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Fos-sur-Mer vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-81
21-21 15-18 13-22 20-20
Position#16
Record5-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Cholet 🏆
France
Position#8
Record5-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game85.9
FranceLNBRound 18
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Cholet
05 May 2023
FSM81
CHO78
28 Jan 2022
FSM69
CHO81
12 Oct 2018
FSM70
CHO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#7
L
69-80
69
80
-11
79avg 77
A18/11
LNB
Mulhouse
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H01/12
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
78avg 77
H04/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
73-98
73
98
-25
65avg 77
H10/12
LNB
Cholet
#8
W
83-79
83
79
+4
79avg 77
A18/12
LNB
Limoges
#5
L
67-75
67
75
-8
70avg 77
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
56-94
56
94
-38
44avg 77
H26/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
56-63
56
63
-7
52avg 77
H08/01
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
76-101
76
101
-25
67avg 77
A14/01
LNB
Le Mans
#9
L
57-66
57
66
-9
47avg 77
H22/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
6-20
26-23
18-23
25-24
22-17
28-11
15-27
15-18
14-30
22-20
16-20
22-19
16-22
13-23
22-34
24-21
13-16
21-17
25-25
19-26
12-19
22-13
14-17
17-25
7-24
16-26
16-19
4-15
17-21
14-12
21-15
13-29
18-19
21-29
24-24
19-13
15-13
11-17
12-23
151.7Avg total
69.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.178.1148.2-8.129%
Season at home (9)65.976.1142.0-10.233%
Season away (8)74.880.4155.1-5.625%
Last 10 (10)69.482.3151.7-12.920%
Last 5 (5)62.479.8142.2-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.079.7148.7-10.718%
vs Similar (10)76.877.3154.1-0.560%
vs Weaker (8)78.172.0150.1+6.162%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#1
L
92-99
92
99
-7
no box
A16/11
French Cup
Nanterre
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
H20/11
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
62-97
62
97
-35
72avg 82
A05/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
L
74-90
74
90
-16
65avg 82
H11/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
79-83
79
83
-4
66avg 82
H18/12
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 82
A23/12
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
95avg 82
H27/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 82
H09/01
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
85-69
85
69
+16
81avg 82
A14/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
78avg 82
H22/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
22-23
19-32
23-26
14-29
17-18
28-25
12-14
13-25
13-34
19-14
17-24
22-20
15-23
18-25
19-22
21-24
16-13
17-21
25-25
16-22
22-29
20-21
22-17
22-25
28-19
26-18
9-14
29-24
20-16
19-35
17-15
26-17
13-17
25-12
21-23
18-22
22-16
20-15
19-28
165.2Avg total
79.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.885.9164.8-7.129%
Season at home (9)80.884.3165.1-3.622%
Season away (8)76.687.8164.4-11.138%
Last 10 (10)79.286.0165.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)82.881.0163.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.988.9166.8-11.038%
vs Similar (15)80.786.9167.5-6.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.181.7168.9+5.443%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
Fos-sur-MerCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#7
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A18/11
LNB
Mulhouse
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H01/12
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H04/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/12
LNB
Cholet
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A18/12
LNB
Limoges
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H26/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H08/01
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A14/01
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H22/01
LNB
72.2Avg total
31.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.338.574.8-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.773.1-2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)37.139.376.4-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.740.572.2-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.240.869.0-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.039.271.2-7.218%-
vs Similar (10)38.438.977.3-0.560%-
vs Weaker (8)38.836.174.9+2.662%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A16/11
French Cup
Nanterre
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H20/11
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A05/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H18/12
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A23/12
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/01
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H22/01
LNB
83.1Avg total
39.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.484.4-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.143.586.6-0.547%-
Last 30 away (13)38.443.281.5-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.483.1-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.484.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.941.283.1+0.662%-
vs Similar (15)40.344.985.3-4.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.642.484.0-0.943%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 66.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.7
49.9%
53.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.3
26.9%
35.7%15.9
🏀 Free throws17.112.8
74.9%
74.1%12.8
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.6
48.8%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.710.6
77.4%
74.1%10.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLLLLWLLWL
Cholet
LWLWLLLLLL
#16
League position
#8
-17.6
Net rating
-12.8
88.7
Offensive rating
98.6
106.3
Defensive rating
111.4
46.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
24.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
26.9%
3-point %
36.6%
66.7%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 98.6Defence106.3 · 111.4Shooting46.6% · 51.0%3-point %26.9% · 36.6%Ball care24.3% · 22.1%Off. rebounds25.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fos-sur-Mer wins
2
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
18/12/21Cholet v Fos-sur-Mer79-83
12/05/19Cholet v Fos-sur-Mer99-83
12/10/18Fos-sur-Mer v Cholet70-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HLe Mans57-66
14/01/22ARoanne76-101
08/01/22HJL Bourg56-63
26/12/21HMonaco56-94
23/12/21ALimoges67-75
18/12/21ACholet83-79
10/12/21HLevallois73-98
04/12/21HLyon-Villeurbanne67-88
01/12/21HMulhouse90-79
18/11/21AStrasbourg69-80
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HJL Bourg79-81
14/01/22ALe Portel85-69
09/01/22HLyon-Villeurbanne85-90
27/12/21HDijon85-76
23/12/21AChalons-Reims80-89
18/12/21HFos-sur-Mer79-83
11/12/21HGravelines-Dunkerque74-90
05/12/21ALevallois62-97
20/11/21HNanterre71-86
16/11/21APau-Orthez92-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game70.165.974.8
Allowed / game78.176.180.4
Point differential-8.1-10.2-5.6
Avg total148.2142.0155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cholet
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%22%38%
Points / game78.880.876.6
Allowed / game85.984.387.8
Point differential-7.1-3.6-11.1
Avg total164.8165.1164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Levallois1613381%87.874.1+13.7
2 Monaco1611569%83.877.0+6.8
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne1610662%84.278.2+5.9
4 Le Mans1610662%84.279.5+4.8
5 Pau-Orthez1610662%83.483.7-0.2
6 Strasbourg159660%85.980.7+5.3
7 Nanterre159660%83.783.7+0.0
8 Limoges169756%80.473.8+6.6
9 Dijon169756%78.779.9-1.2
10 Gravelines-Dunkerque158753%82.279.8+2.4
11 JL Bourg178947%75.974.4+1.5
12 Roanne178947%87.189.4-2.3
13 Orleans1661038%78.284.9-6.6
14 Chalons-Reims1761135%84.289.4-5.2
15 Paris1761135%80.185.8-5.8
16 Cholet1751229%78.885.9-7.1
17 Fos-sur-Mer1751229%70.178.1-8.1
18 Le Portel1531220%75.484.1-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer2115132069
Cholet2118222081
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