Fortitudo Bologna vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 88-74

22-15 19-12 28-19 19-28

Position#15

Record8-18

FormLLLLW

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game80.7

Fortitudo Bologna 🏆

Pesaro

Position#11

Record11-15

FormLWLLL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game82.3

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

71-87

-16

A01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

66-75

-9

A15/02

Lega A

Siena

67-63

H01/03

Lega A

Biella

78-83

-5

H08/03

Lega A

Treviso

77-80

-3

A14/03

Lega A

Ferrara

73-86

-13

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

74-75

-1

H29/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

68-73

-5

A05/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-69

-3

H11/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

110-107 OT

110

107

H15/04

Lega A

23-22

15-28

18-25

15-12

13-20

18-17

15-20

20-18

19-14

11-25

11-10

26-14

14-16

20-25

23-20

21-22

6-23

26-10

22-27

23-20

18-22

12-15

10-24

33-25

7-13

23-21

19-21

25-20

21-19

22-13

11-19

14-22

23-15

10-22

14-13

19-19

21-16

15-28

24-16

17-17

154.8Avg total

75.0Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	75.1	80.7	155.8	-5.6	31%
Season at home (13)	74.6	75.7	150.3	-1.1	46%
Season away (13)	75.6	85.8	161.4	-10.2	15%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	79.8	154.8	-4.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	82.0	160.2	-3.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	72.6	80.1	152.8	-7.5	19%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	78.7	82.8	161.4	-4.1	33%
vs Weaker (5)	81.0	75.0	156.0	+6.0	60%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferrara

91-86

H01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

86-65

+21

H08/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

88-95

-7

A14/02

Lega A

Caserta

#14

91-84

H01/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

90-70

+20

A07/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

76-98

-22

A15/03

Lega A

Teramo

83-82 OT

H22/03

Lega A

Treviso

54-81

-27

H29/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

79-87

-8

A05/04

Lega A

Siena

90-100

100

-10

H11/04

Lega A

26-22

20-22

20-19

25-23

33-19

14-13

19-14

20-19

16-20

14-30

21-22

37-23

24-22

18-17

22-23

27-22

21-20

21-17

25-15

23-18

19-25

17-24

16-21

24-28

24-19

17-25

19-7

14-23

15-27

16-19

10-14

13-21

18-26

13-19

23-15

25-27

27-22

18-33

16-18

29-27

167.6Avg total

82.8Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.2	82.3	164.5	-0.1	42%
Season at home (13)	85.9	81.0	166.9	+4.9	62%
Season away (13)	78.5	83.6	162.1	-5.2	23%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	84.8	167.6	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	89.6	166.0	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	81.8	93.5	175.2	-11.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	81.8	80.8	162.7	+1.0	40%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	74.5	161.0	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Fortitudo BolognaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	18.0	34.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.6	20.5	41.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.4	38.8	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	19.9	37.3	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.4	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.7	19.8	36.4	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.8	15.6	39.4	+8.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	42%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.9	38.7	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	24.0	40.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	23.5	41.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.2	19.4	37.5	-1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-

Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

38-50

-12

A01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

31-37

-6

A15/02

Lega A

Siena

30-39

-9

H01/03

Lega A

Biella

34-41

-7

H08/03

Lega A

Treviso

32-33

-1

A14/03

Lega A

Ferrara

30-37

-7

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

30-34

-4

H29/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

43-32

+11

A05/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

33-37

-4

H11/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

36-44

-8

H15/04

Lega A

72.1Avg total

33.7Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.1	76.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	37.6	73.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	40.5	79.3	-1.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	38.4	72.1	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	36.8	71.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	35.5	39.8	75.3	-4.3	6%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	35.7	40.8	76.4	-5.1	11%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.4	33.6	79.0	+11.8	80%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferrara

