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Fortitudo Bologna vs Udine Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-81
16-20 26-17 21-27 24-17
Position#7
Record9-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#1
Record14-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.6
ItalySerie A2Round 19· PalaDozza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Udine
05 Jan 2025
FBO87
UDI81
06 Jan 2024
FBO68
UDI54
29 Jan 2023
FBO95
UDI67
24 Oct 2018
FBO81
UDI74
25 Jan 2009
FBO80
UDI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Udine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
70avg 70
H10/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
50avg 70
A13/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 70
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-61
82
61
+21
80avg 70
H24/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
92-64
92
64
+28
99avg 70
H28/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-71
78
71
+7
80avg 70
A01/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
70-80
70
80
-10
60avg 70
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
76-71 OT
76
71
+5
74avg 70
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
77-65
77
65
+12
69avg 70
H22/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
61-82
61
82
-21
52avg 70
A29/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
15-18
21-15
18-30
16-22
13-31
20-18
11-18
10-23
20-19
23-21
22-23
25-16
17-17
22-17
18-11
30-18
21-6
23-18
18-22
25-16
19-20
14-21
20-14
24-25
13-20
16-18
17-17
17-18
17-21
18-15
15-13
20-11
21-22
17-15
19-17
11-26
26-18
11-17
13-21
150.1Avg total
75.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.874.5149.3+0.350%
Season at home (8)80.469.0149.4+11.488%
Season away (10)70.478.9149.3-8.520%
Last 10 (10)75.075.1150.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)72.473.8146.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.775.0140.7-9.317%
vs Similar (17)73.869.8143.6+4.165%
vs Weaker (7)77.169.1146.3+8.071%
This opponent (Udine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
73avg 73
H06/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 73
A10/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
77avg 73
H13/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-87
93
87
+6
84avg 73
H17/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
92-64
92
64
+28
88avg 73
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
98-67
98
67
+31
100avg 73
H01/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
60-85
60
85
-25
45avg 73
A08/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
68avg 73
H13/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 73
A22/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
82-65
82
65
+17
75avg 73
H29/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-23
24-22
27-9
20-23
19-29
20-17
22-20
27-14
23-20
22-13
12-28
15-25
23-24
28-15
27-23
23-12
25-15
28-20
16-17
24-14
23-9
21-18
30-26
8-21
14-15
23-28
15-21
17-15
14-25
16-12
17-12
27-21
15-12
16-18
25-23
18-12
21-17
21-15
22-21
160.0Avg total
84.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.273.6156.8+9.778%
Season at home (9)86.973.0159.9+13.9100%
Season away (9)79.674.1153.7+5.456%
Last 10 (10)84.175.9160.0+8.280%
Last 5 (5)81.674.4156.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Similar (7)72.376.1148.4-3.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.873.2156.0+9.677%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
Fortitudo BolognaUdine
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A13/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H28/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A01/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A29/12
Serie A2
76.2Avg total
38.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.272.8+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.631.370.9+8.367%-
Last 30 away (15)35.639.174.7-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.076.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.037.871.8-3.850%-
vs Similar (17)38.135.573.6+2.659%-
vs Weaker (7)39.432.171.6+7.357%-
This opponent (Udine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H06/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A10/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H13/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H01/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A08/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H13/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A22/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/12
Serie A2
75.2Avg total
38.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.273.2+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.035.674.6+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)36.934.971.8+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.475.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.268.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.038.078.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (7)34.137.371.4-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.134.573.5+4.664%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.0
47.9%
50.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws10.68.0
75.5%
74.4%8.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.3
52.9%
50.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.3
33.9%
34.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.912.9
72.1%
74.4%12.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LWWLWWWLLL
Udine
WWWLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#1
-0.1
Net rating
+11.5
102.0
Offensive rating
113.2
102.2
Defensive rating
101.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.5%
3-point %
33.9%
71.8%
Assist %
54.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 113.2Defence102.2 · 101.6Shooting50.2% · 51.9%3-point %35.5% · 33.9%Ball care15.5% · 14.6%Off. rebounds24.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.16 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Udine
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fortitudo Bologna wins
3
Udine wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24APesaro61-82
22/12/24HBrindisi77-65
14/12/24HForli76-71 OT
07/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza70-80
01/12/24AVigevano78-71
28/11/24HAvellino Basket92-64
24/11/24HLibertas Livorno82-61
16/11/24ACividale75-86
13/11/24ACantu60-89
10/11/24HBasket Torino79-82 OT
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HOrzinuovi82-65
22/12/24ACantu83-74
13/12/24HSebastiani Rieti85-81 OT
08/12/24ALibertas Livorno60-85
01/12/24HJuVi Cremona98-67
22/11/24AVerona92-64
17/11/24HVigevano93-87
13/11/24HForli84-75
10/11/24ABrindisi81-89
06/11/24HPesaro83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%88%20%
Points / game74.880.470.4
Allowed / game74.569.078.9
Point differential+0.3+11.4-8.5
Avg total149.3149.4149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Udine
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%100%56%
Points / game83.286.979.6
Allowed / game73.673.074.1
Point differential+9.7+13.9+5.4
Avg total156.8159.9153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine1814478%83.273.6+9.7
2 Rimini1814478%83.277.0+6.2
3 Cantu1813572%78.973.2+5.7
4 Cividale1812667%79.276.0+3.2
5 Verona1811761%76.973.1+3.8
6 Urania Milano1811761%77.874.6+3.2
7 Forli1811761%78.175.3+2.8
8 Sebastiani Rieti1811761%75.473.7+1.7
9 Avellino Basket1810856%77.577.8-0.3
10 Fortitudo Bologna189950%74.874.5+0.3
11 Orzinuovi189950%78.879.8-0.9
12 Pesaro189950%77.178.6-1.6
13 Libertas Livorno1871139%74.375.8-1.5
14 Brindisi1871139%75.377.0-1.7
15 Basket Torino1871139%75.678.2-2.6
16 JuVi Cremona1871139%79.982.4-2.6
17 Vigevano1851328%77.581.6-4.1
18 Cento1851328%69.877.6-7.8
19 Nardo1851328%73.481.4-8.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza1831517%74.980.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna1626212487
Udine2017271781
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