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Fresno State vs Morgan State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 87-68
43-26 44-42
Position#304
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#308
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#74
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
34-43
25-23
18-22
24-27
33-33
28-29
46-40
30-34
26-26
42-50
38-44
51-38
57-31
29-36
36-31
33-24
44-42
22-31
47-48
138.1Avg total
69.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.072.5145.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)69.079.0148.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)69.568.6138.1+0.930%
Last 5 (5)79.875.0154.8+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.268.5132.8-4.331%
vs Similar ◀ (16)64.164.8128.9-0.838%
vs Weaker (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A18/02
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A09/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
59-122
59
122
-63
A07/11
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#623
W
100-52
100
52
+48
H09/11
NCAA
Penn State Wilkes-Barre
#513
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-39
38-35
20-35
30-37
28-34
61-42
36-33
47-45
39-35
29-26
24-37
41-40
35-46
29-34
26-61
33-61
42-34
58-18
36-29
42-31
147.0Avg total
71.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.078.0157.0+1.067%
Season at home (2)89.056.0145.0+33.0100%
Season away (1)59.0122.0181.0-63.00%
Last 10 (10)71.875.2147.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)73.278.2151.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.983.7150.6-16.943%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.675.9143.5-8.225%
vs Weaker (14)81.068.0149.0+13.071%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
Fresno StateMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#74
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.432.162.5-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.528.560.0+2.962%-
Last 30 away (17)29.634.864.5-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.664.2-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.871.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.934.065.9-2.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.131.160.1-2.031%-
vs Weaker (1)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A14/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Howard
#99
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H25/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H03/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
26-61
26
61
-35
A07/11
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#623
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Penn State Wilkes-Barre
#513
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
31.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.371.1+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.332.671.9+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)32.437.970.3-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)31.038.369.3-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.641.474.0-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.138.368.4-8.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.437.870.1-5.425%-
vs Weaker (14)40.232.472.6+7.879%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
Morgan State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AKent State69-79
07/11/23HFresno Pacific77-66
08/03/23AColorado State65-67
05/03/23HChicago State108-69
01/03/23ANew Mexico80-94
25/02/23HNevada56-60
22/02/23AAir Force74-69
18/02/23HColorado State57-60
16/02/23HSan Diego State43-45
11/02/23ANevada66-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HPenn State Wilkes-Barre78-60
09/11/23HCheyney Wolves100-52
07/11/23AArizona59-122
09/03/23AMd.-East. Shore64-80
03/03/23HCoppin State65-77
28/02/23AMd.-East. Shore68-61
25/02/23HDelaware State83-78
21/02/23HHoward89-76
18/02/23ANorfolk State50-72
14/02/23ASouth Carolina St62-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.077.069.0
Allowed / game72.566.079.0
Point differential+0.5+11.0-10.0
Avg total145.5143.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morgan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.089.059.0
Allowed / game78.056.0122.0
Point differential+1.0+33.0-63.0
Avg total157.0145.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wyoming220100%92.061.0+31.0
2 Grand Canyon220100%88.561.0+27.5
3 Nevada330100%82.759.3+23.3
4 Boise State220100%76.056.5+19.5
5 Colorado State330100%89.771.3+18.3
6 Utah State32167%86.768.0+18.7
7 San Jose State32167%77.064.0+13.0
8 San Diego State32167%78.769.0+9.7
9 New Mexico21150%75.063.5+11.5
10 UNLV21150%71.070.0+1.0
11 Fresno State21150%73.072.5+0.5
12 Air Force31233%64.764.7+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State330100%89.059.7+29.3
2 Morgan State32167%79.078.0+1.0
3 South Carolina St32167%68.076.7-8.7
4 N. Carolina Central42250%82.566.8+15.8
5 Howard42250%81.882.0-0.2
6 Md.-East. Shore31233%69.776.7-7.0
7 Delaware State3030%57.081.0-24.0
8 Coppin State4040%51.276.2-25.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State434487
Morgan State264268
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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