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Mt Gambier vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 81-80
17-13 12-25 21-19 31-23
Position#2
Record14-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#7
Record10-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game76.9
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 15
Other2022
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Knox
05 Jul 2024
MT G93
KNOX85
04 Aug 2023
MT G63
KNOX68
27 May 2023
MT G63
KNOX77
06 Aug 2022
MT G81
KNOX80
15 May 2021
MT G118
KNOX93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
W
113-74
113
74
+39
A05/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
95-100
95
100
-5
H02/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A10/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A31/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
29-26
31-11
30-20
26-14
22-24
28-24
21-17
17-32
19-19
20-21
26-20
12-19
25-22
21-26
37-33
18-10
24-25
17-23
27-21
19-24
15-26
23-18
22-24
27-15
20-22
16-13
17-19
27-30
17-24
22-14
20-21
20-17
23-25
24-27
24-17
17-26
23-20
27-23
25-17
174.7Avg total
90.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)94.884.7179.5+10.274%
Season at home (9)90.183.8173.9+6.356%
Season away (10)99.185.5184.6+13.690%
Last 10 (10)90.184.6174.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)85.684.4170.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)94.194.9189.0-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)97.485.2182.6+12.182%
This opponent (Knox) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H04/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A05/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A25/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H02/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H09/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A15/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H30/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
29-18
19-11
23-15
19-16
21-19
17-11
30-15
27-21
24-26
20-10
18-27
18-23
20-28
29-18
23-28
14-14
28-15
18-19
21-14
18-21
14-16
20-21
20-25
14-16
20-16
16-13
19-5
14-24
14-27
23-26
32-26
31-23
18-19
14-23
19-21
24-15
16-22
13-23
24-15
159.0Avg total
82.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.376.9159.2+5.453%
Season at home (10)83.375.2158.5+8.160%
Season away (9)81.278.8160.0+2.444%
Last 10 (10)82.276.8159.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)76.679.4156.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)91.0103.2194.2-12.225%
vs Similar (10)81.281.2162.4+0.030%
vs Weaker (15)85.674.9160.5+10.773%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
Mt GambierKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H25/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H02/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A10/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H23/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/07
NBL1 South
86.0Avg total
42.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.142.990.0+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.040.385.3+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)48.744.993.6+3.859%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.786.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.887.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)45.247.893.0-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.841.188.9+6.668%-
This opponent (Knox) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#16
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A25/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H02/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A15/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A23/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H30/07
NBL1 South
80.6Avg total
40.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.182.7-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.439.884.2+4.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.944.381.2-7.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.280.6+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.876.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.852.893.5-12.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.342.884.1-1.550%-
vs Weaker (15)41.538.980.4+2.560%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mt Gambier wins
0
Knox wins
DateGameScore
15/05/21Mt Gambier v Knox118-93
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/22AGeelong92-86
30/07/22ABendigo Braves91-86
23/07/22HNW Tasmania86-89
16/07/22HNunawading80-69
10/07/22ASandringham Sabres79-92
09/07/22ADiamond Valley86-79
02/07/22HEltham95-100
25/06/22HHobart Chargers82-92
18/06/22HKilsyth97-79
05/06/22ANunawading113-74
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/22HMelbourne Tigers77-75
23/07/22AFrankston82-86
16/07/22AHobart Chargers83-103
15/07/22ANW Tasmania69-50
09/07/22HBendigo Braves72-83
02/07/22HBallarat81-62
25/06/22ADandenong90-97
18/06/22HDiamond Valley89-84
05/06/22AWaverley87-61
04/06/22HNunawading92-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW74%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayWWLWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%56%90%
Points / game94.890.199.1
Allowed / game84.783.885.5
Point differential+10.2+6.3+13.6
Avg total179.5173.9184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%60%44%
Points / game82.383.381.2
Allowed / game76.975.278.8
Point differential+5.4+8.1+2.4
Avg total159.2158.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hobart Chargers2116576%88.078.7+9.3
2 Mt Gambier1914574%94.884.7+10.2
3 Sandringham Sabres2115671%83.482.5+0.9
4 Kilsyth2014670%81.978.2+3.7
5 Bendigo Braves2013765%80.774.2+6.5
6 Frankston1912763%90.485.4+5.0
7 Geelong2112957%85.383.0+2.3
8 Knox1910953%82.376.9+5.4
9 Diamond Valley21111052%83.084.0-1.0
10 NW Tasmania21101148%76.079.4-3.4
11 Waverley1991047%82.382.9-0.6
12 Ballarat1991047%80.981.7-0.8
13 Ringwood2091145%80.082.4-2.5
14 Keilor Thunder2071335%76.878.5-1.8
15 Casey Cavaliers2071335%83.486.2-2.8
16 Nunawading2171433%77.482.1-4.7
17 Eltham2061430%75.080.7-5.7
18 Dandenong2051525%79.289.4-10.2
19 Melbourne Tigers1941521%71.180.7-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier1712213181
Knox1325192380
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