46-44

H01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

47-32

+15

H08/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

30-50

-20

A14/02

Lega A

Caserta

#14

42-39

H01/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

42-37

A07/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

36-49

-13

A15/03

Lega A

Teramo

41-44

-3

H22/03

Lega A

Treviso

31-46

-15

H29/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

31-45

-14

A05/04

Lega A

Siena

45-55

-10

H11/04

Lega A

83.2Avg total

39.1Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.8	40.7	79.5	-1.8	42%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.0	40.3	82.3	+1.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.7	41.0	76.7	-5.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	44.1	83.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	47.8	84.6	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	44.5	85.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.4	39.8	78.1	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	42.0	82.5	-1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.9	35.7	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.8	39.1	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.5	36.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.6	34.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	15.4	21.0	36.4	-5.6	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	58%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.0	31.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.3	38.5	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	23.1	46.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	25.2	46.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.2	29.2	53.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.7	20.9	42.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	35.9	75.5	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	43.1	77.6	-8.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.2	76.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	36.6	39.9	76.4	-3.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.7	37.8	76.4	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.6	41.4	77.0	-5.8	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	42.2	40.3	82.5	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	40.1	83.3	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	40.5	81.7	+0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	39.9	82.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	40.2	78.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.2	49.0	90.2	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	42.0	39.4	81.3	+2.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	32.5	78.5	+13.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fortitudo Bologna wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/08	Pesaro v Fortitudo Bologna	99-72

Fortitudo Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	110-107 OT
11/04/09	H	Olimpia Milano	66-69
05/04/09	A	Avellino	68-73
29/03/09	H	Virtus Bologna	74-75
21/03/09	A	Ferrara	73-86
14/03/09	A	Treviso	77-80
08/03/09	H	Biella	78-83
01/03/09	H	Siena	67-63
15/02/09	A	NSB Napoli	66-75
01/02/09	A	Virtus Roma	71-87

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/09	H	Siena	90-100
05/04/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	79-87
29/03/09	H	Treviso	54-81
22/03/09	H	Teramo	83-82 OT
15/03/09	A	Virtus Roma	76-98
07/03/09	A	Udine	90-70
01/03/09	H	Caserta	91-84
14/02/09	A	Virtus Bologna	88-95
08/02/09	H	NSB Napoli	86-65
01/02/09	H	Ferrara	91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	31%
Home	WLLLW	46%
Away	LLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	31%	46%	15%
Points / game	75.1	74.6	75.6
Allowed / game	80.7	75.7	85.8
Point differential	-5.6	-1.1	-10.2
Avg total	155.8	150.3	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (12)	43% (7)	20% (5)
Overtime %	12%	8%	15%

Pesaro

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	42%
Home	WWWLL	62%
Away	LLWLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	42%	62%	23%
Points / game	82.2	85.9	78.5
Allowed / game	82.3	81.0	83.6
Point differential	-0.1	+4.9	-5.2
Avg total	164.5	166.9	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	31%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (6)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	26	25	1	96%	88.4	71.9	+16.5
2	Virtus Bologna	26	17	9	65%	78.4	76.8	+1.6
3	Virtus Roma	26	16	10	62%	85.3	80.9	+4.3
4	Olimpia Milano	26	16	10	62%	77.5	73.8	+3.7
5	Teramo	26	16	10	62%	83.5	81.7	+1.7
6	Treviso	26	15	11	58%	76.7	74.7	+2.0
7	Cantu	26	13	13	50%	80.0	82.4	-2.3
8	Avellino	26	12	14	46%	77.5	75.4	+2.1
9	Biella	26	12	14	46%	83.1	82.7	+0.4
10	Pesaro	26	11	15	42%	82.2	82.3	-0.1
11	Ferrara	26	11	15	42%	77.2	78.8	-1.7
12	Sutor Montegranaro	26	11	15	42%	76.5	81.2	-4.7
13	Caserta	26	10	16	38%	75.2	80.3	-5.1
14	NSB Napoli	26	9	17	35%	72.3	78.2	-5.8
15	Fortitudo Bologna	26	8	18	31%	75.1	80.7	-5.6
16	Udine	26	6	20	23%	79.0	85.9	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fortitudo Bologna	22	19	28	19	88
Pesaro	15	12	19	28	74

← all games of the day

Fortitudo Bologna vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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