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Fresno State vs Portland State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 72-75 (OT)
28-41 37-24 7-10
Position#304
Record6-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#184
Record8-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portland State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
44-42
22-31
47-48
43-26
44-42
28-32
41-37
23-51
41-44
31-29
34-40
23-36
33-49
42-35
37-32
42-23
47-33
24-17
37-41
144.7Avg total
72.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.871.9144.7+0.960%
Season at home (7)74.668.4143.0+6.171%
Season away (3)68.780.0148.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)72.871.9144.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)70.067.0137.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.271.1135.4-6.931%
vs Similar (12)69.267.8137.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A10/11
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H12/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H18/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A02/12
NCAA
Lewis &. Clark State
#495
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/12
NCAA
George Fox
#378
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H09/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
42-36
32-23
38-30
29-34
37-29
35-22
38-35
34-41
36-35
28-37
47-37
31-31
30-40
49-31
55-29
39-32
44-45
32-34
33-35
142.5Avg total
74.9Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.766.5140.2+7.373%
Season at home (5)81.064.2145.2+16.8100%
Season away (6)67.768.3136.0-0.750%
Last 10 (10)74.967.6142.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)77.670.2147.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.883.8157.7-10.00%
vs Similar (14)72.071.6143.6+0.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)75.067.7142.7+7.356%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.9+4.9
Fresno StatePortland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H16/12
NCAA
61.5Avg total
31.1Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.163.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.129.362.4+3.876%-
Last 30 away (13)28.535.864.2-7.38%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.461.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.060.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.233.663.8-3.444%-
vs Similar (12)31.231.562.7-0.342%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#189
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H12/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A18/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H29/11
NCAA
Washington State
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Lewis &. Clark State
#495
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H07/12
NCAA
George Fox
#378
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/12
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.769.4-0.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.733.267.9+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)34.636.270.8-1.627%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.567.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.068.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.240.277.3-3.00%-
vs Similar (14)33.134.467.6-1.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.931.866.7+3.156%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
Portland State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HCSU Bakersfield61-58
10/12/23HPacific89-56
06/12/23HIdaho State79-67
02/12/23ABrigham Young56-85
28/11/23HUC Santa Barbara65-69
23/11/23HJames Madison64-95
22/11/23ANew Mexico State81-76 OT
16/11/23HMorgan State87-68
12/11/23AKent State69-79
07/11/23HFresno Pacific77-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ASan Diego Toreros65-69
09/12/23HGeorge Fox83-77
07/12/23HLewis &. Clark State104-60
02/12/23AWashington State61-71
29/11/23HPortland75-74
19/11/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)70-76
18/11/23HCal Poly73-57
18/11/23ACalifornia Baptist66-63
12/11/23HLinfield70-53
10/11/23AUC Santa Barbara82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%71%33%
Points / game72.874.668.7
Allowed / game71.968.480.0
Point differential+0.9+6.1-11.3
Avg total144.7143.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%33%
Portland State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game73.781.067.7
Allowed / game66.564.268.3
Point differential+7.3+16.8-0.7
Avg total140.2145.2136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1211192%81.465.8+15.7
2 New Mexico1110191%84.968.5+16.4
3 Colorado State1110191%83.569.0+14.5
4 Nevada109190%78.364.7+13.6
5 Grand Canyon109190%80.167.8+12.3
6 San Diego State108280%76.167.9+8.2
7 Boise State118373%76.465.8+10.5
8 Air Force117464%68.363.4+4.9
9 Wyoming106460%76.071.2+4.8
10 Fresno State106460%72.871.9+0.9
11 San Jose State126650%75.270.5+4.8
12 UNLV94544%73.072.7+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State118373%73.766.5+7.3
2 Weber State106460%72.661.1+11.5
3 Montana106460%76.570.0+6.5
4 Idaho116555%73.168.2+4.9
5 Northern Arizona116555%67.573.9-6.5
6 Montana State94544%72.769.7+3.0
7 Idaho State104640%69.465.2+4.2
8 Northern Colorado104640%76.376.9-0.6
9 East. Washington93633%77.376.9+0.4
10 Sacramento State102820%71.776.6-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Fresno State2837772
Portland State41241075
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