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Fresno State vs Pacific Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-56
42-23 47-33
Position#304
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#361
Record4-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pacific winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-38
57-31
29-36
36-31
33-24
44-42
22-31
47-48
43-26
44-42
28-32
41-37
23-51
41-44
31-29
34-40
23-36
33-49
42-35
37-32
149.2Avg total
75.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.275.6147.9-3.450%
Season at home (5)74.473.0147.4+1.460%
Season away (3)68.780.0148.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)75.174.1149.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)69.078.4147.4-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.572.0136.5-7.527%
vs Similar (14)67.165.7132.9+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Pacific) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PacificUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H07/11
NCAA
California
#283
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
39-88
39
88
-49
A16/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H18/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H21/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
53-83
53
83
-30
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-25
32-39
40-38
47-41
15-55
24-33
31-39
46-37
35-35
36-38
40-37
33-34
34-25
24-33
36-35
33-45
22-36
36-42
25-43
28-40
140.9Avg total
65.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.275.7140.9-10.540%
Season at home (6)69.271.5140.7-2.350%
Season away (4)59.282.0141.2-22.825%
Last 10 (10)65.275.7140.9-10.540%
Last 5 (5)64.275.4139.6-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.580.0148.6-11.525%
vs Similar (8)80.176.2156.4+3.988%
vs Weaker (2)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -4.3-4.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -4.3-4.3
Fresno StatePacific
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.532.563.0-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.430.162.6+2.369%-
Last 30 away (14)28.435.163.5-6.87%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.866.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)29.436.666.0-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.634.765.3-4.140%-
vs Similar (14)30.330.660.9-0.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Pacific) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PacificLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H07/11
NCAA
California
#283
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
15-55
15
55
-40
A16/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H18/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A06/12
NCAA
67.1Avg total
30.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.271.6-2.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.735.671.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)32.939.172.0-6.350%-
Last 10 (10)30.336.867.1-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.266.6-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.939.872.7-6.930%-
vs Similar (8)37.834.472.1+3.488%-
vs Weaker (2)35.523.058.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
1
Pacific wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Pacific v Fresno State76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HIdaho State79-67
02/12/23ABrigham Young56-85
28/11/23HUC Santa Barbara65-69
23/11/23HJames Madison64-95
22/11/23ANew Mexico State81-76 OT
16/11/23HMorgan State87-68
12/11/23AKent State69-79
07/11/23HFresno Pacific77-66
08/03/23AColorado State65-67
05/03/23HChicago State108-69
Pacificlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AIdaho53-83
02/12/23ANorthern Arizona58-78
30/11/23HCS Northridge69-80
26/11/23HMiss. Valley St.68-65 OT
25/11/23HLe Moyne73-71
21/11/23HNorth Dakota71-73
18/11/23HLamar77-76
16/11/23ANevada39-88
11/11/23ACalifornia87-79
07/11/23HSam Houston St.57-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game72.274.468.7
Allowed / game75.673.080.0
Point differential-3.4+1.4-11.3
Avg total147.9147.4148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Pacific
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game65.269.259.2
Allowed / game75.771.582.0
Point differential-10.5-2.3-22.8
Avg total140.9140.7141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada770100%83.764.9+18.9
2 New Mexico109190%86.168.2+17.9
3 Colorado State109190%83.370.5+12.8
4 Utah State98189%83.966.8+17.1
5 Grand Canyon98189%78.968.3+10.6
6 San Diego State97278%77.668.6+9.0
7 Air Force107370%67.862.1+5.7
8 Wyoming96367%76.669.8+6.8
9 Boise State96367%73.067.2+5.8
10 San Jose State116555%75.369.1+6.2
11 UNLV63350%72.773.8-1.2
12 Fresno State84450%72.275.6-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga87188%87.266.9+20.4
2 Washington State87188%80.161.5+18.6
3 Santa Clara107370%78.972.1+6.8
4 San Francisco96367%77.661.6+16.0
5 Oregon State96367%71.770.9+0.8
6 Seattle85362%71.864.1+7.6
7 San Diego Toreros106460%72.172.6-0.5
8 Loyola Marymount95456%77.768.9+8.8
9 Portland116555%78.377.5+0.8
10 St. Marys (CA)105550%69.360.6+8.7
11 Pacific104640%65.275.7-10.5
12 Pepperdine114736%72.572.7-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State424789
Pacific233356
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