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Frankston vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 115-100
34-25 27-27 25-26 29-22
Position#12
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#2
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game78.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Frankston v Mt Gambier
04 May 2025
FRAN115
MT G100
22 Jul 2023
FRAN96
MT G97
16 Apr 2023
FRAN94
MT G103
04 Jun 2022
FRAN91
MT G109
24 Jul 2016
FRAN76
MT G88
12 Jun 2015
FRAN69
MT G87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frankston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H12/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
97-58
97
58
+39
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
103-80
103
80
+23
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H11/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A13/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H24/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
24-20
22-20
21-17
26-18
21-22
26-17
21-18
28-17
22-10
33-17
14-14
15-14
19-23
16-23
24-16
29-15
25-24
25-21
24-20
16-25
18-25
23-28
17-17
33-29
23-18
21-15
17-13
19-23
18-14
22-31
25-19
31-17
25-20
22-15
19-34
26-29
15-19
24-21
26-21
169.9Avg total
89.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.585.5176.0+5.067%
Season at home (4)96.282.8179.0+13.5100%
Season away (2)79.091.0170.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)89.880.1169.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)88.086.6174.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)103.080.0183.0+23.0100%
vs Similar (7)87.188.9176.0-1.743%
vs Weaker (22)93.279.7172.9+13.573%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
117-75
117
75
+42
H12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
108-58
108
58
+50
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
88-118
88
118
-30
A03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
29-17
36-26
24-20
13-17
17-18
18-22
11-18
19-25
18-19
23-21
22-26
32-12
26-19
23-11
27-16
28-15
24-19
27-20
21-22
26-22
13-20
19-21
22-18
17-11
26-25
21-19
25-9
25-20
26-19
21-21
17-20
17-16
30-16
27-23
31-18
20-34
30-27
9-26
29-31
170.8Avg total
91.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.178.6172.7+15.671%
Season at home (4)90.874.5165.2+16.275%
Season away (3)98.784.0182.7+14.767%
Last 10 (10)91.779.1170.8+12.660%
Last 5 (5)90.283.2173.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)85.784.3170.0+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.879.2170.0+11.775%
This opponent (Frankston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
FrankstonMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H11/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H24/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H03/05
NBL1 South
86.0Avg total
45.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.941.888.7+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.442.091.4+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)43.641.685.2+2.054%-
Last 10 (10)45.640.486.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.888.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)54.039.093.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (7)45.745.391.0+0.457%-
vs Weaker (22)47.040.987.8+6.168%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South
84.7Avg total
46.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.240.086.2+6.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.342.387.6+3.053%-
Last 30 away (13)47.437.084.4+10.477%-
Last 10 (10)46.438.384.7+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)41.340.882.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)47.439.887.2+7.671%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Frankston wins
10
Mt Gambier wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Mt Gambier v Frankston93-87
22/07/23Frankston v Mt Gambier96-97 OT
16/04/23Frankston v Mt Gambier94-103
04/06/22Frankston v Mt Gambier91-109
30/04/22Mt Gambier v Frankston100-91
19/05/17Mt Gambier v Frankston99-70
24/07/16Frankston v Mt Gambier76-88
20/05/16Mt Gambier v Frankston98-81
12/06/15Frankston v Mt Gambier69-87
29/05/15Mt Gambier v Frankston103-59
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HNW Tasmania91-90
24/04/25HDandenong97-86
13/04/25AKeilor Thunder84-87
11/04/25HDiamond Valley94-75
07/04/25ARingwood74-95
29/03/25HSandringham Sabres103-80
03/08/24HEltham74-76
20/07/24HBallarat97-58
12/07/24HHobart Chargers94-75
09/07/24ASandringham Sabres90-79
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ARingwood88-118
25/04/25HWaverley105-73
12/04/25HEltham89-80
11/04/25HSandringham Sabres89-64
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers80-81
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder100-76
29/03/25AGeelong108-58
27/07/24HEltham82-91
20/07/24HSandringham Sabres59-75
12/07/24HRingwood117-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frankston
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game90.596.279.0
Allowed / game85.582.891.0
Point differential+5.0+13.5-12.0
Avg total176.0179.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game94.190.898.7
Allowed / game78.674.584.0
Point differential+15.6+16.2+14.7
Avg total172.7165.2182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox76186%93.078.3+14.7
2 Mt Gambier75271%94.178.6+15.6
3 Casey Cavaliers75271%85.478.9+6.6
4 Ballarat75271%86.987.4-0.6
5 Frankston64267%90.585.5+5.0
6 Bendigo Braves85362%88.991.2-2.4
7 Eltham74357%90.484.9+5.6
8 Melbourne Tigers63350%84.276.8+7.3
9 Hobart Chargers84450%83.284.0-0.8
10 Kilsyth84450%80.883.0-2.2
11 Ringwood73443%92.085.9+6.1
12 Nunawading73443%86.190.0-3.9
13 Geelong73443%81.486.7-5.3
14 Waverley73443%89.694.9-5.3
15 NW Tasmania83538%87.484.2+3.1
16 Diamond Valley83538%84.193.2-9.1
17 Keilor Thunder83538%84.694.6-10.0
18 Sandringham Sabres82625%80.590.8-10.2
19 Dandenong71614%88.496.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frankston34272529115
Mt Gambier25272622100
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