Frankston vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 94-103

27-18 16-24 23-32 28-29

Position#3

Record3-0

FormWLWWW

Points / game102.3

Allowed / game82.3

Frankston

Mt Gambier 🏆

Position#4

Record3-0

FormWLWWW

Points / game106.7

Allowed / game87.7

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · Frankston v Mt Gambier

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frankston winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frankston

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#10

96-87

H13/08

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

105-61

105

+44

A14/08

NBL1 South

Geelong

87-57

+30

H20/08

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

66-77

-11

A26/08

NBL1 South

Canberra

89-86

H09/09

NBL 1

South Adelaide Panthers

95-90

H10/09

NBL 1

Rockingham Flames

74-85

-11

A11/09

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

#13

101-87

101

+14

A01/04

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

102-78

102

+24

A06/04

NBL1 South

Waverley

104-82

104

+22

H15/04

NBL1 South

29-21

21-19

18-24

28-23

23-22

31-20

26-8

25-11

25-14

18-6

19-27

25-10

4-21

20-30

22-14

20-12

13-22

19-23

27-23

30-18

39-22

14-20

23-23

19-25

19-28

26-12

18-25

11-20

20-23

25-25

34-16

22-23

30-22

28-19

24-25

20-12

–

170.9Avg total

91.9Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	102.3	82.3	184.7	+20.0	100%
Season at home (1)	104.0	82.0	186.0	+22.0	100%
Season away (2)	101.5	82.5	184.0	+19.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	79.0	170.9	+12.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	84.4	179.6	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.5	85.5	167.0	-4.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	89.3	93.4	182.7	-4.1	29%
vs Weaker (21)	92.4	80.4	172.9	+12.0	81%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

92-86

A31/07

NBL1 South

Knox

81-80

H06/08

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

102-70

102

+32

H12/08

NBL1 South

Waverley

86-93

-7

A14/08

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

94-84

+10

H19/08

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

88-62

+26

H28/08

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

62-78

-16

A03/09

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

119-89

119

+30

A01/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

104-94

104

+10

A02/04

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

97-80

+17

H14/04

NBL1 South

17-26

23-20

27-23

25-17

17-13

12-25

21-19

31-23

28-16

30-25

24-17

20-12

14-24

29-21

19-28

24-20

24-16

28-22

22-27

20-19

22-21

17-15

28-10

21-16

23-13

6-22

18-23

15-20

31-23

27-28

39-20

22-18

26-24

33-19

25-24

20-27

27-19

26-17

24-23

20-21

174.1Avg total

92.5Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	106.7	87.7	194.3	+19.0	100%
Season at home (1)	97.0	80.0	177.0	+17.0	100%
Season away (2)	111.5	91.5	203.0	+20.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.5	81.6	174.1	+10.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	80.6	174.6	+13.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	96.0	89.3	185.3	+6.7	71%
vs Weaker (23)	94.3	82.4	176.7	+11.9	78%

This opponent (Frankston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FrankstonMt Gambier

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	21.9	45.9	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.4	47.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	25.0	41.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	24.7	23.6	48.3	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	19.8	43.3	+3.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.5	42.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.0	45.8	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	24.3	21.9	46.1	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.2	18.7	40.9	+3.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	22.9	47.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	19.3	41.8	+3.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.6	25.6	48.1	-3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.8	20.6	44.4	+3.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.7	43.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	22.5	47.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	23.6	23.3	46.9	+0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.3	21.1	44.5	+2.2	61%	-

FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#10

50-40

+10

H13/08

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

54-42

+12

A14/08

NBL1 South

Geelong

43-20

+23

H20/08

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

24-51

-27

A26/08

NBL1 South

Canberra

32-45

-13

H09/09

NBL 1

South Adelaide Panthers

53-42

+11

H10/09

NBL 1

Rockingham Flames

45-40

A11/09

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

#13

45-48

-3

A01/04

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

58-41

+17

A06/04

NBL1 South

85.9Avg total

44.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	46.2	44.2	90.4	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.5	42.1	88.6	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.9	46.2	92.1	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.9	41.0	85.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	43.2	89.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	47.3	49.1	96.4	-1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (20)	46.6	42.6	89.2	+4.0	65%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

40-46

-6

A31/07

NBL1 South

Knox

29-38

-9

H06/08

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

58-41

+17

H12/08

NBL1 South

Waverley

43-45

-2

A14/08

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

52-38

+14

H19/08

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

39-36

H28/08

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

29-35

-6

A03/09

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

58-51

A01/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

59-43

+16

A02/04

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

53-36

+17

H14/04

NBL1 South

86.9Avg total

46.0Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	41.0	87.1	+5.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.2	39.7	83.9	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.0	42.3	90.3	+5.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	40.9	86.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	40.2	87.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	47.9	45.1	93.0	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	45.6	39.8	85.3	+5.8	65%	-

