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Freseros vs Dorados Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 85-105
18-29 19-25 22-27 26-24
Position#13
Record9-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
Position#6
Record15-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game84.8
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v Dorados
07 Oct 2026
FRES77
DORA105
06 Oct 2026
FRES85
DORA105
14 Sep 2025
FRES66
DORA92
13 Sep 2025
FRES74
DORA105
22 Sep 2024
FRES68
DORA76
21 Sep 2024
FRES98
DORA76
04 Nov 2023
FRES90
DORA87
03 Nov 2023
FRES106
DORA105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 74
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 74
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 74
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
45avg 74
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 74
A21/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
83avg 74
A22/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 74
H26/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
81avg 74
H27/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
81-96
81
96
-15
73avg 74
A02/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
87-108
87
108
-21
66avg 74
A03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
26-19
18-19
21-15
20-24
13-27
25-16
32-19
20-21
25-28
11-18
17-18
17-20
19-27
7-25
20-20
21-25
28-22
16-29
15-21
23-17
25-12
12-22
29-32
28-26
27-23
12-22
20-23
19-30
18-17
29-29
22-21
28-22
22-32
13-18
18-24
16-22
24-30
27-30
20-26
172.9Avg total
82.0Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.391.4176.7-6.135%
Season at home (12)86.292.9179.2-6.733%
Season away (14)84.490.1174.5-5.636%
Last 10 (10)82.090.9172.9-8.930%
Last 5 (5)86.495.6182.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)83.590.1173.6-6.731%
vs Similar (4)87.596.5184.0-9.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDorados
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
73avg 75
A11/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 75
A12/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 75
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
83avg 75
H17/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
61avg 75
A20/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
79-77
79
77
+2
71avg 75
A20/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
72avg 75
H26/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
64-97
64
97
-33
48avg 75
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 75
A02/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
71avg 75
A03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
19-18
19-19
24-14
29-16
22-31
20-19
12-19
29-17
21-25
21-30
20-17
22-28
29-26
22-19
24-13
3-23
20-22
19-14
27-10
19-18
20-10
20-20
20-29
17-33
30-23
13-19
21-23
21-19
13-29
8-24
22-25
19-22
19-30
19-23
28-16
28-18
15-23
21-27
21-13
170.1Avg total
83.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.684.8169.4-0.358%
Season at home (14)85.785.3171.0+0.464%
Season away (12)83.284.3167.6-1.150%
Last 10 (10)83.187.0170.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)78.888.8167.6-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.089.8165.8-13.825%
vs Similar (12)84.483.2167.6+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.684.4170.9+2.271%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
FreserosDorados
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A21/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A22/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H26/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H27/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A02/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/10
LNBP
89.8Avg total
43.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.246.188.2-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.247.490.6-4.233%-
Last 30 away (18)41.545.286.7-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.646.289.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.046.292.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)41.845.487.2-3.635%-
vs Similar (4)44.550.294.8-5.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A12/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H17/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A20/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A20/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H26/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A02/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
LNBP
87.8Avg total
41.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.586.8-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.143.887.9+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)42.443.185.6-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.945.987.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.085.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.844.280.0-8.525%-
vs Similar (12)43.342.485.8+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.444.289.6+1.264%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.7%
54.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.0
31.4%
34.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
71.7%14.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Doradostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dorados: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.4
51.3%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
33.9%
34.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
71.7%13.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
LLLLWLLLWW
Dorados
WLLLWLWWLW
#13
League position
#6
-9.0
Net rating
-5.7
91.2
Offensive rating
96.9
100.3
Defensive rating
102.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
60.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.4%
3-point %
33.9%
48.3%
Assist %
55.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 96.9Defence100.3 · 102.5Shooting52.3% · 51.1%3-point %31.4% · 33.9%Ball care17.8% · 12.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Freseros   ■ Dorados
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Freseros wins
7
Dorados wins
DateGameScore
26/07/26Dorados v Freseros89-79
25/07/26Dorados v Freseros84-80
15/09/25Freseros v Dorados66-92
14/09/25Freseros v Dorados74-105
23/09/24Freseros v Dorados68-76
22/09/24Freseros v Dorados98-76
05/11/23Freseros v Dorados90-87
04/11/23Freseros v Dorados106-105 OT
20/08/23Dorados v Freseros80-66
20/08/23Dorados v Freseros77-75
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ASantos87-108
02/10/26ASantos81-96
27/09/26HPanteras88-97
26/09/26HPanteras87-94
22/09/26AAbejas89-83
21/09/26AAbejas80-97
16/09/26HSoles63-92
15/09/26HSoles73-85
12/09/26ALobos Plateados90-86
11/09/26ALobos Plateados82-71
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26APanteras85-81
02/10/26APanteras85-91
27/09/26HSoles64-97
26/09/26HSoles81-98
20/09/26AAstros79-77
20/09/26AAstros80-87 OT
17/09/26HEl Calor de Cancun97-86
16/09/26HEl Calor de Cancun91-89
12/09/26ACorrecaminos83-85
11/09/26ACorrecaminos86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %35%33%36%
Points / game85.386.284.4
Allowed / game91.492.990.1
Point differential-6.1-6.7-5.6
Avg total176.7179.2174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Dorados
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeLWWLL64%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%64%50%
Points / game84.685.783.2
Allowed / game84.885.384.3
Point differential-0.3+0.4-1.1
Avg total169.4171.0167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2620677%85.373.5+11.8
2 Astros2618869%88.180.2+7.9
3 Fuerza Regia2618869%89.885.3+4.5
4 Panteras2617965%88.785.0+3.7
5 Lobos Plateados27171063%84.380.5+3.8
6 Dorados26151158%84.684.8-0.3
7 Mineros26141254%85.984.7+1.2
8 Gambusinos26111542%79.782.5-2.8
9 Diablos Rojos26111542%81.784.6-2.9
10 Abejas27111641%85.085.3-0.3
11 Santos26101638%84.689.2-4.6
12 Freseros2691735%85.391.4-6.1
13 El Calor de Cancun2791833%81.485.0-3.5
14 Correcaminos2742315%82.294.0-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros1819222685
Dorados29252724105
← all games of the day
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