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Fortitudo Bologna vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 77-69
18-19 18-26 23-14 18-10
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#13
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game78.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Treviso
07 Nov 2021
FBO83
TRV70
07 Nov 2020
FBO87
TRV98
13 Oct 2019
FBO77
TRV69
27 Jan 2019
FBO84
TRV74
22 May 2017
FBO80
TRV63
20 May 2017
FBO79
TRV81
06 Jun 2016
FBO54
TRV47
04 Jun 2016
FBO81
TRV71
22 Nov 2008
FBO73
TRV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baltur Cento
#14
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A24/03
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H31/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A07/04
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A13/04
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
77-77
77
77
+0
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H29/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
21-24
25-10
15-27
19-23
19-15
32-20
21-21
22-22
14-26
20-18
21-22
23-21
20-26
28-25
7-22
24-24
25-19
24-16
19-22
13-17
25-26
18-16
21-18
27-11
14-27
25-21
16-23
23-20
17-21
26-7
14-24
26-24
25-22
18-12
20-24
15-17
16-32
15-21
14-13
166.6Avg total
83.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.379.0155.3-2.767%
Season at home (1)89.082.0171.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)70.077.5147.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)83.283.4166.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)81.882.8164.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.582.5157.0-8.050%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.383.7172.0+4.767%
vs Weaker (25)86.377.4163.7+8.980%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poderosa Montegranaro
#3
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H10/03
A2 East
Imola
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A17/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/03
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H31/03
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A07/04
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A13/04
A2 East
Udine
#5
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H20/04
A2 East
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H26/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A29/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-8
16-15
22-23
26-21
18-23
25-21
17-12
24-20
18-12
21-22
19-24
22-14
26-16
19-11
25-22
18-12
22-14
22-14
14-22
23-14
20-12
15-11
18-12
20-22
24-16
24-14
17-17
12-12
19-23
14-12
9-21
11-19
24-33
24-18
19-19
20-19
15-9
26-24
22-23
24-16
147.5Avg total
78.3Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.778.7154.3-3.033%
Season at home (2)70.073.5143.5-3.550%
Season away (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)78.369.2147.5+9.180%
Last 5 (5)75.470.4145.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.075.0128.0-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)80.586.5167.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (27)81.967.0148.9+15.085%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
Fortitudo BolognaTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baltur Cento
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A24/03
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/04
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A13/04
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A06/10
Lega A
84.6Avg total
41.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.982.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.938.585.3+8.487%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.479.7+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.484.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.047.588.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.336.780.0+6.7100%-
vs Weaker (25)43.838.582.4+5.364%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poderosa Montegranaro
#3
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H10/03
A2 East
Imola
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/03
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H31/03
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/04
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A13/04
A2 East
Udine
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H20/04
A2 East
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H26/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A29/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H06/10
Lega A
72.9Avg total
40.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.433.874.2+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.632.073.6+9.687%-
Last 30 away (15)39.135.674.7+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.872.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.475.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.546.586.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (27)40.732.873.5+7.978%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.3
56.0%
52.0%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.3
34.9%
35.1%22.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.2%
73.6%12.3
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.0
44.0%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.310.7
45.7%
35.1%32.0
🏀 Free throws14.011.7
83.3%
73.6%11.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LWWWLWLLWW
Treviso
WLLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#13
-5.7
Net rating
-3.4
106.0
Offensive rating
109.6
111.7
Defensive rating
113.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
15.9%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.9%
3-point %
45.7%
44.6%
Assist %
52.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 109.6Defence111.7 · 113.0Shooting54.7% · 53.6%3-point %34.9% · 45.7%Ball care13.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds15.9% · 21.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fortitudo Bologna wins
2
Treviso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/19AVarese60-83
29/09/19HVenezia89-82
24/09/19APesaro80-72
01/05/19HVirtus Roma103-100 OT
28/04/19AVirtus Roma77-77
20/04/19HRoseto92-81
13/04/19ACagliari78-94
07/04/19AForli77-88
31/03/19HFerrara91-79
24/03/19ABaltur Cento85-78
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/19HPistoia87-72
29/09/19ACremona87-89
26/09/19HOlimpia Milano53-75
20/04/19HUdine77-59
13/04/19AAssigeco Piacenza73-57
07/04/19ARavenna81-64
31/03/19HRoseto88-61
24/03/19AForli80-72
17/03/19AImola84-76
10/03/19HPoderosa Montegranaro73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.389.070.0
Allowed / game79.082.077.5
Point differential-2.7+7.0-7.5
Avg total155.3171.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.770.087.0
Allowed / game78.773.589.0
Point differential-3.0-3.5-2.0
Avg total154.3143.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%82.873.5+9.2
2 Sassari43175%77.067.2+9.8
3 Brescia43175%83.275.2+8.0
4 Brindisi43175%82.874.8+8.0
5 Varese32167%75.765.3+10.3
6 Fortitudo Bologna32167%76.379.0-2.7
7 Olimpia Milano42250%79.272.8+6.5
8 Venezia42250%76.570.8+5.8
9 Reggiana42250%83.880.0+3.8
10 Trento42250%77.879.8-2.0
11 Virtus Roma42250%77.080.5-3.5
12 Treviso31233%75.778.7-3.0
13 Cremona31233%84.789.7-5.0
14 Cantu31233%63.377.3-14.0
15 Trieste41325%68.279.2-11.0
16 Pistoia4040%73.086.0-13.0
17 Pesaro3030%76.791.0-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna1818231877
Treviso1926141069
← all games of the day
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