PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Frayles de Guasave vs Angeles CDMX Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 103-121
19-35 24-35 26-25 34-26
Position#10
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game94.6
vs
Position#2
Record12-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game98.5
MexicoCIBACOPA· Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina
Other2025
Meetings · Frayles de Guasave v Angeles CDMX
12 Apr 2025
FRAY107
ANGE128
11 Apr 2025
FRAY103
ANGE121
16 Apr 2024
FRAY112
ANGE119
15 Apr 2024
FRAY102
ANGE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Angeles CDMX winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 79
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
75-90
75
90
-15
57avg 79
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
68avg 79
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
76avg 79
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
92-94
92
94
-2
85avg 79
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 79
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
73avg 79
A05/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
75avg 79
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
85-99
85
99
-14
68avg 79
H09/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
74-100
74
100
-26
57avg 79
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
25-25
21-22
21-20
14-19
16-26
22-23
23-22
11-17
24-19
17-24
19-27
13-21
23-11
20-20
24-22
19-30
29-24
26-16
18-24
31-19
19-21
20-24
12-29
19-21
19-23
30-26
20-25
16-13
19-18
25-17
18-30
23-25
18-17
21-27
23-30
19-21
12-27
13-33
30-19
174.0Avg total
83.0Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.194.6178.7-10.628%
Season at home (10)85.191.7176.8-6.640%
Season away (8)82.898.2181.0-15.512%
Last 10 (10)83.091.0174.0-8.020%
Last 5 (5)83.895.8179.6-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)89.1100.5189.6-11.427%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Angeles CDMX) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Angeles CDMXMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCDMX
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
92avg 89
A22/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
86-96
86
96
-10
71avg 89
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
103-109
103
109
-6
80avg 89
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
84avg 89
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
120-90
120
90
+30
112avg 89
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
77avg 89
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
90-112
90
112
-22
76avg 89
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
118-96
118
96
+22
114avg 89
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
113-104
113
104
+9
93avg 89
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
120-113
120
113
+7
103avg 89
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
26-25
26-22
22-34
31-24
19-27
22-20
14-25
25-24
28-16
19-36
31-33
19-28
17-22
30-26
35-27
41-16
26-21
26-26
27-27
22-17
21-24
22-21
20-27
19-26
26-28
17-33
28-25
23-23
42-29
25-26
28-18
28-29
30-20
24-27
31-28
33-38
31-32
28-20
28-23
204.9Avg total
103.8Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)106.098.5204.5+7.567%
Season at home (8)109.095.1204.1+13.975%
Season away (10)103.6101.2204.8+2.460%
Last 10 (10)103.8101.1204.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)105.2102.8208.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.799.0194.7-3.333%
vs Similar (10)103.598.8202.3+4.770%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)105.197.7202.9+7.464%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Frayles de GuasaveAngeles CDMX
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H10/04
CIBACOPA
81.1Avg total
39.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.946.387.2-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.448.291.6-4.825%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.182.2-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.681.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)40.946.387.2-5.323%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Angeles CDMX) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Angeles CDMXLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A22/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A10/04
CIBACOPA
102.2Avg total
53.5Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.846.898.6+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.944.699.6+10.386%-
Last 30 away (16)49.048.797.7+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)53.548.7102.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)55.053.2108.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.749.898.5-1.250%-
vs Similar (10)54.045.699.6+8.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)51.546.497.9+5.164%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.527.1
57.1%
53.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
35.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
73.3%13.1
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Angeles CDMXtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Angeles CDMX: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.5
55.6%
53.3%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.4
35.4%
35.5%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.016.8
67.2%
73.3%16.8
They take 79.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frayles de Guasave
LLLLLLWLLW
Angeles CDMX
WWWLLWLLLW
#10
League position
#2
-4.3
Net rating
+3.1
109.3
Offensive rating
118.9
113.5
Defensive rating
115.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
35.4%
40.9%
Assist %
48.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 118.9Defence113.5 · 115.8Shooting54.6% · 54.5%3-point %33.2% · 35.4%Ball care16.1% · 12.2%Off. rebounds24.8% · 30.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Frayles de Guasave   ■ Angeles CDMX
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Frayles de Guasave wins
6
Angeles CDMX wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo74-100
09/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo85-99
06/04/25AVenados de Mazatlan90-92 OT
05/04/25AVenados de Mazatlan88-95
03/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan82-93
02/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan92-94
30/03/25AHalcones de Obregon80-74
29/03/25AHalcones de Obregon71-87
23/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis75-90
22/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis93-86
Angeles CDMXlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis120-113
09/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis113-104
06/04/25HAstros118-96
06/04/25HAstros90-112
30/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana85-89
30/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana120-90
27/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas101-103
26/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas103-109
23/03/25ARayos de Hermosillo86-96
22/03/25ARayos de Hermosillo102-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %28%40%12%
Points / game84.185.182.8
Allowed / game94.691.798.2
Point differential-10.6-6.6-15.5
Avg total178.7176.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Angeles CDMX
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game106.0109.0103.6
Allowed / game98.595.1101.2
Point differential+7.5+13.9+2.4
Avg total204.5204.1204.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1815383%99.187.3+11.8
2 Angeles CDMX1812667%106.098.5+7.5
3 Zonkeys de Tijuana1810856%88.988.1+0.8
4 Halcones de Obregon189950%87.386.5+0.8
5 Caballeros de Culiacan189950%87.287.7-0.6
6 Pioneros de Los Mochis189950%92.393.3-1.0
7 Venados de Mazatlan1881044%85.686.9-1.4
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas1871139%91.292.1-0.9
9 Rayos de Hermosillo1861233%82.388.7-6.4
10 Frayles de Guasave1851328%84.194.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frayles de Guasave19242634103
Angeles CDMX35352526121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.