This opponent (Frankston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.2	20.3	42.6	+1.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	73%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.4	47.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	24.0	46.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.3	23.9	45.1	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.6	18.8	41.3	+3.8	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	21.8	46.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	20.7	44.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.4	22.9	48.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	21.4	46.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	20.0	46.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	26.6	23.3	49.9	+3.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.8	21.3	45.2	+2.5	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	18.0	40.9	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.2	17.1	39.3	+5.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.1	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.2	45.3	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	20.9	45.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	20.9	42.4	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	24.9	21.3	46.1	+3.6	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.4	39.2	82.6	+4.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.3	40.2	83.5	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	38.2	81.7	+5.3	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.7	37.7	83.3	+8.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	42.0	87.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.0	44.3	86.3	-2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (20)	44.0	37.0	81.0	+7.0	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.6	43.0	91.5	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.9	41.7	89.6	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.2	44.3	93.5	+4.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	40.7	87.2	+5.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	40.4	86.8	+6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	48.1	44.1	92.3	+4.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	48.7	42.6	91.3	+6.1	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Frankston wins

Mt Gambier wins

Date	Game	Score
04/06/22	Frankston v Mt Gambier	91-109
30/04/22	Mt Gambier v Frankston	100-91
19/05/17	Mt Gambier v Frankston	99-70
24/07/16	Frankston v Mt Gambier	76-88
20/05/16	Mt Gambier v Frankston	98-81
12/06/15	Frankston v Mt Gambier	69-87
29/05/15	Mt Gambier v Frankston	103-59

Frankstonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/23	H	Waverley	104-82
06/04/23	A	Sandringham Sabres	102-78
01/04/23	A	Bendigo Braves	101-87
11/09/22	A	Rockingham Flames	74-85
10/09/22	H	South Adelaide Panthers	95-90
09/09/22	H	Canberra	89-86
26/08/22	A	Sandringham Sabres	66-77
20/08/22	H	Geelong	87-57
14/08/22	A	Melbourne Tigers	105-61
13/08/22	H	Diamond Valley	96-87

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/23	H	Casey Cavaliers	97-80
02/04/23	A	Nunawading	104-94
01/04/23	A	Sandringham Sabres	119-89
03/09/22	A	Hobart Chargers	62-78
28/08/22	H	Sandringham Sabres	88-62
19/08/22	H	Kilsyth	94-84
14/08/22	A	Waverley	86-93
12/08/22	H	Ballarat	102-70
06/08/22	H	Knox	81-80
31/07/22	A	Geelong	92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frankston

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	102.3	104.0	101.5
Allowed / game	82.3	82.0	82.5
Point differential	+20.0	+22.0	+19.0
Avg total	184.7	186.0	184.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Mt Gambier

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	106.7	97.0	111.5
Allowed / game	87.7	80.0	91.5
Point differential	+19.0	+17.0	+20.0
Avg total	194.3	177.0	203.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Frankston	3	3	0	100%	102.3	82.3	+20.0
2	Mt Gambier	3	3	0	100%	106.7	87.7	+19.0
3	Eltham	2	2	0	100%	92.5	74.5	+18.0
4	Kilsyth	4	4	0	100%	97.5	84.5	+13.0
5	Nunawading	3	2	1	67%	94.0	85.3	+8.7
6	Diamond Valley	3	2	1	67%	91.7	91.7	+0.0
7	Keilor Thunder	3	2	1	67%	84.0	84.0	+0.0
8	NW Tasmania	3	2	1	67%	83.7	87.7	-4.0
9	Dandenong	4	2	2	50%	92.8	84.8	+8.0
10	Ballarat	4	2	2	50%	94.5	91.8	+2.8
11	Knox	3	1	2	33%	81.7	81.7	+0.0
12	Ringwood	3	1	2	33%	93.0	95.7	-2.7
13	Hobart Chargers	3	1	2	33%	87.3	95.3	-8.0
14	Waverley	3	1	2	33%	81.3	91.0	-9.7
15	Bendigo Braves	4	1	3	25%	94.5	100.8	-6.2
16	Geelong	2	0	2	0%	90.0	96.5	-6.5
17	Melbourne Tigers	3	0	3	0%	76.0	89.0	-13.0
18	Casey Cavaliers	2	0	2	0%	76.0	97.0	-21.0
19	Sandringham Sabres	3	0	3	0%	83.7	111.0	-27.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Frankston	27	16	23	28	94
Mt Gambier	18	24	32	29	103

← all games of the day

Frankston vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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