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Freseros vs Correcaminos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 83-86
22-16 27-22 15-26 19-22
Position#13
Record3-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game91.6
MexicoLNBPRound 8· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v Correcaminos
11 Aug 2026
FRES83
CORR86
10 Aug 2026
FRES99
CORR96
22 Aug 2025
FRES86
CORR87
21 Aug 2025
FRES85
CORR101
05 Oct 2024
FRES88
CORR89
04 Oct 2024
FRES93
CORR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Correcaminos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Santos
#12
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
85-104
85
104
-19
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
93-105
93
105
-12
81avg 75
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
83avg 75
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-99
73
99
-26
54avg 75
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 75
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
99-96
99
96
+3
84avg 75
H11/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-18
24-20
14-24
19-15
23-28
23-20
13-21
29-28
29-25
12-20
15-31
13-22
24-24
18-16
25-22
16-21
23-27
23-19
17-22
27-21
20-34
25-24
21-26
19-31
32-16
21-26
20-16
20-23
13-25
17-26
23-25
22-30
22-9
22-24
20-19
17-29
22-28
26-25
34-14
174.6Avg total
83.6Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.092.0178.0-6.043%
Season at home (3)94.796.7191.3-2.067%
Season away (4)79.588.5168.0-9.025%
Last 10 (10)83.691.0174.6-7.430%
Last 5 (5)88.694.2182.8-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)77.090.3167.2-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (1)99.096.0195.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCorrecaminos
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
90-110
90
110
-20
76avg 70
A04/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
A24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
A28/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
61avg 70
A29/07
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
63avg 70
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
93-58
93
58
+35
90avg 70
H02/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 70
A06/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
76-98
76
98
-22
64avg 70
A07/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
96-99
96
99
-3
79avg 70
A11/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
23-22
15-30
32-29
26-23
16-27
26-22
20-23
23-26
23-27
19-22
24-26
19-19
25-29
29-24
13-21
17-24
14-33
20-17
23-20
23-20
16-25
18-26
21-20
22-9
24-17
27-21
20-11
17-31
27-17
17-27
15-20
17-23
18-32
14-21
27-22
29-17
28-22
25-26
14-34
178.0Avg total
84.6Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.091.6175.6-7.611%
Season at home (2)85.574.5160.0+11.050%
Season away (7)83.696.4180.0-12.90%
Last 10 (10)84.693.4178.0-8.810%
Last 5 (5)83.888.2172.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)82.594.3176.8-11.817%
vs Similar ◀ (5)91.489.2180.6+2.260%
vs Weaker (2)94.085.5179.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Freseros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
FreserosCorrecaminos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A20/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H11/08
LNBP
89.3Avg total
42.3Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.246.086.2-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.547.189.6-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.245.183.2-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.347.089.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.292.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)40.245.685.9-5.428%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A25/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A28/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A29/07
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H02/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A11/08
LNBP
89.9Avg total
42.7Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.946.689.5-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.341.583.7+0.855%-
Last 30 away (19)43.249.692.8-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)42.747.289.9-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.686.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)40.248.088.3-7.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)52.042.694.6+9.460%-
vs Weaker (2)50.540.090.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.0
54.7%
54.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.4
33.6%
34.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.816.0
64.5%
71.7%16.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Correcaminostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Correcaminos: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.4
51.8%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.5
33.5%
34.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.514.8
68.6%
71.7%14.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/8 games with a box score before 12 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
WWLWLLLLLL
Correcaminos
LLLWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#14
-2.7
Net rating
-13.0
98.0
Offensive rating
93.5
100.7
Defensive rating
106.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
33.5%
47.8%
Assist %
43.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 93.5Defence100.7 · 106.5Shooting52.9% · 51.3%3-point %33.6% · 33.5%Ball care14.5% · 16.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Freseros   ■ Correcaminos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Freseros wins
4
Correcaminos wins
DateGameScore
11/08/26Freseros v Correcaminos99-96
23/08/25Freseros v Correcaminos86-87
22/08/25Freseros v Correcaminos85-101
06/10/24Freseros v Correcaminos88-89 OT
05/10/24Freseros v Correcaminos93-96 OT
06/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros92-121
05/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros105-109 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/08/26HCorrecaminos99-96
07/08/26ADiablos Rojos86-82
06/08/26ADiablos Rojos73-99
01/08/26HMineros92-89
31/07/26HMineros93-105
26/07/26ADorados79-89
25/07/26ADorados80-84
28/09/25AGambusinos85-104
27/09/25AGambusinos78-84
20/09/25ASantos71-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/08/26AFreseros96-99
07/08/26AMineros76-98
06/08/26AMineros76-95
02/08/26HSantos93-58
01/08/26HSantos78-91
29/07/26AAstros74-94
28/07/26AAstros86-93
25/07/26AAbejas89-101
24/07/26AAbejas88-95
04/10/25APanteras90-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game86.094.779.5
Allowed / game92.096.788.5
Point differential-6.0-2.0-9.0
Avg total178.0191.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Correcaminos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL11%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %11%50%0%
Points / game84.085.583.6
Allowed / game91.674.596.4
Point differential-7.6+11.0-12.9
Avg total175.6160.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dorados76186%86.178.6+7.6
2 Astros86275%86.080.2+5.8
3 Soles64267%81.074.2+6.8
4 Santos64267%82.883.5-0.7
5 Mineros85362%88.481.9+6.5
6 Fuerza Regia85362%85.086.4-1.4
7 Panteras63350%84.381.8+2.5
8 Abejas63350%90.090.0+0.0
9 Lobos Plateados63350%76.077.7-1.7
10 Freseros73443%86.092.0-6.0
11 Diablos Rojos83538%83.482.8+0.6
12 Gambusinos72529%74.178.6-4.4
13 El Calor de Cancun82625%77.683.4-5.8
14 Correcaminos91811%84.091.6-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros2227151983
Correcaminos1622262286
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