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France vs Montenegro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-75
24-13 14-14 21-28 22-20
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
France 🏆
vs
Montenegro
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Bissang J.
Other2025
Meetings · France v Montenegro
04 Aug 2025
FRAN81
MONT75
26 Nov 2021
FRAN73
MONT67
24 Feb 2020
FRAN85
MONT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
82-55
82
55
+27
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-59
75
59
+16
70avg 74
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 74
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 74
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 74
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
20-23
21-13
12-26
19-20
19-17
20-22
27-20
9-12
26-15
19-9
28-19
25-21
15-20
22-20
25-16
15-14
20-16
22-14
16-17
16-15
18-17
23-16
17-16
20-15
17-16
14-19
24-9
28-14
19-20
21-24
17-12
20-17
17-18
22-16
24-29
18-21
16-11
17-25
25-17
151.3Avg total
80.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.670.7151.3+9.990%
Last 5 (5)78.669.4148.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (9)79.978.0157.9+1.967%
vs Weaker (17)82.964.1146.9+18.888%
MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Mexico
#26
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
81avg 72
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 72
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
57avg 72
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
66avg 72
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
29-20
20-19
23-13
27-17
24-20
19-19
19-18
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
20-16
24-11
21-25
20-10
22-21
19-27
25-19
24-19
17-26
21-24
13-25
25-20
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
160.3Avg total
81.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.478.9160.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)85.879.8165.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.679.9150.4-9.329%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (14)82.572.1154.6+10.479%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
FranceMontenegro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/02
EuroBasket
73.8Avg total
39.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.973.2+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.934.173.0+4.779%-
Last 30 away (16)37.835.673.4+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.873.8+4.290%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.870.6+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker (17)37.832.770.5+5.171%-
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico
#26
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
80.6Avg total
41.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.075.5+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.036.176.1+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.237.875.0-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.580.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.042.775.7-9.729%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (14)41.033.674.6+7.479%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
52.9%
55.4%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.8%
34.4%22.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.3%
74.1%15.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.3
54.0%
55.4%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.3%
34.4%22.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.3
74.8%
74.1%18.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 04 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France
WWWWWWWWWL
Montenegro
LLWWWLWLWW
+13.0
Net rating
+1.4
106.5
Offensive rating
111.9
93.6
Defensive rating
110.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
28.8%
3-point %
33.3%
69.8%
Assist %
45.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 111.9Defence93.6 · 110.5Shooting48.9% · 52.5%3-point %28.8% · 33.3%Ball care18.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds37.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ France   ■ Montenegro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
France wins
1
Montenegro wins
DateGameScore
01/07/22Montenegro v France70-69
26/11/21France v Montenegro73-67
20/02/21Montenegro v France71-73
24/02/20France v Montenegro85-66
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HBosnia & Herzegovina76-74
21/02/25ACroatia83-80
24/11/24HCyprus85-70
21/11/24ACyprus75-59
26/02/24ABosnia & Herzegovina74-64
23/02/24HCroatia73-61
02/09/23AIvory Coast87-77
31/08/23HIran82-55
29/08/23ALebanon85-79
27/08/23HLatvia86-88
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT
20/02/25HGermany76-95
25/11/24ABulgaria90-86
22/11/24HBulgaria85-62
25/02/24HSweden95-70
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
27/08/23HEgypt89-74
25/08/23AMexico91-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Montenegro
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France2414212281
Montenegro1314282075
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