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Freseros vs Panteras Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-94
28-26 27-23 12-22 20-23
Position#13
Record9-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game90.0
Freseros
Mexico
vs
Panteras 🏆
Mexico
Position#3
Record14-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game84.8
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v Panteras
26 Sep 2026
FRES88
PANT97
25 Sep 2026
FRES87
PANT94
01 Sep 2023
FRES93
PANT99
31 Aug 2023
FRES90
PANT93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panteras winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 74
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
73avg 74
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
117-129 OT
117
129
-12
104avg 74
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
48avg 74
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 74
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 74
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 74
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
45avg 74
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 74
A21/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
83avg 74
A22/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-19
13-19
27-18
22-26
21-28
22-11
19-22
25-27
19-32
27-15
20-17
13-22
20-15
15-15
19-25
17-18
26-19
18-19
21-15
20-24
13-27
25-16
32-19
20-21
25-28
11-18
17-18
17-20
19-27
7-25
20-20
21-25
28-22
16-29
15-21
23-17
25-12
12-22
29-32
170.2Avg total
82.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.290.0175.2-4.941%
Season at home (10)86.092.4178.4-6.440%
Season away (12)84.588.1172.6-3.642%
Last 10 (10)82.288.0170.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)79.088.6167.6-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)82.390.1172.4-7.832%
vs Similar (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panteras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanterasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanteras
Date
Competition
Mineros
#7
W
95-93
95
93
+2
89avg 80
A25/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
69avg 80
A26/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
111-78
111
78
+33
114avg 80
H29/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
100-88
100
88
+12
95avg 80
H30/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
88-103
88
103
-15
80avg 80
A11/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
82avg 80
A12/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
95-83
95
83
+12
89avg 80
H17/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
66avg 80
H18/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
49avg 80
A20/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
77-76
77
76
+1
59avg 80
A22/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
27-16
16-25
27-15
13-27
22-28
21-21
22-22
33-29
26-15
23-14
29-20
26-23
27-20
26-19
21-26
24-27
18-30
31-13
15-33
31-21
20-22
22-15
13-24
25-15
23-25
23-27
24-16
21-26
23-25
17-20
22-27
10-15
15-21
21-21
21-20
15-28
23-16
22-16
17-16
175.6Avg total
88.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.484.8173.2+3.564%
Season at home (10)92.783.4176.1+9.380%
Season away (12)84.886.0170.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)88.087.6175.6+0.460%
Last 5 (5)81.683.2164.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.987.8171.8-3.942%
vs Similar (6)87.085.8172.8+1.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.784.8176.4+6.967%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
FreserosPanteras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A21/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A22/09
LNBP
85.7Avg total
41.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.587.4-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.847.189.9-4.336%-
Last 30 away (16)41.144.285.2-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.685.7-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.686.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)41.745.487.1-3.736%-
vs Similar (2)44.047.591.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panteras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanterasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#7
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A25/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A26/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H29/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H30/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A11/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A12/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H17/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H18/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A20/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/09
LNBP
91.3Avg total
44.7Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.690.0-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.944.791.6+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.146.488.6-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)44.746.691.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.146.287.2-5.125%-
vs Similar (6)45.045.090.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.345.492.8+1.958%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.0%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.7
31.8%
34.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
71.7%14.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panterastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panteras: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.824.6
53.7%
54.1%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
34.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
71.7%12.1
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
WLLLWWLLLW
Panteras
WLLWWLWWLW
#13
League position
#3
-7.8
Net rating
+5.9
89.6
Offensive rating
102.8
97.4
Defensive rating
96.9
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.8%
3-point %
36.5%
50.5%
Assist %
48.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.6 · 102.8Defence97.4 · 96.9Shooting51.3% · 54.1%3-point %31.8% · 36.5%Ball care17.6% · 13.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Freseros   ■ Panteras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Freseros wins
7
Panteras wins
DateGameScore
16/08/25Panteras v Freseros93-89
15/08/25Panteras v Freseros94-66
21/10/24Panteras v Freseros98-79
20/10/24Panteras v Freseros100-77
27/07/24Panteras v Freseros84-98
26/07/24Panteras v Freseros94-88
02/09/23Freseros v Panteras93-99
01/09/23Freseros v Panteras90-93
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/26AAbejas89-83
21/09/26AAbejas80-97
16/09/26HSoles63-92
15/09/26HSoles73-85
12/09/26ALobos Plateados90-86
11/09/26ALobos Plateados82-71
31/08/26HAstros67-77
30/08/26HAstros117-129 OT
26/08/26AGambusinos84-87
25/08/26AGambusinos77-73
Panteraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/26ASoles77-76
20/09/26ASoles67-77
18/09/26HAstros83-98
17/09/26HAstros95-83
12/09/26AEl Calor de Cancun86-82
11/09/26AEl Calor de Cancun88-103
30/08/26HCorrecaminos100-88
29/08/26HCorrecaminos111-78
26/08/26AMineros78-98
25/08/26AMineros95-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %41%40%42%
Points / game85.286.084.5
Allowed / game90.092.488.1
Point differential-4.9-6.4-3.6
Avg total175.2178.4172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Panteras
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game88.492.784.8
Allowed / game84.883.486.0
Point differential+3.5+9.3-1.2
Avg total173.2176.1170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2217577%84.374.1+10.1
2 Astros2215768%87.780.8+6.9
3 Fuerza Regia2215768%90.685.5+5.1
4 Panteras2214864%88.484.8+3.5
5 Lobos Plateados2214864%84.081.1+2.9
6 Dorados2214864%85.683.6+2.0
7 Mineros22121055%87.185.1+2.0
8 Diablos Rojos22101245%83.983.8+0.1
9 Gambusinos2291341%78.682.5-3.9
10 Freseros2291341%85.290.0-4.9
11 Abejas2281436%84.586.3-1.8
12 Santos2271532%83.289.7-6.5
13 El Calor de Cancun2261627%82.086.9-4.9
14 Correcaminos2241818%82.393.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros2827122087
Panteras2623222394
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