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Fresno State vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 108-69
51-38 57-31
Position#295
Record10-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Position#297
Record11-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
25-36
25-47
37-38
37-43
45-36
29-27
41-35
32-34
34-43
25-23
18-22
24-27
33-33
28-29
46-40
30-34
26-26
42-50
38-44
134.4Avg total
64.3Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)62.165.4127.5-3.334%
Season at home (13)59.959.2119.1+0.846%
Season away (16)63.970.5134.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)64.370.1134.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)62.065.6127.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)62.967.1130.0-4.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.963.6123.5-3.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#260
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Aurora
#516
W
101-66
101
66
+35
H28/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A04/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A08/02
NCAA
St. Xavier
#442
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H11/02
NCAA
Calumet College
#568
W
103-56
103
56
+47
H18/02
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H19/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
65-104
65
104
-39
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-33
32-37
41-34
24-38
50-24
51-42
44-34
32-41
30-15
32-34
33-30
27-36
55-30
36-37
51-18
52-38
34-35
41-18
28-42
37-62
145.0Avg total
77.2Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.371.9142.1-1.637%
Season at home (8)86.663.1149.8+23.5100%
Season away (22)64.375.0139.4-10.714%
Last 10 (10)77.267.8145.0+9.470%
Last 5 (5)78.869.2148.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.977.9141.8-14.17%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.772.7145.3+0.050%
vs Weaker (8)73.262.0135.2+11.262%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
Fresno StateChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A01/03
NCAA
64.8Avg total
30.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.431.360.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.528.558.0+1.154%-
Last 30 away (17)29.233.462.6-4.224%-
Last 10 (10)30.034.864.8-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.662.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.433.164.5-1.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)27.229.556.7-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
NCAA
Aurora
#516
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H28/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
30-15
30
15
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/02
NCAA
St. Xavier
#442
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H11/02
NCAA
Calumet College
#568
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H18/02
NCAA
Hartford
#360
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/03
NCAA
70.3Avg total
40.8Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.967.8+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.628.270.9+14.475%-
Last 30 away (22)30.836.066.7-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)40.829.570.3+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.231.071.2+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.438.668.1-9.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.531.069.5+7.567%-
vs Weaker (8)33.829.563.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
Chicago State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23ANew Mexico80-94
25/02/23HNevada56-60
22/02/23AAir Force74-69
18/02/23HColorado State57-60
16/02/23HSan Diego State43-45
11/02/23ANevada66-77
08/02/23HSan Jose State70-62
04/02/23AUNLV82-79
01/02/23AWyoming62-85
29/01/23HUtah State53-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23AGonzaga65-104
19/02/23HHartford75-53
18/02/23HCalumet College103-56
11/02/23HSt. Xavier91-67
08/02/23ADelaware State60-66
04/02/23AHartford62-49
31/01/23ACitadel76-75
28/01/23HAurora101-66
26/01/23AStanford65-72
24/01/23ACoastal Carolina74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL34%
HomeLWLLL46%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %34%46%25%
Points / game62.159.963.9
Allowed / game65.459.270.5
Point differential-3.3+0.8-6.6
Avg total127.5119.1134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL37%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games30822
Win %37%100%14%
Points / game70.386.664.3
Allowed / game71.963.175.0
Point differential-1.6+23.5-10.7
Avg total142.1149.8139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%100%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)-33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2923679%73.164.9+8.2
2 Boise State3023777%72.163.0+9.1
3 Utah State3023777%78.869.9+8.9
4 Nevada3122971%72.566.4+6.1
5 New Mexico31211068%81.273.4+7.8
6 Grand Canyon30191163%70.265.0+5.2
7 San Jose State31191261%67.766.4+1.3
8 UNLV30181260%74.169.5+4.6
9 Colorado State31141745%73.071.8+1.2
10 Air Force31141745%66.866.7+0.1
11 Fresno State29101934%62.165.4-3.3
12 Wyoming2992031%69.671.7-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson32181456%78.475.9+2.5
2 Wagner28151354%63.161.7+1.4
3 Stonehill31141745%67.069.6-2.6
4 St. Francis (PA)32131941%72.773.7-1.0
5 Chicago State30111937%70.371.9-1.6
6 Central Connecticut State32102231%66.070.2-4.2
7 LIU Sharks2932610%66.780.0-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State5157108
Chicago State383169
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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