-15
20-17
27-20
9-22
17-22
13-18
21-14
20-20
13-17
20-12
24-14
22-20
26-21
23-22
19-15
15-16
18-22
14-27
20-23
13-22
28-12
16-20
21-15
25-21
9-20
32-17
21-20
17-28
12-15
21-24
25-18
19-21
23-19
19-18
30-14
12-19
18-23
154.6Avg total
78.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.174.2151.3+2.960%
Season at home (7)78.772.0150.7+6.771%
Season away (8)75.876.1151.9-0.450%
Last 10 (10)78.775.9154.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)79.079.2158.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.475.9149.4-2.541%
vs Weaker (12)81.672.2153.8+9.392%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
Fortitudo BolognaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A20/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H03/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A13/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H28/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A01/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A07/12
Serie A2
75.0Avg total
38.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.973.0+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.531.371.7+9.273%-
Last 30 away (15)35.838.574.3-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.075.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.037.871.8-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.334.873.1+3.564%-
vs Weaker (10)40.433.373.7+7.170%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/12
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
42.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.976.7+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.235.374.5+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.538.578.9+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.078.0+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.283.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.050.084.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.536.274.6+2.359%-
vs Weaker (12)42.236.879.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
50.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.7
34.8%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws10.27.4
72.5%
74.4%7.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.8
48.7%
50.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.1
35.1%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
74.4%12.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LWWWLLLLWL
Forli
WWWLLWWLLW
#7
League position
#6
-0.6
Net rating
+3.4
101.2
Offensive rating
106.6
101.7
Defensive rating
103.2
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.3%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.8%
3-point %
35.1%
71.8%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 106.6Defence101.7 · 103.2Shooting51.0% · 50.3%3-point %34.8% · 35.1%Ball care15.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.16 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fortitudo Bologna wins
3
Forli wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Forli v Fortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
11/10/23Fortitudo Bologna v Forli73-63
26/03/23Fortitudo Bologna v Forli72-70
18/12/22Forli v Fortitudo Bologna88-66
07/04/19Forli v Fortitudo Bologna88-77
23/12/18Fortitudo Bologna v Forli97-95 OT
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza70-80
01/12/24AVigevano78-71
28/11/24HAvellino Basket92-64
24/11/24HLibertas Livorno82-61
16/11/24ACividale75-86
13/11/24ACantu60-89
10/11/24HBasket Torino79-82 OT
06/11/24ASebastiani Rieti60-61
03/11/24HVerona70-67
20/10/24ANardo77-82
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AJuVi Cremona79-74
01/12/24HAssigeco Piacenza88-82
23/11/24AUrania Milano82-80
17/11/24HCantu71-76
13/11/24AUdine75-84
10/11/24HOrzinuovi87-82 OT
06/11/24ABasket Torino92-67
02/11/24HLibertas Livorno67-69
27/10/24ARimini73-81
20/10/24AAvellino Basket73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%83%22%
Points / game75.581.771.4
Allowed / game74.969.378.6
Point differential+0.7+12.3-7.1
Avg total150.4151.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game77.178.775.8
Allowed / game74.272.076.1
Point differential+2.9+6.7-0.4
Avg total151.3150.7151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %13%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1514193%84.075.6+8.4
2 Udine1612475%83.374.1+9.2
3 Cantu1511473%79.072.1+6.9
4 Cividale1511473%79.175.5+3.5
5 Verona159660%78.074.1+3.9
6 Urania Milano159660%77.774.4+3.3
7 Forli159660%77.174.2+2.9
8 Sebastiani Rieti169756%74.173.2+0.9
9 Avellino Basket158753%76.977.6-0.7
10 Fortitudo Bologna157847%75.574.9+0.7
11 Orzinuovi157847%78.579.9-1.4
12 Basket Torino157847%75.577.3-1.7
13 Pesaro167944%75.879.6-3.8
14 Brindisi156940%75.977.2-1.3
15 Libertas Livorno1551033%73.876.3-2.5
16 JuVi Cremona1551033%79.582.8-3.3
17 Nardo1551033%73.980.9-7.1
18 Vigevano1541127%76.281.1-4.9
19 Cento1541127%69.777.7-8.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza1631319%75.480.6-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fortitudo Bologna17171815976
Forli18211513471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.