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Halcones de Obregon vs Frayles de Guasave Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 87-71
17-11 19-24 24-17 27-19
Position#3
Record3-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#10
Record4-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game96.9
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2025
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Frayles de Guasave
29 Mar 2025
HALC74
FRAY80
28 Mar 2025
HALC87
FRAY71
27 Apr 2024
HALC116
FRAY90
26 Apr 2024
HALC103
FRAY97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 84
H11/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 84
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
81-108
81
108
-27
66avg 84
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 84
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
99-113
99
113
-14
94avg 84
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
98-115
98
115
-17
88avg 84
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 84
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 84
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 84
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 84
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
20-18
23-29
22-23
26-18
18-30
26-25
16-21
18-29
21-28
15-29
27-22
19-24
23-19
23-27
19-22
27-30
27-29
30-28
15-26
21-31
26-30
25-34
26-20
11-19
20-25
25-23
27-16
17-25
25-16
28-15
23-26
13-15
20-25
25-20
16-23
13-11
23-24
23-18
21-21
180.9Avg total
87.1Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.193.8180.9-6.730%
Season at home (4)88.888.2177.0+0.550%
Season away (6)86.097.5183.5-11.517%
Last 10 (10)87.193.8180.9-6.730%
Last 5 (5)87.288.6175.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.5101.8189.2-14.20%
vs Similar (14)92.693.7186.3-1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.187.7179.8+4.458%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
95avg 81
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 81
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
94-118
94
118
-24
80avg 81
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 81
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
75avg 81
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
86-131
86
131
-45
68avg 81
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
88-110
88
110
-22
74avg 81
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
57avg 81
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 81
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
75-90
75
90
-15
57avg 81
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
23-24
28-23
31-31
18-21
19-14
25-21
22-21
20-35
22-20
27-36
25-27
19-10
20-24
17-16
16-15
17-27
22-16
24-23
28-34
21-36
20-24
19-33
26-38
25-32
19-22
21-25
23-31
19-20
16-21
18-25
15-31
26-19
25-25
21-22
21-20
14-19
16-26
22-23
23-22
182.0Avg total
85.1Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.196.9182.0-11.840%
Season at home (6)86.388.5174.8-2.267%
Season away (4)83.2109.5192.8-26.20%
Last 10 (10)85.196.9182.0-11.840%
Last 5 (5)82.0102.8184.8-20.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)91.3103.0194.3-11.727%
vs Similar (4)89.896.2186.0-6.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
Halcones de ObregonFrayles de Guasave
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A27/03
CIBACOPA
87.2Avg total
40.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.446.188.5-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.246.089.2-2.836%-
Last 30 away (16)41.646.287.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.487.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.282.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (14)43.747.691.3-3.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.343.283.6-2.933%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H23/03
CIBACOPA
85.1Avg total
39.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.148.090.1-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.649.293.8-4.731%-
Last 30 away (14)39.246.685.9-7.414%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.285.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.889.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)41.748.390.0-6.719%-
vs Similar (4)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.6
47.7%
53.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
35.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.316.1
79.3%
73.3%16.1
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.5
51.1%
53.3%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.2
32.1%
35.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.415.7
70.1%
73.3%15.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WLWWLLLLLL
Frayles de Guasave
LWLLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#10
-8.9
Net rating
-14.8
107.5
Offensive rating
104.3
116.3
Defensive rating
119.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.8%
3-point %
32.1%
52.0%
Assist %
45.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 104.3Defence116.3 · 119.1Shooting50.1% · 50.1%3-point %35.8% · 32.1%Ball care16.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 28.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Frayles de Guasave
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Halcones de Obregon wins
2
Frayles de Guasave wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana80-74
26/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana74-83
23/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan93-82
22/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan91-89 OT
20/03/25AAngeles CDMX98-115
19/03/25AAngeles CDMX99-113
16/03/25AAstros84-92
16/03/25AAstros81-108
12/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis86-94
11/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis85-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis75-90
22/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis93-86
20/03/25AAstros68-97
19/03/25AAstros88-110
16/03/25AAngeles CDMX86-131
15/03/25AAngeles CDMX91-100
13/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana72-65
12/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana94-118
09/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas84-77
08/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas100-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW30%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game87.188.886.0
Allowed / game93.888.297.5
Point differential-6.7+0.5-11.5
Avg total180.9177.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game85.186.383.2
Allowed / game96.988.5109.5
Point differential-11.8-2.2-26.2
Avg total182.0174.8192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1312192%97.883.2+14.5
2 Angeles CDMX128467%105.297.4+7.8
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis117464%89.889.3+0.5
4 Zonkeys de Tijuana126650%86.883.7+3.1
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas126650%93.291.0+2.2
6 Caballeros de Culiacan105550%88.088.4-0.4
7 Frayles de Guasave104640%85.196.9-11.8
8 Halcones de Obregon103730%87.193.8-6.7
9 Venados de Mazatlan102820%84.289.3-5.1
10 Rayos de Hermosillo102820%80.992.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon1719242787
Frayles de Guasave1124171971
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