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France vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-73
12-21 16-23 30-20 20-9
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
France 🏆
vs
Spain
Position-
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2025
Meetings · France v Spain
16 Aug 2025
FRAN78
SPAI73
10 Sep 2014
FRAN65
SPAI52
08 Aug 2012
FRAN59
SPAI66
28 Aug 2010
FRAN72
SPAI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
82-55
82
55
+27
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-59
75
59
+16
70avg 74
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 74
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 74
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 74
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
20-23
21-13
12-26
19-20
19-17
20-22
27-20
9-12
26-15
19-9
28-19
25-21
15-20
22-20
25-16
15-14
20-16
22-14
16-17
16-15
18-17
23-16
17-16
20-15
17-16
14-19
24-9
28-14
19-20
21-24
17-12
20-17
17-18
22-16
24-29
18-21
16-11
17-25
25-17
151.3Avg total
80.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.670.7151.3+9.990%
Last 5 (5)78.669.4148.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (9)79.978.0157.9+1.967%
vs Weaker (17)82.964.1146.9+18.888%
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
53-58
53
58
-5
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
63avg 65
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 65
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
59avg 65
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
55avg 65
H23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
29-20
14-17
32-19
16-17
27-17
21-18
21-13
16-17
16-12
26-18
11-27
21-21
27-17
25-23
12-27
14-23
23-17
20-17
18-22
14-11
12-8
13-21
14-18
14-10
24-15
10-21
11-13
22-18
25-14
24-25
13-14
17-20
17-21
16-22
16-20
11-11
11-14
20-15
17-12
146.8Avg total
74.8Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.872.0146.8+2.850%
Last 5 (5)67.667.2134.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar (5)79.675.6155.2+4.060%
vs Weaker (20)86.872.5159.4+14.390%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
FranceSpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/02
EuroBasket
73.8Avg total
39.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.973.2+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.934.173.0+4.779%-
Last 30 away (16)37.835.673.4+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.873.8+4.290%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.870.6+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker (17)37.832.770.5+5.171%-
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A30/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H23/02
EuroBasket
70.2Avg total
37.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.034.675.6+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.034.776.7+7.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.934.474.3+5.479%-
Last 10 (10)37.732.570.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)33.428.461.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar (5)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (20)43.135.778.8+7.470%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
52.9%
55.4%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.8%
34.4%22.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.3%
74.1%15.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.2
44.8%
55.4%34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.85.8
26.7%
34.4%17.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
74.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 16 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France
WWWWWWWWWL
Spain
WLWWLLLLWW
+13.0
Net rating
-0.5
106.5
Offensive rating
93.0
93.6
Defensive rating
93.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
43.1%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
21.4%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.8%
3-point %
26.7%
69.8%
Assist %
71.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 93.0Defence93.6 · 93.5Shooting48.9% · 43.1%3-point %28.8% · 26.7%Ball care18.9% · 21.4%Off. rebounds37.3% · 33.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ France   ■ Spain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
France wins
4
Spain wins
DateGameScore
18/09/22Spain v France88-76
17/08/16Spain v France92-67
10/09/14France v Spain65-52
03/09/14Spain v France88-64
08/08/12France v Spain59-66
28/08/10France v Spain72-66
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HBosnia & Herzegovina76-74
21/02/25ACroatia83-80
24/11/24HCyprus85-70
21/11/24ACyprus75-59
26/02/24ABosnia & Herzegovina74-64
23/02/24HCroatia73-61
02/09/23AIvory Coast87-77
31/08/23HIran82-55
29/08/23ALebanon85-79
27/08/23HLatvia86-88
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HBelgium59-52
20/02/25ALatvia66-83
25/11/24HSlovakia84-71
22/11/24ASlovakia76-72 OT
25/02/24ABelgium53-58
22/02/24HLatvia75-79
03/09/23HCanada85-88
01/09/23HLatvia69-74
30/08/23AIran85-65
28/08/23ABrazil96-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Spain
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France1216302078
Spain212320973
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