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Halcones de Obregon vs Frayles de Guasave Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 74-80
21-13 11-23 20-20 22-24
Position#3
Record4-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#10
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game96.0
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2025
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Frayles de Guasave
29 Mar 2025
HALC74
FRAY80
28 Mar 2025
HALC87
FRAY71
27 Apr 2024
HALC116
FRAY90
26 Apr 2024
HALC103
FRAY97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frayles de Guasave winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 84
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
81-108
81
108
-27
66avg 84
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 84
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
99-113
99
113
-14
94avg 84
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
98-115
98
115
-17
88avg 84
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 84
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 84
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 84
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 84
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
82avg 84
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
18-30
26-25
16-21
18-29
21-28
15-29
27-22
19-24
23-19
23-27
19-22
27-30
27-29
30-28
15-26
21-31
26-30
25-34
26-20
11-19
20-25
25-23
27-16
17-25
25-16
28-15
23-26
13-15
20-25
25-20
16-23
13-11
23-24
23-18
21-21
17-11
19-24
24-17
27-19
179.4Avg total
87.3Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.191.7178.8-4.636%
Season at home (5)88.484.8173.2+3.660%
Season away (6)86.097.5183.5-11.517%
Last 10 (10)87.392.1179.4-4.840%
Last 5 (5)85.079.8164.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.5101.8189.2-14.20%
vs Similar (13)91.893.8185.6-2.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.786.4178.1+5.362%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 80
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
94-118
94
118
-24
80avg 80
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 80
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
75avg 80
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
86-131
86
131
-45
68avg 80
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
88-110
88
110
-22
74avg 80
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
57avg 80
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 80
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
75-90
75
90
-15
57avg 80
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
68avg 80
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-14
25-21
22-21
20-35
22-20
27-36
25-27
19-10
20-24
17-16
16-15
17-27
22-16
24-23
28-34
21-36
20-24
19-33
26-38
25-32
19-22
21-25
23-31
19-20
16-21
18-25
15-31
26-19
25-25
21-22
21-20
14-19
16-26
22-23
23-22
11-17
24-19
17-24
19-27
178.3Avg total
82.2Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.896.0179.8-12.236%
Season at home (6)86.388.5174.8-2.267%
Season away (5)80.8105.0185.8-24.20%
Last 10 (10)82.296.1178.3-13.930%
Last 5 (5)79.094.0173.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)91.1102.9194.0-11.827%
vs Similar (4)89.896.2186.0-6.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.8-4.8
Halcones de ObregonFrayles de Guasave
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/03
CIBACOPA
86.7Avg total
40.4Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.887.6-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.145.387.4-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)41.646.287.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.386.7-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.074.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (13)43.247.890.9-4.631%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.042.682.6-2.638%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/03
CIBACOPA
84.0Avg total
39.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.747.789.5-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.649.293.8-4.731%-
Last 30 away (14)38.546.084.5-7.514%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.784.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.083.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)41.348.089.2-6.719%-
vs Similar (4)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.3
47.8%
53.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
35.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.916.3
78.0%
73.3%16.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.3
51.7%
53.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.7
30.7%
35.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.614.5
67.1%
73.3%14.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WWLWWLLLLL
Frayles de Guasave
LLWLLLLWLW
#3
League position
#10
-6.5
Net rating
-18.2
107.9
Offensive rating
101.7
114.5
Defensive rating
119.9
50.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
30.7%
55.9%
Assist %
47.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 101.7Defence114.5 · 119.9Shooting50.0% · 49.9%3-point %35.4% · 30.7%Ball care16.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Frayles de Guasave
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Halcones de Obregon wins
2
Frayles de Guasave wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HFrayles de Guasave87-71
27/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana80-74
26/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana74-83
23/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan93-82
22/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan91-89 OT
20/03/25AAngeles CDMX98-115
19/03/25AAngeles CDMX99-113
16/03/25AAstros84-92
16/03/25AAstros81-108
12/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis86-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25AHalcones de Obregon71-87
23/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis75-90
22/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis93-86
20/03/25AAstros68-97
19/03/25AAstros88-110
16/03/25AAngeles CDMX86-131
15/03/25AAngeles CDMX91-100
13/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana72-65
12/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana94-118
09/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW36%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game87.188.486.0
Allowed / game91.784.897.5
Point differential-4.6+3.6-11.5
Avg total178.8173.2183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game83.886.380.8
Allowed / game96.088.5105.0
Point differential-12.2-2.2-24.2
Avg total179.8174.8185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1413193%98.484.0+14.4
2 Angeles CDMX139469%106.396.8+9.5
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis127558%90.290.7-0.5
4 Caballeros de Culiacan116555%89.589.0+0.5
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas136746%93.492.1+1.3
6 Zonkeys de Tijuana136746%87.086.5+0.5
7 Halcones de Obregon114736%87.191.7-4.6
8 Frayles de Guasave114736%83.896.0-12.2
9 Venados de Mazatlan124833%84.686.8-2.2
10 Rayos de Hermosillo1221017%79.891.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon2111202274
Frayles de Guasave1323202480
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