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Varese vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-60
17-15 32-16 21-15 13-14
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Fortitudo Bologna
24 Apr 2022
VAR103
FBO92
14 Feb 2021
VAR67
FBO79
06 Oct 2019
VAR83
FBO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-20
18-13
12-18
21-23
12-23
18-22
15-21
22-23
23-14
18-32
21-25
11-30
21-16
27-29
27-14
25-18
15-21
13-23
22-22
19-22
19-8
19-28
24-17
18-14
22-13
28-23
30-20
19-17
18-28
22-22
13-17
15-15
9-25
17-17
11-17
29-13
25-12
12-20
26-17
156.5Avg total
77.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.068.0140.0+4.050%
Season at home (1)52.074.0126.0-22.00%
Season away (1)92.062.0154.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.279.3156.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)79.073.0152.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.576.5137.0-16.00%
vs Similar (9)82.482.3164.8+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.573.9152.4+4.656%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakery Piacenza
#15
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H17/03
A2 East
Baltur Cento
#14
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A24/03
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H31/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A07/04
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A13/04
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
77-77
77
77
+0
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
27-22
28-20
20-8
24-17
21-24
25-10
15-27
19-23
19-15
32-20
21-21
22-22
14-26
20-18
21-22
23-21
20-26
28-25
7-22
24-24
25-19
24-16
19-22
13-17
25-26
18-16
21-18
27-11
14-27
25-21
16-23
23-20
17-21
26-7
14-24
26-24
25-22
18-12
20-24
168.5Avg total
87.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
Season at home (1)89.082.0171.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.081.5168.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)88.282.4170.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)89.082.0171.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (3)88.383.7172.0+4.767%
vs Weaker (26)86.377.0163.3+9.381%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
VareseFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A29/09
Lega A
75.5Avg total
37.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.376.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.236.374.5+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.538.277.8+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.675.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.472.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.539.065.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (9)44.039.683.6+4.478%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.735.773.3+2.050%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakery Piacenza
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H17/03
A2 East
Baltur Cento
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A24/03
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/04
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A13/04
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
Lega A
85.2Avg total
43.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.782.8+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.938.585.3+8.487%-
Last 30 away (15)41.438.980.3+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.185.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)51.046.097.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)43.336.780.0+6.7100%-
vs Weaker (26)44.038.682.6+5.365%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.7
52.1%
52.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
35.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.79.5
64.6%
73.6%9.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.526.0
61.2%
52.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.5
31.4%
35.1%16.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
73.6%15.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWWLLLLL
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWLWLLWWW
#10
League position
#9
+0.9
Net rating
+9.0
110.3
Offensive rating
115.4
109.5
Defensive rating
106.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
57.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
16.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.7%
3-point %
31.4%
50.5%
Assist %
41.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 115.4Defence109.5 · 106.4Shooting51.4% · 57.1%3-point %33.7% · 31.4%Ball care13.6% · 11.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 16.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Fortitudo Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/19ATrieste92-62
26/09/19HSassari52-74
12/05/19AVirtus Bologna72-84
05/05/19HPistoia98-70
28/04/19HPesaro81-75
20/04/19ACantu75-84
17/04/19As.Oliver Wurzburg86-89
13/04/19HOlimpia Milano84-94
10/04/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg66-89
07/04/19ATorino66-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/19HVenezia89-82
24/09/19APesaro80-72
01/05/19HVirtus Roma103-100 OT
28/04/19AVirtus Roma77-77
20/04/19HRoseto92-81
13/04/19ACagliari78-94
07/04/19AForli77-88
31/03/19HFerrara91-79
24/03/19ABaltur Cento85-78
17/03/19HBakery Piacenza98-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game72.052.092.0
Allowed / game68.074.062.0
Point differential+4.0-22.0+30.0
Avg total140.0126.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.589.080.0
Allowed / game77.082.072.0
Point differential+7.5+7.0+8.0
Avg total161.5171.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari330100%83.068.0+15.0
2 Virtus Bologna220100%81.072.5+8.5
3 Fortitudo Bologna220100%84.577.0+7.5
4 Cantu110100%69.064.0+5.0
5 Brindisi32167%79.770.0+9.7
6 Olimpia Milano32167%76.066.3+9.7
7 Trento32167%81.775.7+6.0
8 Brescia32167%80.378.3+2.0
9 Varese21150%72.068.0+4.0
10 Cremona21150%91.592.0-0.5
11 Venezia21150%80.081.0-1.0
12 Virtus Roma31233%75.785.0-9.3
13 Reggiana2020%79.087.0-8.0
14 Pistoia2020%76.588.0-11.5
15 Treviso2020%70.082.0-12.0
16 Pesaro2020%75.589.5-14.0
17 Trieste3030%69.386.0-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1732211383
Fortitudo Bologna1516151460
← all games of the day
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