PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Freseros vs Correcaminos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 99-96
17-29 22-28 26-25 34-14
Position#13
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game91.3
vs
Position#14
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game90.6
MexicoLNBPRound 7· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v Correcaminos
11 Aug 2026
FRES83
CORR86
10 Aug 2026
FRES99
CORR96
22 Aug 2025
FRES86
CORR87
21 Aug 2025
FRES85
CORR101
05 Oct 2024
FRES88
CORR89
04 Oct 2024
FRES93
CORR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Correcaminos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Santos
#12
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A19/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
85-104
85
104
-19
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
93-105
93
105
-12
81avg 72
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
83avg 72
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-99
73
99
-26
54avg 72
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 72
A07/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
22-19
19-22
18-25
18-16
15-18
24-20
14-24
19-15
23-28
23-20
13-21
29-28
29-25
12-20
15-31
13-22
24-24
18-16
25-22
16-21
23-27
23-19
17-22
27-21
20-34
25-24
21-26
19-31
32-16
21-26
20-16
20-23
13-25
17-26
23-25
22-30
22-9
22-24
20-19
170.7Avg total
80.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.891.3175.2-7.533%
Season at home (2)92.597.0189.5-4.550%
Season away (4)79.588.5168.0-9.025%
Last 10 (10)80.690.1170.7-9.520%
Last 5 (5)84.692.8177.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)76.790.5167.2-13.817%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCorrecaminos
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
61avg 68
A03/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
90-110
90
110
-20
76avg 68
A04/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
A24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
A28/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
61avg 68
A29/07
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
63avg 68
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
93-58
93
58
+35
90avg 68
H02/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 68
A06/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
76-98
76
98
-22
64avg 68
A07/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
29-25
19-25
13-24
20-29
23-22
15-30
32-29
26-23
16-27
26-22
20-23
23-26
23-27
19-22
24-26
19-19
25-29
29-24
13-21
17-24
14-33
20-17
23-20
23-20
16-25
18-26
21-20
22-9
24-17
27-21
20-11
17-31
27-17
17-27
15-20
17-23
18-32
14-21
27-22
174.9Avg total
82.5Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.590.6173.1-8.112%
Season at home (2)85.574.5160.0+11.050%
Season away (6)81.596.0177.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)82.592.4174.9-9.910%
Last 5 (5)79.487.2166.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)82.494.1176.5-11.817%
vs Similar ◀ (4)90.286.8177.0+3.575%
vs Weaker (2)94.085.5179.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Freseros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
FreserosCorrecaminos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A20/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/08
LNBP
86.9Avg total
41.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.886.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.646.689.2-4.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.245.183.2-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.386.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.490.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)40.245.886.0-5.627%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A03/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A25/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A28/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A29/07
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H02/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/08
LNBP
88.6Avg total
41.3Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.346.889.1-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.141.883.8+0.350%-
Last 30 away (18)42.450.292.6-7.717%-
Last 10 (10)41.347.388.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.285.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)40.247.988.1-7.721%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)50.843.594.2+7.250%-
vs Weaker (2)50.540.090.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.8
52.9%
54.1%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.5
36.2%
34.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.815.5
62.6%
71.7%15.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Correcaminostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Correcaminos: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.6
49.8%
54.1%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.6
33.5%
34.8%22.7
🏀 Free throws23.316.0
68.7%
71.7%16.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/7 games with a box score before 11 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
WLWLLLLLLL
Correcaminos
LLWLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#14
-8.4
Net rating
-12.0
96.1
Offensive rating
94.6
104.5
Defensive rating
106.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.2%
3-point %
33.5%
49.6%
Assist %
42.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 94.6Defence104.5 · 106.6Shooting53.4% · 50.0%3-point %36.2% · 33.5%Ball care15.0% · 15.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Freseros   ■ Correcaminos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
4
Correcaminos wins
DateGameScore
23/08/25Freseros v Correcaminos86-87
22/08/25Freseros v Correcaminos85-101
06/10/24Freseros v Correcaminos88-89 OT
05/10/24Freseros v Correcaminos93-96 OT
06/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros92-121
05/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros105-109 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/26ADiablos Rojos86-82
06/08/26ADiablos Rojos73-99
01/08/26HMineros92-89
31/07/26HMineros93-105
26/07/26ADorados79-89
25/07/26ADorados80-84
28/09/25AGambusinos85-104
27/09/25AGambusinos78-84
20/09/25ASantos71-78
19/09/25ASantos69-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/26AMineros76-98
06/08/26AMineros76-95
02/08/26HSantos93-58
01/08/26HSantos78-91
29/07/26AAstros74-94
28/07/26AAstros86-93
25/07/26AAbejas89-101
24/07/26AAbejas88-95
04/10/25APanteras90-110
03/10/25APanteras75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game83.892.579.5
Allowed / game91.397.088.5
Point differential-7.5-4.5-9.0
Avg total175.2189.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Correcaminos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %12%50%0%
Points / game82.585.581.5
Allowed / game90.674.596.0
Point differential-8.1+11.0-14.5
Avg total173.1160.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dorados65183%85.778.2+7.5
2 Astros86275%86.080.2+5.8
3 Soles64267%81.074.2+6.8
4 Santos64267%82.883.5-0.7
5 Mineros74357%89.984.0+5.9
6 Fuerza Regia74357%83.685.3-1.7
7 Panteras63350%84.381.8+2.5
8 Abejas63350%90.090.0+0.0
9 Lobos Plateados63350%76.077.7-1.7
10 Diablos Rojos73443%81.981.0+0.9
11 Gambusinos62433%73.076.8-3.8
12 Freseros62433%83.891.3-7.5
13 El Calor de Cancun72529%79.184.1-5.0
14 Correcaminos81712%82.590.6-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros1722263499
Correcaminos2928251496
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.