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Montenegro vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-95
17-26 21-24 13-25 25-20
Position#19
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Germany 🏆
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game65.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Moraca Sports Center
Other2023
Meetings · Montenegro v Germany
27 Aug 2025
MONT76
GERM106
20 Feb 2025
MONT76
GERM95
22 Feb 2021
MONT82
GERM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 78
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
97avg 78
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
81avg 78
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 78
A25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-16
11-20
18-20
32-14
18-11
20-21
18-24
19-19
29-20
20-19
23-13
27-17
24-20
19-19
19-18
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
20-16
24-11
21-25
20-10
22-21
19-27
25-19
24-19
156.1Avg total
80.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.875.8158.5+7.075%
Season at home (2)90.066.0156.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)75.585.5161.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)80.975.2156.1+5.770%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.777.3147.0-7.733%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (15)82.370.7153.0+11.587%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-73
100
73
+27
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
79avg 72
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
62-67
62
67
-5
53avg 72
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
57avg 72
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 72
H25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
25-19
13-22
23-16
19-22
28-17
29-16
25-20
22-16
21-25
27-16
30-16
11-25
27-9
30-18
32-19
13-16
23-18
26-25
19-20
23-26
24-21
22-10
14-20
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
19-7
8-21
18-11
17-28
18-26
19-11
19-18
16-18
23-19
18-12
19-17
20-13
156.8Avg total
84.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.865.5140.2+9.250%
Season at home (2)82.561.0143.5+21.5100%
Season away (2)67.070.0137.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)84.971.9156.8+13.080%
Last 5 (5)76.467.8144.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.0164.3-9.733%
vs Similar (7)89.784.6174.3+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.072.7160.7+15.380%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.2+4.2
MontenegroGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
EuroBasket
79.9Avg total
42.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.675.5+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.134.975.0+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.279.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.241.573.7-9.333%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (15)41.733.775.5+8.080%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
41.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.180.5+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.436.781.1+7.779%-
Last 30 away (11)41.537.879.4+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.577.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.674.4+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.434.077.4+9.485%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.2
59.0%
50.6%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.0
35.4%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.018.8
78.1%
71.4%18.8
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.2
52.8%
50.6%34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.2
31.3%
32.5%33.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.5
77.2%
71.4%17.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/6 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
WWWLWLWWWL
Germany
WLLWWWWWWW
#19
League position
#8
+10.8
Net rating
+18.3
118.0
Offensive rating
112.6
107.3
Defensive rating
94.4
57.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
44.1%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
31.3%
43.4%
Assist %
64.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 112.6Defence107.3 · 94.4Shooting57.0% · 49.8%3-point %35.4% · 31.3%Ball care19.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds36.8% · 44.1%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Montenegro   ■ Germany
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Montenegro wins
2
Germany wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Germany v Montenegro85-61
10/09/22Germany v Montenegro85-79
22/02/21Montenegro v Germany82-75
27/11/20Germany v Montenegro74-80
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24ABulgaria90-86
22/11/24HBulgaria85-62
25/02/24HSweden95-70
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
27/08/23HEgypt89-74
25/08/23AMexico91-71
26/02/23HCzech Republic88-70
23/02/23ABosnia & Herzegovina66-74
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HSweden80-61
22/11/24ASweden72-73
25/02/24ABulgaria62-67
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61
10/09/23HSerbia83-77
06/09/23HLatvia81-79
03/09/23HSlovenia100-71
01/09/23HGeorgia100-73
29/08/23HFinland101-75
27/08/23AAustralia85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.890.075.5
Allowed / game75.866.085.5
Point differential+7.0+24.0-10.0
Avg total158.5156.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.882.567.0
Allowed / game65.561.070.0
Point differential+9.2+21.5-3.0
Avg total140.2143.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia440100%80.856.8+24.0
2 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
3 Latvia550100%77.269.6+7.6
4 Italy54180%83.872.2+11.6
5 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
6 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
7 Montenegro43175%82.875.8+7.0
8 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
9 Israel43175%81.276.5+4.8
10 Slovenia43175%83.079.0+4.0
11 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
12 Portugal107370%82.773.0+9.7
13 Bulgaria1510567%78.874.6+4.2
14 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
15 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
16 Turkey53260%79.276.8+2.4
17 Slovakia148657%72.970.4+2.6
18 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
19 Germany42250%74.865.5+9.2
20 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
21 Belgium42250%72.068.2+3.8
22 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
23 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
24 Denmark189950%74.473.6+0.8
25 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Spain52340%70.872.6-1.8
28 Iceland52340%75.079.4-4.4
29 Sweden52340%73.079.6-6.6
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Hungary51420%71.280.8-9.6
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
40 Ukraine4040%74.585.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro1721132576
Germany2624252095
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