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Mt Gambier vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Aug 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 102-70
28-16 30-25 24-17 20-12
Position#2
Record15-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#12
Record9-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 16
Other2022
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Ballarat
14 Apr 2024
MT G94
BALL105
12 Aug 2022
MT G102
BALL70
22 May 2021
MT G86
BALL88
01 Jul 2017
MT G100
BALL75
29 Jul 2016
MT G91
BALL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#3
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
95-100
95
100
-5
H02/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A10/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A31/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H06/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
22-24
28-24
21-17
17-32
19-19
20-21
26-20
12-19
25-22
21-26
37-33
18-10
24-25
17-23
27-21
19-24
15-26
23-18
22-24
27-15
20-22
16-13
17-19
27-30
17-24
22-14
20-21
20-17
23-25
24-27
24-17
17-26
23-20
27-23
25-17
17-13
12-25
21-19
31-23
172.1Avg total
86.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.284.5178.6+9.775%
Season at home (10)89.283.4172.6+5.860%
Season away (10)99.185.5184.6+13.690%
Last 10 (10)86.985.2172.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)86.082.0168.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)94.194.9189.0-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)96.684.6181.3+12.082%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A02/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
68-88
68
88
-20
H09/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H24/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H06/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-20
19-26
17-20
18-19
25-13
16-15
13-23
13-22
20-17
21-24
21-22
14-14
15-28
19-18
14-21
15-19
18-19
17-24
18-26
24-21
24-21
21-27
15-18
35-25
21-18
21-19
20-27
30-23
19-23
20-26
9-17
23-23
20-34
17-23
19-21
27-25
18-23
20-28
13-10
162.6Avg total
76.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.882.0162.7-1.245%
Season at home (10)84.885.7170.5-0.940%
Season away (10)76.778.2154.9-1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.885.8162.6-9.020%
Last 5 (5)83.290.4173.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.281.5158.7-4.333%
vs Similar (16)80.081.7161.7-1.744%
vs Weaker (8)85.877.0162.8+8.875%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.6-4.6
Mt GambierBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H25/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H02/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A10/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H23/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/08
NBL1 South
83.2Avg total
40.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.342.789.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.239.882.9+3.454%-
Last 30 away (17)48.744.993.6+3.859%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.484.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)45.247.893.0-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.740.887.5+5.964%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A19/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A02/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H09/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H16/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H24/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A30/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H06/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/08
NBL1 South
84.1Avg total
41.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.883.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.040.584.5+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.183.1-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.384.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.295.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.343.284.5-1.833%-
vs Similar (16)40.342.783.0-2.438%-
vs Weaker (8)45.939.185.0+6.875%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mt Gambier wins
1
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
22/05/21Mt Gambier v Ballarat86-88 OT
01/07/17Mt Gambier v Ballarat100-75
22/04/17Ballarat v Mt Gambier79-91
06/08/16Ballarat v Mt Gambier89-90
29/07/16Mt Gambier v Ballarat91-79
21/06/15Ballarat v Mt Gambier73-91
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/22HKnox81-80
31/07/22AGeelong92-86
30/07/22ABendigo Braves91-86
23/07/22HNW Tasmania86-89
16/07/22HNunawading80-69
10/07/22ASandringham Sabres79-92
09/07/22ADiamond Valley86-79
02/07/22HEltham95-100
25/06/22HHobart Chargers82-92
18/06/22HKilsyth97-79
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/22AMelbourne Tigers78-86
06/08/22HDiamond Valley79-101
30/07/22ANunawading78-89
24/07/22HNW Tasmania97-89
16/07/22HFrankston84-87
09/07/22HKeilor Thunder68-88
02/07/22AKnox62-81
25/06/22HRingwood75-85
19/06/22ADandenong72-70
18/06/22HHobart Chargers75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayWWLWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%60%90%
Points / game94.289.299.1
Allowed / game84.583.485.5
Point differential+9.7+5.8+13.6
Avg total178.6172.6184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game80.884.876.7
Allowed / game82.085.778.2
Point differential-1.2-0.9-1.5
Avg total162.7170.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hobart Chargers2217577%87.978.9+9.0
2 Mt Gambier2015575%94.284.5+9.7
3 Kilsyth2115671%82.878.9+4.0
4 Sandringham Sabres2115671%83.482.5+0.9
5 Bendigo Braves2013765%80.774.2+6.5
6 Frankston2012860%90.586.2+4.3
7 Geelong2112957%85.383.0+2.3
8 Diamond Valley21111052%83.084.0-1.0
9 Knox20101050%82.277.1+5.1
10 Ringwood21101148%80.782.8-2.0
11 NW Tasmania22101245%76.379.7-3.4
12 Waverley2091145%82.783.5-0.8
13 Ballarat2091145%80.882.0-1.2
14 Keilor Thunder2071335%76.878.5-1.8
15 Casey Cavaliers2071335%83.486.2-2.8
16 Nunawading2171433%77.482.1-4.7
17 Eltham2061430%75.080.7-5.7
18 Melbourne Tigers2051525%71.880.5-8.7
19 Dandenong2051525%79.289.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier28302420102
Ballarat1625171270
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